Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(6/4/2)-(7/2/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-3   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (7/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1)-(7/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8)-(4/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/7/8)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANFORALLSEASONS Jul01 Jun03 Apr26 Apr12 Mar12 (wyness)STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00    
2  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jun30 Jun10 May27 May06 Oct29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80 24% 3.20    
3  BARE BACK JACK Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 May27 Oct29 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  WHERE'S THE GOLD Jul08 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00    
5  DAD'S LEGACY May06 Oct22 Sep17 Sep02 Jul23 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 10% 9.00    
 
CTM-2   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH PERFECT Jun23 Jun02 Jul01 Jun10   (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00    
2  CLEVER CONNECTION Jun23 Jun09 May13 Oct29 Oct08 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 120 6.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL CALL Jun16 Jun02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 1.80 19% 4.40    
4  ENEMY LINES Jun03         (davie)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.00    
5  WIZARDOFMENLOPARK Jun19 Jun09 May26 May13 Oct29 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Nov04 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-3   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBATE Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May26 Mar19 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 118 2.50    
2  SAVYSKYE Jun23 Jun09 May13 Oct28 Oct14 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BETTIN ON BELLE Jul08 Jun23 Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 123 6.00    
4  WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 Oct14 Sep24 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  ANNA'S IMAGE Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Apr21 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 113 8.00    
6  THIS TIME SWEETIE Jun16 May27 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00 55% 0.80    
 
CTM-4   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUBBORN LOVE Jul08 Jun17 May27 May12 Nov04 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Jul02 Jun10       (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  LILLY'S OF LONDON Jul07 Jun16 May26 Oct08 Sep23 (smi)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 2.50    
4  SASSY MISS ELLIOTT Jul01 Jun09       (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
5  FAMOUS LAST WORDS Jul01 Jun17 May12 Nov05 Oct22 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 118 10.00    
6  SAYGE'S SPIRIT Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Nov04 (gourd)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 8.00    
7  SASSY CINDERELLA Jun17 Jun03 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
CTM-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE GUY EDDIE         (anderson go)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of HEYWARDS PARK by TIZNOW)
2  ADIOS Y GRACIAS Jun30 Jun10       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 8.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SEEK TO DANCE by GONE WEST)
3  TAPFERSURE May27 Oct28 Sep24     (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of WONDER AGAIN by SILVER HAWK)
SCR  GURRIAN         (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 6.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of MORITA by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
5  LIFES ADVENTURE Jun24 Jun10 May27     (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
  (by TOURIST out of THYME IS LIME by GILDED TIME)
6  SIX SHOTS OF T Jun10 May27 Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00 63% 0.60    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of AZULINHA by HAT TRICK)
7  TIMELY LIFE         (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLATTERING LIFE by FLATTER)
8  ALBERTA BERBON         (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
 
CTM-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY AT LAST Jun24 May26 May06 Apr17 Dec01 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50 10% 8.80    
2  HIGH KELLY SONG Jun24 Jun10 May26 Oct29 Oct15 (humbke che)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 12.00    
3  LITTLE CHICAGO Jul01 Jun10 May26 Nov04 Sep30 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00    
4  FLYING SUN Jul01 Jun10 Apr01 Mar19 Feb26 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
5  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr01 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 4.00    
6  SNAP COUNT Jun24 May26 May06 Nov04 Sep02 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
7  TRICKY SPEEDSTER Jul01 Jun10 May26 Nov04 Oct28 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jul01 Jun03 Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 (humbk)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDYDIDIT Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Oct29 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 8% 11.30    
2  PEARL OF KNOWLEDGE Jun16 May26 Nov05 Sep10 Aug12 (walper dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 5.00    
3  FLORIST Jun23 Jun03 May12 Oct28 Oct15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 22% 3.60    
4  MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER Jun16 Jun02 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (kenway)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
5  QUICK DIAL Jul09 May26 May13 Nov05 Oct21 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00    
6  DAZZLING MIST Jun03 May26 May06 Apr24 Apr01 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  TALA Jun09 May26 May12 Nov05 Oct07 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 20.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jul07 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Mar12 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.