Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $13.60 $1.60 13%
CTM-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.60 $1.60 27%
CTM-6   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.40 $5.40 68%
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-1-4 $33.25 $9.25 39%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-3   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL MESS 4 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1¾ (wyness james)NELSON DANE 120 1.60 73% 0.40 0.60 W
  (by TAPITURE out of ANGELA'S SMILE by SCAT DADDY)
ROSE ROSE ROSE 2 5 4¾ 31   2nk 2¾ (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.80 P
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TURLINGTON by TAPIZAR)
KEEPMEINPOWER 1 4 5 44   32 3 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 6.15  
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of GENERALCBANDSALLIE by OFFICER)
CHABI 3 3 3½ 55   5 420½ (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 9.85  
  (by TAPITURE out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
PERPETUATE 5 1 2nk 2½   49 522 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 3.20  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CUT IN STONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CTM-4   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT FLYER 5 2 2nk 1   12 1 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.00 33% 2.00 2.80 W
NO MORE JO KING 2 1 5 44   3 2 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 3.15  
SINGING BELL 4 4 3 32   22 3 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 122 1.60 37% 1.70 0.90 S
WOMANONTHEWARPATH 1 5 1nk 2   4 410½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
GOLDEN FORTYNINE 3 3 42 5   511½ 517¾ (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50 10.30  
 
CTM-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHIN REASON 3 1 1 13   13 1 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.60 20% 4.10 1.25 W
AMBER PRINCESS 2 4 4 47   23 2 (tingle ke)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00 17.45  
VIVIEN'S CHARM 4 2 3 23   33 3 (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 3.00 42% 1.40 4.55 S
PONY GIRL 5 6 5 57   4 4 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 8% 11.40 3.35  
BEAUTIFUL BABE 1 5 6 612   6 511 (calhoun kimber)MARTIN ANDRE 123 10.00 32.40  
SANDY BEACH 6 3 2 3   5 618½ (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 3.20  
 
CTM-6   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP'S ROCK 5 2 1½ 1   1 17 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 W
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
GOLDIE SOCKS 1 1 3 2   2 27 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 4.00 8% 12.10 2.55 P
  (by IMPERIALISM out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA 3 4 54 44   314½ 326¼ (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 24% 3.20 1.40 S
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of INSTANT STYLE by FORESTRY)
LADY KALIPA 6 3 2½ 3   421½ 437 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 120 15.00 9.55  
  (by MARINE LANDING out of SALAZAR by DISCREET CAT)
VIOLET CITY 4 5 43 55   523½ 541½ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00 8.80  
  (by DESTIN out of MONEYGRABBER by AWESOME AGAIN)
HERMANITA ALEX 2 6 629 6100   6100 6100 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 120 6.00 6.40  
  (by SINGING SAINT out of PLATINUM RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  BRYNN'S DREAM               (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
 
CTM-7   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:402     1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEXT JOURNEY 4 4 4 32 4 2½ 1 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 5.45  
EL NOBLE 1 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 1½ 2 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 60% 0.70 1.80 P
BARE BACK JACK 5 3 5 5 33 31 35 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 10% 9.30 2.50 S
UPO 7 6 6 6 6 5 4 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 5.15  
RYANWATER 6 5 3.2 1nk 2nk 4 514 (heggie rod)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00 8% 10.90 10.55  
MR. KALYPSO 2 1 2nk 4 5 7 619 (buehler r)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00 23.45  
CHROME KING 3 7 7 7 7 6 719 (humbke cheryl)FRASER MEAGAN 120 5.00 9.50  
 
CTM-8   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
See original race card.
:23 :47 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE NAUGHTY WITH ME 7 3 1nk 1nk   1 1 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00 10.05  
QUEEN RHONDA 6 4 5¾ 5   4 2 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 40% 1.50 2.70 P
DRAMATIC FLAIR 3 1 6 7   72 3 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 19% 4.20 5.15 S
JELLI 1 7 7 6   62 44 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 8.00 5% 19.00 14.75  
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 2 6 4¾ 4   3 5 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 118 12.00 5.25  
SOCIAL CUES 4 2 2nk 3.2   2 66 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00 15% 5.80 2.35  
LILLY'S OF LONDON 5 5 3.2 2nk   5 7 (smith )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 8.00 6.45  
SCR  LUCKY HALO               (pozzo jack)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.