Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Mile
Friday - August 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CTM-1   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:214 :441 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATTY GAL 1 5 2nk 1½   1½ 1nk (jones dan)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 31% 2.20 1.10 W
5  MADE FOR MORE 5 4 32 32½   2½ 2nk (rycroft tom)BALROOP SVEN 125 8.00 13% 7.00 13.20 P
2  TALA 2 6 44½ 44   31 3.2 (fre)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 22% 3.50 2.90 S
3  FLASHY BIZ 3 7 55 66   52 41¼ (frey c)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 ★ 6.50  
4  FAIRY BARB 4 3 1nk 2½   41½ 53 (joseph lionel)FRASER MEAGAN 115 10.00 18.45  
7  ENTITLED STAR 7 2 65½ 56   63½ 63½ (mckenzie a)ROQUE C 125 6.00 23.60  
6  MARYAM 6 1 75¾ 710   77½ 75½ (brown r)WALCOTT W 125 5.00 ★ 5.35  
 
CTM-2   08/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:244 :48 1:12 1:25   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SAVYSKYE 5 2 1½ 1nk 11½ 11½ 1¾ (russell monica)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 39% 1.60 2.50 W
1  LULABELLE 1 1 2½ 2nk 21½ 21½ 2¾ (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 6.00 21.45  
2  I'MANIMPERIALGIRL 2 4 31½ 3½ 31½ 32 31 (joseph lionel)MARTIN ANDRE 123 2.00 ★ 1.95 S
6  STEAMIN DEMON 6 3 42 41½ 42½ 44 44½ (davies)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 5.00 15% 5.50 6.50  
4  LASKA (CHI) 4 5 69 68 68 55½ 55½ (fre)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 17% 5.00 7.80  
3  TOP DEMON 3 6 55 52 53 66½ 611 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 8.00 ★ 2.80  
 
CTM-3   08/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:09     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER 6 2 11½ 11½   11½ 14 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 3.00 ★ 4.00  
5  SHOTTHRUTHEHEART 5 3 31½ 21½   21½ 24 (smith craig )WALCOTT W 126 4.00 38% 1.60 4.40 P
1  TANGERINE TAXI 1 5 21½ 31½   32 34½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 8.00 15.45  
8  RED CHOCOLATE 8 1 65 57¼   43 44¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 5.00 34% 1.90 1.65  
4  NEVVARE 4 6 54½ 67¼   63¼ 55¼ (heggie rod)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 126 10.00 8.00  
2  EXHI KID 2 4 42½ 47   53 65¼ (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 2.50 4.15  
7  DURITZ 7 7 76 79¼   78¼ 77¼ (tracy greg)BYNOE DAMARIO 126 8.00 ★ 34.35  
3  IGNITE THE MOON 3 8 87 812¾   817¼ 820½ (buehler)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 124 15.00 ★ 41.40  
 
CTM-4   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GREAT VISION 6 5 1nk 11   15 18¾ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 2.00 62% 0.60 0.55 W
5  RUN ROSSCO RUN 5 3 2nk 21   25 28¾ (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 126 3.50 9% 10.30 2.70 P
7  COSMIC MARINE 7 2 42¼ 34   38 38¾ (nicholson david)BRYAN D 121 5.00 16.80  
1  JAKE THE RAKE 1 4 52¾ 45½   510 410½ (rycroft tom)BYNOE DESEAN 116 6.00 ★ 9.85  
3  STREAKIN AGAIN 3 6 67¾ 67   48½ 510¾ (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 121 8.00 ★ 36.70  
2  REMAIN CALM 2 7 713¾ 712   610 610¾ (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 4.00 ★ 14.25  
4  MCKENZIE RED 4 1 32 56½   710½ 713¼ (rycroft tom)BALROOP SVEN 121 10.00 29.05  
 
