Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - July 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(1/5/6/2)-(7/3/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(7/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-8   WIN (7/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1)-(7/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-3   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Jun09 May26 Mar07 Feb18 Jan23 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of GENERALCBANDSALLIE by OFFICER)
2  ROSE ROSE ROSE Jun09 Apr22 Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TURLINGTON by TAPIZAR)
3  CHABI May06 Aug12 Jul03 Jun04   (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of ABSOLUTE BEARING by MIZZEN MAST)
4  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Mar12 Jan23 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 120 1.60 73% 0.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of ANGELA'S SMILE by SCAT DADDY)
5  PERPETUATE Apr15 Jan14 Jan05     (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CUT IN STONE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CTM-4   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Jun16 May27 Dec29 Oct24 Sep26 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NO MORE JO KING Jun09 May06 Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00    
3  GOLDEN FORTYNINE Jun10 May26 May06 Oct22 Sep23 (kettleson al)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50    
4  SINGING BELL Jun10 May26 Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  NIGHT FLYER Jun16 May12 Oct15     (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
CTM-5   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL BABE May13 Nov05 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 (calhoun kimber)MARTIN ANDRE 123 10.00    
2  AMBER PRINCESS Jun23 Jun09 May27 Oct22 Oct07 (tingle ke)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00    
3  WITHIN REASON Jun17 Jun10 May26 May06 Aug20 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.60 20% 4.10    
4  VIVIEN'S CHARM Jun02 May13 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  PONY GIRL Jun17 Mar31 Feb22 Feb12 Jan15 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 8% 11.40    
6  SANDY BEACH Oct14 Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jun10 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 123 2.00    
 
CTM-6   07/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDIE SOCKS Jun09 May26 May06 Oct29 Oct22 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 4.00 8% 12.10    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
2  HERMANITA ALEX May26 May06 Oct22     (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of PLATINUM RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  BRYNN'S DREAM Jun09 May26 May06 Oct22   (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
4  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jun09         (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of INSTANT STYLE by FORESTRY)
5  VIOLET CITY Jun09 Oct22       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of MONEYGRABBER by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  SKIP'S ROCK         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
7  LADY KALIPA Jun09 May06       (nicholson david)BRYAN D 120 15.00    
  (by MARINE LANDING out of SALAZAR by DISCREET CAT)
 
CTM-7   07/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL NOBLE Jun09 May12 Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 60% 0.70    
2  MR. KALYPSO Oct01 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul01 (buehler r)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHROME KING Jun23 Jun03 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03 (humbke cheryl)FRASER MEAGAN 120 5.00    
4  NEXT JOURNEY Jun23 Jun16 May26 May13 Apr11 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00    
5  BARE BACK JACK Jun23 Jun10 May27 Oct29 Oct15 (anderson gon)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 10% 9.30    
6  RYANWATER Jun24 Jun09 May27 Nov05 Oct07 (heggie rod)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00 8% 10.90    
7  UPO Jun24 Mar04 Feb06 Jan18 Dec14 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00    
 
CTM-8   07/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JELLI Jun17 Jun03 Nov04 Sep30   (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Jun16 May26 Oct29 Sep24 Sep10 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 118 12.00    
3  DRAMATIC FLAIR Jun10 May27 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  LUCKY HALO Sep24 Sep02 Aug13     (pozzo jack)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
5  SOCIAL CUES Jun17 Jun02 May06 Jul09   (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.00 15% 5.80    
6  LILLY'S OF LONDON Jun16 May26 Oct08 Sep23 Sep10 (smith )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 8.00    
7  QUEEN RHONDA Jun10 May27 May12 Nov04 Oct22 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
8  BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Jun27 Jun14 Nov25 Sep24 Sep10 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.