The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Lethbridge
Monday - October 10, 2022

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LBG-1   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
1:154         1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESTER G 5 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 1(mike c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 29% 2.50 0.45 W
SCRUFFIAN 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2(mead colten)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 5.15 P
ITALIAN LADIES MAN 3 3 4 3.2   3.2 3(robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 21% 3.70 8.70 S
REGALO DE CALIDAD 1 5 5 5   4413¼ (clapton alison)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 17% 4.80 10.35  
TWISTED OLIVER 2 2 3.2 4   5518 (depew jim)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 5.70  
 
LBG-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIGNSOFAWARRIOR 6 5 32 21   1nk 1(brown t)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 33% 2.00 5.05 W
LUCK IS MY NAME 1 4 5 43   3.2 2(fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 10% 9.10 2.90 P
OIL COUNTRY BOY 4 1 11 11   2nk 34 (olsen ron)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 1.55 S
FREUDS VISION 5 2 4 54   44(kinch bill)BUGEAUD L 124 7.00 11.00  
ARTILLERY 3 6 63 6   6511¼ (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 27% 2.70 5.65  
SPEIGHTSFORCE 2 3 21 32   5613 (pigeau opal)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 5.65  
 
LBG-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
1:13         1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY DAREDEVIL 5 6 65 48   3.2 14 (buffalo jay)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 13.40  
LAST OF WAR 1 4 32 32   424 (magnuson lyle)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 62% 0.60 0.35 P
ASSURANCE 3 5 21 21   1nk 35 (fike jordie)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 3.70  
TEE CLASS 6 2 43 5   54(brown t)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 7.00 6% 16.50 18.30  
BIG Z 4 1 11 11   2nk 5(calfrobe shawn)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00 10.85  
JUST LOUIE 2 3 54 6   6614 (ladouceur doug)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 31.05  
 
LBG-4   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
1:13         1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNAROUND 3 2 1½ 11   11 1(magnuson lyle)GORDON GARFIELD 124 0.50 31% 2.30 0.40 W
DONNA'S BOY 5 5 31 21   21 2(mike c)APANGO JUAN 124 4.00 2.75 P
KVOTHE 2 3 52 56   32 37 (clapton alison)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 8.50 S
IRISH POLO 1 4 42 44   511 421¼ (magnuson lyle)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 29% 2.50 11.70  
SKO'DEN 4 1 2½ 32   48 527½ (cunningham randy)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 8% 11.20 20.40  
 
LBG-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWN RULER 5 2 2½ 11   11 1(marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.50 23% 3.30 1.05 W
FULKERSON 2 4 3½ 32   21 2(calfrobe shawn)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.60 2.60 P
BEAR ME A MOMENT 1 3 4 43   437 (brown t)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 23% 3.30 3.95 S
LOOKIECOOKIE 3 1 1½ 21   32 410 (pigeau opal)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 4.50  
LUCKY B. N. 4 5 5 55   5516 (weaselhead godfrey)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 12% 7.20 20.90  
 
LBG-8   10/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
1:292         1:292   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY GEM 2 4 5 2   1½ 1¾ (magnuson lyle)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.40 35% 1.80 0.85 W
BLUE JEANS N BEER 5 2 11 1   2½ 2¾ (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 0.80 34% 1.90 1.65 P
COZY BEAR 4 3 32 5   59 3(pigeau opal)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 14.40 S
CARLOT COWBOY 1 5 4 3   31 48 (mohindee mankumar)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 68.50  
HIMELSTEIN 3 1 21 4   45 5(dieno arlen)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 8% 11.70 4.00  
SCR  OSCAR THE GULCH               (depew jim)ROCHA O 124 6.00    
 
LBG-9   10/10/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
1:303         1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEET AT JAKES 4 4 3 3   11 1hd (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00 2.20  
BULL TIME 5 3 4 54   33 2hd (oberholtzer daniel)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 15% 5.60 5.25 P
OCANERA 7 1 7 6   54 3(oberholtzer daniel)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.50 4.00 S
HE'S ITALIAN 3 5 5 4   43 416 (rutherford elly)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 16% 5.30 11.45  
PUNKY MONKEY 2 6 2½ 2   65 523 (strandquist calvin)GORDON GARFIELD 124 12.00 21.50  
SOUL FREEDOM 1 7 1½ 1   21 628¼ (rycroft clinton)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00 13% 6.90 1.70  
MR. WITT 6 2 6 7   77 732 (smith rusty)BUGEAUD L 124 12.00 30.15  
SCR  HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM               (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 1.20 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.