CTM-5   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG HUG 2 5 43½ 44½   1nk 13¼ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50 38% 1.60 0.90 W
6  BOOTIFUL ROSE 6 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 23¼ (frey carson)WALCOTT W 123 2.00 38% 1.60 1.50 P
3  SINGING BELL 3 4 32½ 33   31 36 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 ★ 10.25 S
4  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 4 2 2nk 2nk   41½ 49¾ (payne jodey)MARTIN ANDRE 120 6.00 ★ 20.70  
1  SUBLIME EUPHORIA 1 6 54½ 58½   56½ 511¾ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00 ★ 30.30  
5  SPIRIT GIRL 5 3 65½ 612½   616½ 628 (brown r)MORALES SILVINO 120 5.00 10.45  
 
CTM-6   08/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
See original race card.
:224 :443 1:084     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BON PRIX 3 3 1½ 11½   15 13 (wyness james)BALROOP SVEN 121 3.50 ★ 4.10  
9  PRESS GANG 8 1 53 57   25 23 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 8.00 3.75  
4  FROBISHER BAY 4 7 66½ 68   47½ 37 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 4.00 16.55  
1  MAKE GOOD CHOICES 1 6 31½ 33½   37 47½ (smith rob)NELSON DANE 126 2.50 68% 0.50 0.85  
8  SILVER SPUN 7 2 41½ 45   613 514¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 114 15.00 5% 19.00 21.85  
2  BACOLI 2 4 2½ 21½   512½ 614¾ (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 124 5.00 ★ 15.05  
7  SHIMSHINE 6 5 711½ 716   718 720½ (bourne elige)MARTIN ANDRE 124 20.00 45.80  
5  MY LUCKY MARK 5 8 8100 8100   8100 8100 (ward anderson)BYNOE DESEAN 121 12.00 16.85  
SCR  YORKTOWN               (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 126 7.00 ★    
 
CTM-7   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-11:15
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CUBAN COBRA 5 2 1nk 11   12 13¾ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.85 W
7  READYTOTAPNSING 7 4 62¼ 55½   22 23¾ (brown r)PEREZ AMADEO 124 2.50 25% 2.90 1.55 P
3  IT'S A FACT 3 5 2nk 21   32 35¾ (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 121 10.00 ★ 7.85 S
1  SMART CAT 1 8 85½ 68½   53¾ 47 (rycr)REYES AMBROSIO 121 15.00 45.85  
6  LAHUN 6 3 5¾ 32½   42¼ 57¾ (tracy greg)WALCOTT W 121 8.00 9.40  
4  IT CAN'T HURT 4 7 75¼ 812½   711¼ 616½ (smith rob)NELSON DANE 121 8.00 28.35  
2  LIL ZAPPER 2 6 3.2 710½   811¾ 719¼ (payne jode)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 4.00 9% 10.60 19.15  
8  REMEMBERTHEALAMO 8 1 4¼ 44½   610¾ 820½ (condilenios)MORALES SILVINO 124 5.00 10% 9.20 6.90  
 
CTM-8   08/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANDY BEACH 3 5 11½ 12   11½ 11 (heggie rod)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 5% 17.50 7.40 W
10  MOON AMOUR 10 1 21½ 22   21½ 21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.80 70% 0.40 1.25 P
4  STOLEN JEWEL 4 3 52¾ 35   34½ 34¾ (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00 5.80  
6  WICKED WOMAN 6 10 85¾ 77½   56 46 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 10.00 18.95  
2  SMOKEDYA 2 6 62¾ 66½   45½ 57¾ (joseph lione)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 24.75  
5  CORDILLERA 5 9 107 99   87¾ 69¾ (nicholson )RIZO ALEXIS 113 8.00 ★ 3.35  
7  MISS DIRECTED 7 4 96¾ 109¼   67½ 711¼ (rycroft tom)BALROOP SVEN 118 20.00 55.50  
1  SOPHIE MCTROPHY 1 7 31½ 45   77½ 813¾ (cone rodne)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 10.00 ★ 26.80  
9  MUSICAL RELOAD 9 2 73¾ 88   99¾ 915½ (cone rodney)MUIR SHAMAREE 118 3.00 ★ 12.60  
8  PRECIOUS NOTES 8 8 41¾ 55½   1010¾ 1017½ (bell ken)BRYAN D 123 12.00 44.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.