Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/4/2)-(4/6/7/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/1/5/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(4/1/5/7)-(3/8/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7)-(3/8/7)-(2/9/4/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(2/9/4/8)-(7/9/1/5/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-6   WIN (2/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8)-(2/9/4/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/9/4/8)-(7/9/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/9/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/1/5/2)-(7/9/1/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/1/5/2)-(7/9/1/5/2)-(7/9/1/5/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE TIME Jun19 Jun05 Sep26 Sep06 Aug17 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
2  ZIPPEDDIE Jun13 Jun05 Sep24 Sep04 Aug16 (rowe m)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 15.00    
3  BEAR ME A MOMENT Jun19 May29 Oct10 Sep26 Sep13 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
4  HENRISINCONTROL Jul05 Sep27 Sep20 Sep06 Aug16 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 2.00    
5  GUARANTEEDDELIVERY Jun19 Jun05 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 1.60 13% 6.60    
 
ASD-2   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTARTOBE Jun27 Jun14 May22 Sep19 Sep07 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  DISTINCT APPROVAL Sep25 Sep23 Sep11 Sep04 Aug29 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 15.00 11% 7.80    
3  ENJAY'S BRASS Jun20 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 121 10.00    
4  HARLONS COMMISION Jun21 Jun07 May14 Apr30 Apr22 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
5  THATSALOTOFBLING Jun27 Jun14 May29 Apr29 Apr05 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.80    
6  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Jun27 Jun05 Apr19 Apr02 Feb23 (morin shaun)CARRENO J 121 4.00    
SCR  SPY A STAR Jun20 Jun06 Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 12.00    
 
ASD-3   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hazel Wright Sire Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A POSE Jun19 May29       (pruitt lise)BALROOP SVEN 114 20.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
2  ISLAND HIGH Jun19         (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 114 25.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
3  DIANE'S WISH Jun21 May29 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 (nault michael)CARRENO J 119 10.00    
  (by NONIOS out of ESTHER'S WISH by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  LADY COP Jun20 Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.20 25% 3.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of AGOLO BYNOE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  CUSS'N CAT Jun28 May29       (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 119 4.50 12% 7.50    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jun27 Jun14 Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by NONIOS out of RUSSIAN JEWEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
7  MECHANIC SUSIE Jun27 Jun14 May30 Sep26 Aug23 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
 
ASD-4   07/11/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOCATIVE PRINCE Jul03 Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 Aug20 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 25.00 6% 14.70    
2  GONE SOMEWHERE Jul03 May23 May02 Apr01 Feb19 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80    
3  LAB RAT Jun23 Jun02 May06 Apr29 Apr15 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 122 2.50    
4  RAILSPLITTER Jul03 May30 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 68% 0.50    
5  RUNAWAY HURRICANE Jun26 Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 Aug17 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul03 Jun13 May30 Sep05 Aug17 (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 4.50    
7  YOUNG FLINT Aug23 Aug02 May07     (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-5   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT'S TENNY TEN Jun28 Jun14 Oct28 Oct07 Sep12 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00    
SCR  BAREFOOT DANCER Jun21 Jun05 May22 Sep26 Aug24 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
3  KATE'S PRINCESS Jun28 Jun13 Jun05 May22 Aug24 (danelson gary)CARRENO J 123 1.20 56% 0.80    
4  LOAD ABROAD Jun30 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Dec08 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 12.00    
5  MACLEAN'S BELLA Jun28 May06 Apr05 Mar18 Mar06 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 5.00    
SCR  BLAME IT ON BREW Sep25 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 (keshane norber)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00    
7  TIZ HOPPIN Jun02 May07 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 2.50 6% 15.40    
8  ARAMON Jun28 Jun14 Sep26 Sep12 Aug24 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 121 1.00 15% 5.80    
 
ASD-6   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN HIGH Jun23 Jun09 May27 May06 Mar11 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
2  GALLANT OAK Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Apr10 Mar07 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.50 36% 1.70    
3  NORTH FORK Jun20 Jun13 May29 Mar23 Mar07 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 30.00    
4  ROAMING UNION Jun26 Jun19 Jun05 Aug24 Jul27 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 10.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAMPER Jun19 May22 Apr25 Mar31 Feb23 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.50    
6  ITS A BOY Jun26 Aug31 Aug14 Jun25 Jun02 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 122 25.00    
7  MAYBE SOMETIME Jul04 Jun19 May23 Sep26 Sep07 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 15.00    
8  LAST RENEGADE Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May23 Apr24 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAY ADMIRAL Jun26 Jun12 Nov05 Oct15 Oct01 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
ASD-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINGER TIP Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep19 Aug24 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 7% 13.00    
2  WHITEROSE SPIRIT Jun26 Jun13 May29 Oct21 Oct15 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  VICTORIAVILLE Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep26 Sep05 (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 121 20.00    
4  RATHMEISTER Jun17 Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 Aug24 (nelson franci)TARASENCO P 121 40.00    
5  MOORE'S MIRACLE Sep24 Sep17 Aug31 Jul26   (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep26 Sep19 (maxwell curti)CUMBERBATCH R 121 6.00    
7  TECATE GOLD Jun27 Jun14 May30 Apr18 Mar18 (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 1.50 52% 0.90    
8  TALE OF ATREIDES Jun27 Jun12 Jun07 Apr07 Mar11 (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 4.50    
9  ASK THE KING Jun14 May30 Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.