Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.30 $6.30 105%
CTM-4   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.00 $1.00 13%
CTM-6   EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $29.50 $5.50 23%
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-1-4 $133.15 $109.15 455%
CTM-7   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-4 $76.80 $52.80 220%
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-3 $55.00 $23.00 72%
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5/6-2-3 $56.05 $8.05 17%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-2   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIGORO 4 4 4 4   21 1 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 8% 12.30 5.15 W
SOFIA D 'AMORE 3 5 5 57   5 2 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 4.00 2.40  
MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER 2 2 1 12   11 3 (kenway thom)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 14% 6.20 2.85 S
JOY IN GRACE 5 1 3 32   43 4 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60 44% 1.20 4.75  
LIGHT FAST FEET 1 3 2 22   3 5 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 2.45  
 
CTM-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERDITION 1 6 6 6   31 1 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.00 2.80  
REDNECK REMARK 2 3 3.2 11   11 2 (mcdonald ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00 22.95  
HARD TO COME HOME 3 1 2nk 21   21 3 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 11% 8.00 1.15 S
SILVER SPUN 5 5 5 5   5 4 (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 125 3.00 19% 4.20 2.70  
YORKTOWN 6 2 1nk 31   4 5 (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 15.15  
POKER TABLE 4 4 4 43   64 6 (depew )STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50 44% 1.30 10.90  
 
CTM-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORKAN 7 1 2½ 2nk   1 14 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 9% 10.50 3.50 W
TUCKER TIME 6 5 54 6   4 24 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00 10.25  
ESTIFRAAD 5 3 3 32   3 34 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 9.60  
AWHITESPORTSCOAT 2 6 64 4   53 47 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 14% 6.20 6.95  
COMMON KNOWLEDGE 3 2 1½ 1nk   2 5 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 6.00  
SMARTY RIVER PANTS 4 4 43 54   67 610¼ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.00  
SHARP DRESSED BEAU 1 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80  
 
CTM-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCROW STYLE 5 5 5 5¾ 42 2nk 1 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 44% 1.30 0.95 W
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR 2 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 1nk 2 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.50 5.35  
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 1 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 3.2 35 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 10.20  
MAKE'N TRACKS 3 6 65 6 6 4 4 (pozzo jac)ZENTENO JR 123 15.00 15% 5.80 20.40  
TRICKY SPEEDSTER 6 4 42 4¾ 32 5 511¼ (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00 13% 6.50 3.00  
BETTIN ON BELLE 4 3 31 3½ 56 6 619 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 5.00 6.55  
SCR  PULL THE PIN               ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00    
 
CTM-6   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:141 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H K RAPPER 2 1 42 5½ 31 1nk 1 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 10% 9.30 1.75 W
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
OUR SUNSHINE 1 7 7 7 4 3½ 2 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.80 P
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
COUNTY WINDS 4 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 32 (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 5.00 6% 16.10 6.35 S
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
ALBERTA BERBON 5 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 41 4 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 4.00 7.95  
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
SMART DECISION 7 5 5 6½ 6 53 512¼ (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 13.30  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
BRYNN'S DREAM 6 3 3 3.2 7 66 620¼ (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 117 2.00 61% 0.60 1.75  
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
CAROSWAY 3 6 6 4¼ 5 7 722¼ (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 122 8.00 18.85  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of CARO'S SONG by JET WEST)
 
CTM-7   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY'S GAMBLE 3 4 21 2½   11 1½ (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 16% 5.30 6.80 W
ADDYDIDIT 4 2 5 3   32 2½ (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 14% 6.10 3.65 P
SHE LOVES WINNIN 2 5 11 1½   21 3 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 1.65  
GO MAMA 7 1 4 64   5 4 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00 13.75  
SKY DESTINY 8 6 8 8   6 5 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00 20.95  
SUDDENLY MISTY 1 8 6 43   4 6 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 15.00 23.35  
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 6 7 7 7   75 76 (rycroft tom)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 30% 2.30 3.40  
FLORIST 5 3 32 5   86 88 (rycroft tim)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 5.00 10% 9.00 12.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.