Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-4   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.30 $2.30 29%
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $98.70 $74.70 311%
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-1-7 $167.55 $143.55 598%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARE BACK JACK 3 4 3½ 2½   1nk 1 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 38% 1.60 1.55 W
WHERE'S THE GOLD 4 2 41 42   3½ 2 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 3.65  
COMMON KNOWLEDGE 2 3 1½ 1½   2nk 33 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80 24% 3.20 1.55 S
DAD'S LEGACY 5 1 2½ 32   4 44 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 10% 9.00 6.55  
MANFORALLSEASONS 1 5 5 53   5 58 (wyness)STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00 19.80  
 
CTM-2   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER CONNECTION 2 3 1nk 1   11 1 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 120 6.00 4.50  
WIZARDOFMENLOPARK 5 1 3.2 2   21 2 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 2.50 58% 0.70 0.85 P
BEAUTIFUL CALL 3 5 5 6   33 37 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 1.80 19% 4.40 2.80 S
PUNCH PERFECT 1 6 6 5   43 4 (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00 23.25  
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 6 2 4¼ 3   58 516½ (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 35.85  
ENEMY LINES 4 4 2nk 4   611 624 (davie)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.00 7.05  
 
CTM-3   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:124 1:26   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTIN ON BELLE 3 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 11 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 123 6.00 8.10  
REBATE 1 5 4 4 4 32 21 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 118 2.50 2.60  
SAVYSKYE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 3 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 4.05 S
ANNA'S IMAGE 5 2 5 31 3 44 4 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 113 8.00 46.25  
WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE 4 4 32 6 6 58 517¾ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00 19% 4.20 1.90  
THIS TIME SWEETIE 6 6 6 52 5 611½ 623¼ (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00 55% 0.80 3.35  
 
CTM-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEITFORMEGIRL 2 6 6 4   1nk 12 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00 30% 2.30 4.15 W
STUBBORN LOVE 1 4 3½ 1nk   3.2 22 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00 5% 19.00 14.85 P
SASSY CINDERELLA 7 1 2nk 3.2   2nk 33 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00 35% 1.90 1.80 S
LILLY'S OF LONDON 3 3 1nk 2nk   4 47 (smi)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 2.50 2.65  
FAMOUS LAST WORDS 5 5 41 5   5 58 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 118 10.00 23.10  
SAYGE'S SPIRIT 6 2 5 6   7 6 (gourd)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 8.00 14.65  
SASSY MISS ELLIOTT 4 7 7 7   6 710½ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00 9% 10.70 4.45  
 
CTM-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICE GUY EDDIE 1 5 1nk 11   11 1 (anderson go)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00 4.20  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HEYWARDS PARK by TIZNOW)
TAPFERSURE 3 7 5 3   21 2 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 5.00 12.45  
  (by TAPITURE out of WONDER AGAIN by SILVER HAWK)
SIX SHOTS OF T 5 2 4¼ 4   5 36 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00 63% 0.60 2.95 S
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of AZULINHA by HAT TRICK)
ADIOS Y GRACIAS 2 4 2nk 21   4 46 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 8.00 7.90  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
LIFES ADVENTURE 4 1 3.2 5   31 5 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 15% 5.90 1.25  
  (by TOURIST out of THYME IS LIME by GILDED TIME)
ALBERTA BERBON 7 3 7 7   6 6 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
TIMELY LIFE 6 6 6 6   7 713¼ (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.55  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLATTERING LIFE by FLATTER)
SCR  GURRIAN               (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 6.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of MORITA by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
 
CTM-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE CHICAGO 3 8 7 6   2½ 1 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00 9.25  
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH 5 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 2 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 1.20  
SNAP COUNT 6 3 4 3   3½ 32 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00 20.40  
TRICKY SPEEDSTER 7 1 8 8   6 4 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 8 4 6 7   7 5 (humbk)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 39.35  
HIGH KELLY SONG 2 5 1nk 1nk   4¾ 6 (humbke che)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 12.00 30.00  
FLYING SUN 4 7 5 5   8 78 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 120 2.00 60% 0.70 3.75  
VICTORY AT LAST 1 6 32 42   5 8 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50 10% 8.80 2.80  
 
CTM-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER 4 1 1nk 1   12 1 (kenway)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5.95  
FLORIST 3 4 4 5   4 2 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 22% 3.60 11.30 P
ADDYDIDIT 1 5 6 6   6 3 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 8% 11.30 3.55 S
DAZZLING MIST 6 3 5 4   22 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 34% 1.90 5.10 S
QUICK DIAL 5 2 31 2   3 5 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 1.55  
PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE 2 6 2nk 3   5 6 (walper dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 5.00 4.50  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MESS               (wyness james)NELSON DANE 120 15.00    
SCR  TALA               (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.