The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Moosomin Downs
Sunday - September 18, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MMD-1   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($4.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:24 :482 1:131     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITTS MAGIC 1 1 1½ 1nk   11 1¼ (tourangeau jennifer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.50 0.65 DQ↓2
SCARLETTE ROSE 2 2 2½ 2nk   21 2¼ (pilon hubert)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.00 40% 1.50 0.30 W
SCR  KENSINGTON MARKET               (ananas edwin)TARASENCO P 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
MMD-2   09/18/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($4.1K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:25
:231 :474 1:122     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAS MISCHIEF 2 3 22 21   1½ 1(tourangeau jennifer)CHICKENESS S 126 3.00 44% 1.30 0.15 W
OBSTRUCTED VIEW 3 2 12 11   2½ 2(hunter judy)CHADEE JR 126 6.00 3.15 P
CAPTAIN JOHN 1 1 33 3   33(cameron dean)BADRIE PRAYVEN 126 4.00 34% 2.00 2.90 S
 
MMD-3   09/18/2022 2640ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake ($2.5K) Purse ($4.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:22 :334       :451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURPLE SCOOTER 1 2 13     15 1(zawislak dale)CHADEE JR 124 4.50 30% 2.30 0.55 W
HOME EARLY SHIRLEY 2 1 23     25 2(tourangeau mike)CHICKENESS S 124 6.00 33% 2.00 1.25 P
CATALINA DREAMIN 3 3 3     312 310¾ (zawislak dale)BELLE SHAVON 124 7.00 2.80 S
 
MMD-4   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:234 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP OF THE ROCK 3 1 1½ 1nk   11(tourangeau russell)BELLE SHAVON 126 2.50 34% 2.00   W
TANNIN 2 2 3 310   32(wuttunee rodney)CHADEE JR 126 3.00   P
HE'S A LADY TAMER 1 3 2½ 2nk   238 (zawislak dale)BADALOO DOUGLAS 126 5.00 22% 3.50   S
 
MMD-5   09/18/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:232 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGS PAL 3 3 11 13   15 16 (hunter judy)CHADEE JR 126 5.00 0.85  
MANDREW 2 4 3 35   36 26 (zawislak dale)MEIKLE ZAC 126 4.00 18% 4.60 7.60 P
STREET RULER 4 2 4 4   48 3(constant chester)TARASENCO P 126 4.00 6.70 S
TRIBAL ZEN 5 1 21 23   25 3(cameron dean)LEWIS ANTHONY 126 6.00 23% 3.40 3.00 S
GOLD MEDAL MAN 1 5 510½ 516½   516 525 (cameron dean)CHICKENESS S 126 2.50 25% 2.90 2.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.