Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Monday - October 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGALO DE CALIDAD Oct01 Sep17 Sep11     (clapton ali)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  TWISTED OLIVER Aug29 Jul13 Jul05     (depew jim)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 ★    
3  ITALIAN LADIES MAN Sep17 Aug21 Jul30 Jul16   (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
4  SCRUFFIAN Jul16 Jul09       (mead colt)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 ★    
5  CHESTER G Sep26 Aug22       (mike chr)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
LBG-2   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCK IS MY NAME Sep09 Aug28 Jun26 Jun17 Jun03 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  SPEIGHTSFORCE Sep24 Sep11 Sep04 Aug06 Jul30 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00    
3  ARTILLERY Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Mar18 (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  OIL COUNTRY BOY Sep11 Aug21 Aug06 Jul30 Jun25 (olsen ron)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 ★    
5  FREUDS VISION Sep11 Aug06 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (kinch bill)BUGEAUD L 124 7.00 ★    
6  SIGNSOFAWARRIOR Sep23 Jul31 May21 Apr23 Feb26 (brown co)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
LBG-3   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST OF WAR Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 Jul15 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
2  JUST LOUIE Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 (ladouceur doug)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 ★    
3  ASSURANCE Oct01 Sep11 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 (fike jordie)SIMPSON W 124 2.00    
4  BIG Z Sep11 Aug28 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00 ★    
5  SPEEDY DAREDEVIL Sep25 Sep03 Aug20 Aug04 Jul14 (buffalo jay)CHICKENESS S 124 3.00 ★    
6  TEE CLASS Sep24 Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 (brown col)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 7.00 6% 16.50    
 
LBG-4   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH POLO Sep23 Sep11 Aug21     (magnuson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 29% 2.50    
2  KVOTHE Oct01 Sep23 Sep11 Sep05 Jun26 (clapton a)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 ★    
3  TURNAROUND Sep25 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 0.50 31% 2.30    
4  SKO'DEN Sep11 Sep04       (cunningham r)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
5  DONNA'S BOY Sep25 Sep11 Sep04     (mike christophe)APANGO JUAN 124 4.00 ★    
 
LBG-6   10/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR ME A MOMENT Sep26 Sep13 Aug30 Aug10 Jun12 (brown co)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  FULKERSON Oct02 Sep19 Sep11 Sep05 Aug24 (calfrobe )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.60 ★    
3  LOOKIECOOKIE Oct02 Sep24 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 (pigeau o)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 ★    
4  LUCKY B. N. Sep24 Sep10 Sep05     (weaselhead)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
5  CROWN RULER Aug28 Aug14 Jul30     (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
LBG-8   10/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLOT COWBOY Oct02 Sep25 Jun18 May28   (mohindee m)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  OSCAR THE GULCH Sep27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 (depew jim)ROCHA O 124 6.00    
3  GRAY GEM Sep25 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.40 35% 1.80    
4  HIMELSTEIN Sep23 Sep07 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (dieno ar)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 8% 11.70    
5  COZY BEAR Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00 ★    
6  BLUE JEANS N BEER Sep25 Sep10 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 0.80 34% 1.90    
 
LBG-9   10/10/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL FREEDOM Oct01 Sep23 Sep18 Aug23 Jul13 (rycroft )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00 13% 6.90    
2  PUNKY MONKEY Sep24 Sep17 Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 (strandquist)GORDON GARFIELD 124 12.00    
SCR  HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM Oct02 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Aug08 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 1.20 16% 5.10    
4  HE'S ITALIAN Oct01 Sep17 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 (rutherfor)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
5  MEET AT JAKES Oct01 Sep17 Sep11 Aug20 Aug13 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00    
6  BULL TIME Sep23 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (oberholtzer dan)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  MR. WITT Sep11 Sep05 Aug20 Aug14 Jul10 (smith rusty)CHICKENESS S 124 12.00    
8  OCANERA Sep17 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (oberholtzer d)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.