tbrs_res_20230530.asd.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager			Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type			Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

ASD-1			Win			(2/5/6)										3		$2.00	$6.00	4	1		0	$5.70				-6.00
			Exacta			(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)										6		$1.00	$6.00	4-1	2		0	$10.80				-6.00
			Trifecta			(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)										6		$0.20	$1.20	4-1-2	3		0	$13.72				-1.20
ASD-2			Win			(3/4/7)										3		$2.00	$6.00	4	1		1	$3.40		$3.40		-2.60
			Exacta			(3/4/7)-(3/4/7)										6		$1.00	$6.00	4-3	2		1	$2.80		$2.80		-3.20
			Trifecta			(3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7)										6		$0.20	$1.20	4-3-2	3		0	$1.93				-1.20
			Daily Double			(2/5/6)-(3/4/7)										9		$1.00	$9.00	4-4	2		0	$4.55				-9.00
ASD-3			Win			(1/4/5/6)										4		$2.00	$8.00	5	1		1	$4.60		$4.60		-3.40
			Exacta			(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)										12		$1.00	$12.00	5-4	2		1	$6.40		$6.40		-5.60
			Trifecta			(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)										24		$0.20	$4.80	5-4-1	3		1	$4.00		$4.00		-0.80
			Pick Three			(2/5/6)-(3/4/7)-(1/4/5/6)										36		$0.20	$7.20	4-1/4-5	3		0	$2.77				-7.20
ASD-4			Win			(2/3/4/7)										4		$2.00	$8.00	1	1		0	$13.20				-8.00
			Exacta			(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)										12		$1.00	$12.00	1-5	2		0	$31.60				-12.00
			Trifecta			(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)										24		$0.20	$4.80	1-5-8	3		0	$33.16				-4.80
			Pick Three			(3/4/7)-(1/4/5/6)-(2/3/4/7)										48		$0.20	$9.60	1/4-5-1	3		0	$5.14				-9.60
ASD-5			Win			(2/3/6/8)										4		$2.00	$8.00	7	1		0	$15.80				-8.00
			Exacta			(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)										12		$1.00	$12.00	7-4	2		0	$54.35				-12.00
			Trifecta			(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)										24		$0.20	$4.80	7-4-1	3		0	$47.60				-4.80
			Pick Three			(1/4/5/6)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/6/8)										64		$0.20	$12.80	5-1-7	3		0	$24.71				-12.80
ASD-6			Exacta			(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)										12		$1.00	$12.00	6-2	2		0	$33.60				-12.00
			Trifecta			(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)										24		$0.20	$4.80	6-2-4	3		0	$25.06				-4.80
			Pick Three			(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/4/7)										64		$0.20	$12.80	1-7-6	3		0	$33.89				-12.80

Simulator Race results


ASD-1				05/30/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($20K)				3	C/G	PT- 8:35
:22⁴	:46¹				:58⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	PRIVATE FRANK							4	1		1^½	1^1½		1⁴	1^9¼		(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119								4.50			1.85
1	G B'S TURBO							1	5		3^½	2^1½		2⁴	2^9¼		(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119								3.00			4.60
2	KENTUCKY JAKE							2	6		2^½	3³		3⁶	3^9¼		(rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 119								15.00	5%	19.00	14.20	S
5	VALID DEFENCE							5	3		6^6½	4⁴		5⁷	4^11¼		(anderson w)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119								6.00	29%	2.50	6.45
3	SUGAR DADDY JACK							3	4		4³	5⁵		4⁶	5^11¾		(brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119								4.00			3.75
6	TIMBER'S LEGACY							6	2		5^4½	6⁶		6¹²	6²⁵		(pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 119								2.00	49%	1.00	3.20

ASD-2				05/30/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Allowance									Purse ($18K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 9:05
:22³	:46²				:59²			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	ADAM'S CREED							3	3		4⁴	1^nk		2²	1¹		(anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 121								1.40	27%	2.70	0.70	W
3	MECHANIC SUSIE							2	6		3²	2^nk		1²	2¹		(dickey elto)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117								8.00	23%	3.40	2.00	P
2	TECATE GOLD							1	5		1^½	3^.2		3³	3^4¾		(maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117								4.00			8.75
7	ASK THE KING							6	1		2^½	4^¾		4^5½	4⁷		(mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 123								5.00	22%	3.60	12.35
5	LADY CREATIVE							4	4		5⁶	5^5¼		5⁸	5^7½		(gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121								6.00			16.75
6	SUNDAY SUZANNE							5	2		6^8½	6^7¼		6¹²	6^13¼		(jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 121								20.00			44.35
SCR	BE NAUGHTY WITH ME																(brown sh)LEWIS ANTHONY 121								10.00

