Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.90 $4.90 82%
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $35.55 $29.55 493%
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20  1-3-5 $10.53 $9.33 778%
ASD-3   TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80  7-6-5 $14.47 $9.67 201%
ASD-5   EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $7.55 $1.55 26%
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20  3-7-8 $7.18 $5.98 498%
ASD-6   WIN (2/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.10 $3.10 39%
    EXA (2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-2 $21.35 $9.35 78%
ASD-7   WIN (7/9/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $21.10 $11.10 111%
    EXA (7/9/1/5/2)-(7/9/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-7 $26.50 $6.50 33%
    DD (2/9/4/8)-(7/9/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-2 $85.85 $65.85 329%
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(2/9/4/8)-(7/9/1/5/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00  2/3/6-9-2 $25.18 $13.18 110%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   07/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:282   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE TIME 1 1 11 1   1 1¼ (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00 44% 1.30 4.45 W
BEAR ME A MOMENT 3 4 4 4   2 2¼ (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 15% 5.70 5.30 P
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY 5 3 32 3   3 33 (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 1.60 13% 6.60 1.05 S
HENRISINCONTROL 4 5 54 5   4 4 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 2.00 2.20  
ZIPPEDDIE 2 2 21 2   512 525½ (rowe m)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 15.00 28.40  
 
ASD-2   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:232 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSALOTOFBLING 5 2 3 2nk   11 15 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.80 1.35  
HARLONS COMMISION 4 1 2½ 1nk   21 25 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 121 5.00 20% 4.00 3.45 P
ASTARTOBE 1 5 4 4   4 3 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 35% 1.80 6.30 S
WHERETHEMONEYWENT 6 4 6 55   6 47 (morin shaun)CARRENO J 121 4.00 3.30  
DISTINCT APPROVAL 2 3 1½ 3½   3 5 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 15.00 11% 7.80 8.40  
ENJAY'S BRASS 3 6 56 6   5 69 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 121 10.00 18.75  
SCR  SPY A STAR               (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 12.00    
 
ASD-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hazel Wright Sire Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:223 :452 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MECHANIC SUSIE 7 2 34 2   2½ 1nk (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00 14% 6.10 2.90 W
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) 6 1 44 34   3 2nk (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.50 25% 3.00 1.75 P
  (by NONIOS out of RUSSIAN JEWEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
CUSS'N CAT 5 4 1½ 1   1½ 34 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 4.50 12% 7.50 12.15 S
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DIANE'S WISH 3 5 7 610½   57 4 (nault michael)CARRENO J 119 10.00 6.60  
  (by NONIOS out of ESTHER'S WISH by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
LADY COP 4 3 2½ 4   4 5 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.20 25% 3.00 2.25  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of AGOLO BYNOE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
ISLAND HIGH 2 6 5 5   6 612¾ (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 114 25.00 43.60  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
JUST A POSE 1 7 6 714½   711 715½ (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 114 20.00 45.75  
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-4   07/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:134 1:271   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAB RAT 3 2 1 1nk   1nk 1hd (gourneau )CHADEE JR 122 2.50 2.55  
GONE SOMEWHERE 2 3 44 31   3.2 2hd (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80 3.20  
RAILSPLITTER 4 4 2 2nk   2nk 3 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 68% 0.50 2.10 S
RUNAWAY HURRICANE 5 5 6 63   6 4 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
PROVOCATIVE PRINCE 1 1 34 42   4 5 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 25.00 6% 14.70 28.25  
CAPTIVE KITTEN 6 6 5 5   5 68 (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50 3.75  
YOUNG FLINT 7 7 7 7   7 717¾ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
 
ASD-5   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:23 :453 :581     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S PRINCESS 2 3 12 1   13 1 (danelson gary)CARRENO J 123 1.20 56% 0.80 0.40 W
TIZ HOPPIN 5 1 22 2   23 2 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 2.50 6% 15.40 7.10 P
ARAMON 6 2 610 6   5 3 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 1.00 15% 5.80 20.85 S
WITT'S TENNY TEN 1 6 3 34   34 4 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 14.20  
LOAD ABROAD 3 4 44 44   47 5 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 12.00 26.35  
MACLEAN'S BELLA 4 5 54 5   6100 6100 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 5.00 3.85  
SCR  BAREFOOT DANCER               (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
SCR  BLAME IT ON BREW               (keshane norber)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00    
 
ASD-6   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ADMIRAL 8 5 12 1 11 1 1 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 21% 3.90 4.55 W
GALLANT OAK 2 1 22 2 21 2 2 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.50 36% 1.70 2.05 P
LOOKIN HIGH 1 2 44 43 45 3 3 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 6.70  
LAST RENEGADE 7 8 5 5 55 610 4 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
ROAMING UNION 4 7 66 65 8 58 56 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 10.00 14% 6.00 3.60  
ITS A BOY 5 3 32 32 3 4 68 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00 48.20  
NORTH FORK 3 4 8 8 6 811 711¾ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 30.00 18.15  
MAYBE SOMETIME 6 6 7 7 7 710½ 811¾ (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 15.00 7.95  
SCR  HAPPY CAMPER               (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.50    
 
ASD-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITEROSE SPIRIT 2 4 21 32   22 1 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 9.55 W
TECATE GOLD 7 3 42 1   12 2 (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 1.50 52% 0.90 0.80 P
MIAMI SOUVENIRS 6 5 811½ 7   4 3 (maxwell curti)CUMBERBATCH R 121 6.00 9.45  
TALE OF ATREIDES 8 2 5 43   35 46 (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 4.50 7.25  
MOORE'S MIRACLE 5 8 79 811½   68 5 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00 5% 19.00 18.35  
VICTORIAVILLE 3 7 67 67   8 6 (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 121 20.00 28.85  
RATHMEISTER 4 9 915½ 913   913¼ 711½ (nelson franci)TARASENCO P 121 40.00 32.35  
FINGER TIP 1 6 32 5   79 816 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 7% 13.00 10.05  
ASK THE KING 9 1 11 2   58 917¾ (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 9% 10.40 8.55  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.