Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/3/7)-(4/1/5/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(4/1/5/6)-(3/7/2/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(3/7/2/4)-(6/3/8/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-4   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (3/7/2/4)-(6/3/8/2)-(4/3/2/7) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (6/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/3/8/2)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/5/9/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/3/2/7)-(4/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1)-(4/5/9/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3 C/G PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G B'S TURBO May06 Apr16 Apr07     (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 3.00    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of SUGAR HEAVEN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  KENTUCKY JAKE Sep26         (rawson fred)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of KOMMANDO KATE by GOING COMMANDO)
3  SUGAR DADDY JACK Sep27 Sep06       (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
4  PRIVATE FRANK Aug22         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 4.50    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  VALID DEFENCE Sep26 Sep06       (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
6  TIMBER'S LEGACY         (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of YELLING TIMBER by FORESTRY)
 
ASD-2   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Nov25 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Jul31 (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 121 10.00    
2  TECATE GOLD Apr18 Mar18 Feb20 Jan23   (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 4.00    
3  MECHANIC SUSIE Sep26 Aug23       (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 8.00 23% 3.40    
4  ADAM'S CREED Apr28 Apr16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 1.40 27% 2.70    
5  LADY CREATIVE Apr25 Apr01 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 6.00    
6  SUNDAY SUZANNE Oct21 Sep12 Aug24 Aug16 Aug02 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 20.00    
7  ASK THE KING Apr10 Mar20 Mar07 Feb14 Jan09 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 123 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
ASD-3   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAILSPLITTER Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  CLUB CHAMP Sep27 Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug03 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
3  TELLER Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124 8.00    
4  MY BOY LOLLIPOP Apr26 Feb14 Feb06 Jan09 Nov29 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  EXCHEQUER Feb18 Feb01 Jan14 Dec30 Nov26 (keplin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.80 15% 5.50    
6  LUCKENBACHER May14 May06 Mar24 Mar02 Dec18 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAPTIVE KITTEN Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul25 Jun29 (morse victori)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 25.00    
 
ASD-4   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANKS RELOAD Dec01 Nov10 Oct14 Sep25   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 4.00    
2  CLASSMAN         (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 20.00 6% 14.60    
3  ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Sep26 Sep05       (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  CHATTE FRANK         (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 119 15.00 6% 14.60    
5  LOVE OURS May13 Apr29 Apr21 Jan28 Jan13 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00    
6  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Jul26   (miller b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
7  GERRYS MAGIC MAP Jan02 Dec14 Oct26 Jul18 Jun29 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
8  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Apr28 Apr22 Apr08 Mar11 Feb26 (keplin steve )TARASENCO P 119 10.00    
 
ASD-5   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIZZY Sep27 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug09 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 2.50    
2  THAT'S D 'CAT Apr21 Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SILVER MAKER May06 Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 (donley jim)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCKY LUKE Sep24 Aug30 Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
5  PUCKER Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
6  TIZ FUNNY Jun21 Jun06       (brown allen)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.60 71% 0.40    
7  DANZ A REBEL Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00    
8  WARBRIDGE Sep27 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 One Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIGS STAR STORM Apr07 Mar17 Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 114 3.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PURPLE STARDUSTER by STORMELLO)
2  REASONABLY LOVELY Apr21 Mar29 Mar17 Jan27 Dec28 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Sep26 Sep05 Aug22 Jul25 Jul11 (gittens devo)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00 9% 10.80    
  (by NONIOS out of RUSSIAN JEWEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  LADY COP Sep19 Aug29 Jul25 Jul11   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 114 2.00 66% 0.50    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of AGOLO BYNOE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Apr29 Feb10 Dec23 Oct29   (brown jared)CARRENO J 119 4.50    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of PREACH IT by SAINT BALLADO)
6  SPITTEN KITTEN Mar18 Feb15 Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 3.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ZAHRAH by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  SKY TIZZY May23 Apr22 Mar05 Jan28 Jan06 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of WINNING TURN by TIZNOW)
 
ASD-7   05/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOING SUCCESS         (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  ATABOYCOOKIE Oct21 Sep27 Sep13     (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 20.00    
  (by ABRAAJ out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
3  LOLLIPOP KID         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DONNA GAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  JEFF FA FA Oct21 Sep24 Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 61% 0.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  SILICON VALLEY         (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 124 5.00 7% 14.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AVAROOSKIE by CONGRATS)
SCR  SUNSPOT Apr29 Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Oct22 (morin shaun)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of SUMFLORIDASUNFUN by GENERAL QUARTERS)
7  FORITTABLE Dec11 Dec02 Nov06 Oct16 Sep23 (gardipy jr)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.80    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of RITTA by RIZZI)
8  OH MAN OH MAN Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug17 Jul26 (hrymak brent)BALROOP SVEN 124 20.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LIL' BUNNY FOO FOO by COLONEL JOHN)
9  FINALIZE Nov04 Oct21 Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00 7% 14.20    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.