Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/5/6)-(7/3/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/3/1)-(7/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (7/3/1)-(7/1/5)-(1/3/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(1/3/2)-(4/2/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/2/7)-(8/5/3/9) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/2/7)-(8/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (8/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/9)-(8/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/9)-(8/5/3/9)-(8/5/3/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEARLY REGAL Jun21 May23 Jul05 Jun14 Jun01 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 0.60 43% 1.30    
2  DOT AND DASH Jul03 Jun19 Sep20     (rowe mic)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 15.00    
3  MIGHTY FRISKY Jul03 Jun05       (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  SUGAR DADDY JACK Jul12 Jun19 May30 Sep27 Sep06 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00    
5  GET UP EARLY Jul03 Jun26 Jun05 Sep20 Sep13 (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
 
ASD-2   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYITALL Jul04 Jun20 Oct08 Sep24 Sep12 (mooney bill)CHOW CHAVION 123 10.00    
SCR  ZIPPORAH Jul04 Jun14 Jun06 May20 May13 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 5.00    
3  LIA'S ON TUNE Jun06 Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 Jul12 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 1.00 42% 1.40    
4  ARTISAN DANCER Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May22 Sep28 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00    
5  CYCLONE SORORITY Jul05 Jun14 May22 Apr30 Apr14 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 2.50 27% 2.60    
6  INSPIRATUS Sep19 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 Aug03 (desjarlais rya)AEBLY FRASER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-3   07/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR ME A MOMENT Jul11 Jun19 May29 Oct10 Sep26 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  PIONEER TOWN Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 Jun06 May23 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.00    
3  FAVORITE Jul09 Jun14 Jun05 May23 Nov04 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jun20 May22 Apr11 Mar24 Feb22 (desjarlais ry)CUMBERBATCH R 124 8.00    
5  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 May29 Oct21 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00    
6  ARMAVEER Jun21 Jun07 May22 Apr03 Mar26 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.00    
7  UNCLE MO'S CAT Jun19 Jun06 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
ASD-4   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NYLA Jul04 Jun20 Sep20 Aug31 Aug09 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 121 10.00 9% 10.00    
2  SECRET AVENGER Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May29 Sep20 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 4.00    
SCR  SATURDAY SERVICE Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 May22 May13 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 123 2.00    
4  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Jul04 Jun20 Sep28 Sep20 Jul12 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 20.00    
5  GIDDY UP ZOEY Jun20 Jun05 Sep12 Aug24 Aug03 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 121 8.00 5% 17.60    
6  TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Jun12 May29 Sep28 Sep26 Sep20 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 116 25.00    
7  LIPSTICK LADY Jul04 Jun12 May29 Sep20 Aug31 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 1.50 63% 0.60    
 
ASD-5   07/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 Sep28 Sep20 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  BITETHEBULLETBRO Jul10 Jun27 Jun19 Jun05 Sep28 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
3  SHOOTIN MONEY Jun28 Jun13 May23 Sep20 Sep06 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  DRIZZY Jun27 May30 Sep27 Sep20 Sep12 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 5.00    
5  HE'S A LADY TAMER Sep25 Sep18 Sep10 Aug10 Jul26 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 30.00    
SCR  FELLER Jul05 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 Apr30 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
7  WILL KNOWS Jun20 Jun07 Sep20 Sep13 Aug22 (gardipy )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 12.00    
 
ASD-6   07/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canada Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUN WITT RUN Jul01 May18 May06 Apr21 Apr08 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 8.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SUZY THREE by GLITTERMAN)
2  MELISANDRE Jun27 Jun06 May23 Sep12 Sep07 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
SCR  MISSION BELLE Jun27 Jun06 May13 Apr16 Feb25 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAYOU BREEZE by A.P. INDY)
4  BURROW DOWN Jun27 Apr24 Apr01 Sep10 Aug20 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
5  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jun27 Jun13 Apr09 Mar18 Feb26 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 118 4.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAKETHEODDS by STREET SENSE)
6  BIG STRETCH Jun27 Jun13 May23 Sep12 Aug22 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 5.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
7  TEXAS RAIN Jun27 Jun06 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 (duncan murray)CARRENO J 118 25.00 20% 3.90    
  (by HOLIDAY PROMISE out of BLUEGRASS MISS by RAISE A NATIVE)
 
ASD-7   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOIL AND TROUBLE Jun21 Jun06 May23 Apr26 Apr05 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00    
2  STAY HAPPY Jun28 Jun14 May29 Apr11 Mar08 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 119 8.00    
3  ITSTHATTIME May22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.00 8% 11.00    
4  BRODY'S STREAK Jun28 Jun14 May22 Jul11 Jun20 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 10.00    
5  REAL GRACE Jun21         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  TOTALIZER Jun09 May27 May13 Mar10 Feb18 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
7  MR. DAZZLE Jun28 Jun14 May14 Apr23 Dec04 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00    
8  MARKET KING Jun07 May22 Sep12 Aug22 Jun21 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
9  TRUMP UM Jun12 May23 Sep19 Aug24 Jul18 (wise richard )BYNOE DAMARIO 124 20.00 7% 13.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.