ASD-3				05/30/2023	3960ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5.5K)									Purse ($13.2K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 9:35
:23¹	:46¹	:58³			1:11¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	EXCHEQUER							5	1		4¹	1^½		1¹	1^4¼		(keplin stev)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122								1.80	15%	5.50	1.30	W
4	MY BOY LOLLIPOP							4	4		3^½	2^½		3^2½	2^4¼		(sanderson bruce)BALROOP SVEN 122								3.00	39%	1.50	4.00	P
1	RAILSPLITTER							1	7		2^½	3^½		2¹	3^5¾		(anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 122								3.50	22%	3.50	2.80	S
6	LUCKENBACHER							6	2		5^2½	6^3¼		5⁶	4^7¾		(gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124								12.00	5%	19.00	11.00
3	TELLER							3	5		6³	7^5¼		6⁶	5^8½		(mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124								8.00			11.25
2	CLUB CHAMP							2	6		1^½	4¹		4⁵	6¹²		(ross court)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122								6.00			10.85
7	CAPTIVE KITTEN							7	3		7^3¼	5³		7⁸	7^12½		(morse victoria)BYNOE DAMARIO 122								25.00			34.90

ASD-4				05/30/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Claimer ($5K)									Purse ($10K)				3UP	ALL	PT-10:05
:22⁴	:47				1:00¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	FRANKS RELOAD							1	3		1^1½	1^nk		1²	1^¾		(gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119								4.00			5.60
5	LOVE OURS							5	1		4³	4^2¼		2²	2^¾		(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124								5.00			5.20
8	FIRST RATE ROMANCE							8	4		6⁶	6^6¾		6^5¾	3^4¾		(keplin jr)TARASENCO P 119								10.00			11.05
3	ALWAYS THE LIL ONE							3	2		2^1½	2^nk		3²	4^5¼		(pruitt lise)CARRENO J 119								3.00	33%	2.00	1.55
7	GERRYS MAGIC MAP							7	5		5^4½	5^3¼		5^2¾	5^6½		(brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124								2.50	32%	2.10	3.30
2	CLASSMAN							2	8		7^9½	7^11¾		7^8¼	6^6¾		(gittens devon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124								20.00	6%	14.60	29.65
6	MOSIE'S ON MAIN							6	6		3³	3²		4^2¼	7^8½		(miller bla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124								15.00			9.90
4	CHATTE FRANK							4	7		8¹²	8^11¾		8^10¾	8^10¾		(brown sh)LEWIS ANTHONY 119								15.00	6%	14.60	33.65

ASD-5				05/30/2023	3300ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($4K)									Purse ($10.4K)				3UP	ALL	PT-10:35
:22⁴	:46³				:59³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
7	DANZ A REBEL							7	3		3^1½	1^nk		1^½	1^¾		(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124								4.00			6.90
4	LUCKY LUKE							4	6		4³	4^2½		3^1½	2^¾		(anderson w)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124								6.00			5.95
1	DRIZZY							1	4		2^1½	3¹		4³	3^3½		(brown jared)CARRENO J 124								2.50			3.20
3	SILVER MAKER							3	8		8^8½	8^9¾		7^7½	4^5¼		(donley jim)BELLE SHAVON 124								15.00	5%	19.00	14.40
6	TIZ FUNNY							6	2		1^1½	2^nk		2^½	5^5¾		(brown allen)CUMBERBATCH R 124								1.60	71%	0.40	1.65
8	WARBRIDGE							8	1		5⁴	5⁵		5^6½	6^7½		(gardipy jr)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124								8.00	5%	19.00	8.95
2	THAT'S D 'CAT							2	5		7^6½	7^9½		8^9½	7^9½		(gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124								20.00	5%	19.00	46.85
5	PUCKER							5	7		6⁵	6^6½		6^6½	8¹⁰		(brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124								5.00			8.40



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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