Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $3.70  
CTM-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $31.70 $31.70 27.70
CTM-3   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
CTM-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $13.00  
CTM-5   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $28.80  
CTM-6   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
CTM-7   Win (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $3.60  
CTM-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 0.30

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHT FAST FEET 3 1 1½ 1   12 1 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.60 0.85  
VALUE DANCER 4 3 2½ 2   22 2 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 21% 3.70 1.85 P
VIVIEN'S CHARM 1 2 3½ 32   34 3 (smith craig )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 5.00 31% 2.20 3.95 S
LETS GO ALL THEWAY 2 4 4 44   4 48 (kingston robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00 10.65  
SCR  PONY GIRL               (smith rober)NELSON DANE 127 2.00    
 
CTM-2   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERPETUAL BLISS 3 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 30% 2.30 14.85 W
HUMBOLDTSTRONG 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 2.55  
FOREVER LADY 5 6 3.2 3.2   31 3 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80 42% 1.40 2.60 S
SAYGE'S SPIRIT 4 3 6 5   43 44 (joseph lionel)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 14.30  
ANNA'S IMAGE 1 5 5 7   7 5 (smith cra)CHASE RICHARD 112 3.50 4.10  
MIDNIGHT TAKE 7 7 7 6   65 68 (rycroft tim)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 5.85  
HIGH KELLY BABE 2 2 4 4   54 7 (ferguson lauri)ANDROS CORRINE 125 12.00 5.75  
 
CTM-3   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE HARPER 2 6 5 3   2 1nk (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 41% 1.40 3.30 W
GET BAKK 1 1 1nk 1nk   1 2nk (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 2.50  
CAPA BELLA 5 3 3 4   4 3 (robertson je)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 23% 3.30 2.50 S
BEAUTIFUL BABE 3 5 6 66   5 4 (calhoun kimberle)MARTIN ANDRE 125 15.00 9% 10.10 14.30  
SAVYSKYE 6 2 42 5   66 56 (russell monica)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 12.00  
ALPINE ROAD 4 4 2nk 2nk   3 6 (kettleson ali)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 5.00 3.20  
SCR  SANDY BEACH               (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 125 2.00    
 
CTM-4   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:22 :454         :454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MUNCHER 5 5 53 54   3.2 1¼ (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5.50  
DOC COPE 3 3 42 42   1nk 2¼ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 40% 1.50 5.60 P
NEW CHASER 4 4 6 6   6 32 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 3.45 S
SOMETHIN HAPPENIN 2 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 4 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 13.75  
PUMP THE BRAKES 6 6 3 31   5 5 (joseph )GASKIN ZAVIER 120 5.00 13.40  
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH 1 1 2nk 1nk   4¾ 6 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 34% 1.90 0.95  
SCR  KING OF STING               (rycroft t)CHASE RICHARD 115 4.50    
 
CTM-5   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :452         :452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIUS THE GREAT 3 3 1½ 11   1½ 1¾ (webster alfred)BRYAN D 125 5.00 13.40  
PRESS GANG 2 1 31 31   2½ 2¾ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 25% 3.00 2.40 P
DUNE D'ORO 4 4 41 42   42 3 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 33% 2.10 1.40 S
ALL THAT GOLD 6 2 2½ 21   3 4 (russell mon)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 6.50  
PARLEY STREET 5 6 6 6   54 5 (rycroft)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 3.50 22% 3.60 5.00  
FINAL SAY 1 5 5 54   6 6 (robertson je)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 8.60  
SCR  SMASH FACTOR               (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50    
 
CTM-6   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:22 :45         :45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNLEY 4 1 1½ 11   11 1 (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 127 3.50 38% 1.60 1.95 W
IMPACTO 3 6 4 31   21 2 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 127 4.00 1.35 P
DECOY 6 2 2½ 21   3 3 (kettleson aliv)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50 12% 7.30 5.55 S
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 1 4 5 5   5 4 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 20% 4.00 6.15  
H K MELODY 5 3 3 42   4 5 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 10.00 27.35  
NEXT JOURNEY 7 5 6 6   6 67 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00 17.65  
NORTHERN JEWEL 2 7 7 7   77 7 (cone rodney)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 27.60  
 
CTM-7   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:223 :463       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRIS'S COMMAND 4 2 1½ 1½   11 11 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 127 8.00 0.80  
AL REICHERT 3 1 41 4¾   21 21 (zielke madis)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5.70 P
ZURI RISASI 1 7 7 6   4 3 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 117 8.00 14.50  
REMAIN CALM 6 6 63 7   6 4 (joseph )GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.00 7% 13.60 23.05  
WIZARDOFMENLOPARK 5 3 3½ 3½   3 55 (o'hagan colleen)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00 59% 0.70 6.60  
RUN ROSSCO RUN 7 4 2½ 2½   5 66 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 127 2.50 8% 11.80 5.00  
JOKERS R WILD 2 8 8 8   8 7 (rycroft t)CHASE RICHARD 112 15.00 22.85  
CLEVER CONNECTION 8 5 5 5   7 8 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 122 12.00 31.10  
 
CTM-8   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:22 :451         :451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORAL 4 4 2½ 2nk   1 1 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 5% 19.00 2.15 W
QUICK DIAL 1 5 4 43   3 2 (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 8.00 7.70  
HENRY'S GAMBLE 6 8 7 7   43 3 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 38% 1.60 4.30 S
THERUFFSIDEOFEXHI 3 1 1½ 1nk   2 4 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 6.95  
EXACTLY 5 6 6 6   5 58 (joseph lionel)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 32% 2.10 6.95  
GO MAMA 7 2 5 5   64 6 (grieves ron)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 9.60  
MAGICAL LADY 8 7 8 8   7 710 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 127 12.00 5.30  
LOAD ABROAD 2 3 3 32   8 811½ (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 15.00 17.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.