Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/5/3)-(4/1/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/3/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1)-(6/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/1)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-7   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT FAST FEET Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Oct21 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00    
2  MISCHIEVOUSOFFICER Jul28 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 Oct01 (kenway thom)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 14% 6.20    
3  SOFIA D 'AMORE Jul28 Jul01 Jun16 May12 Mar09 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 4.00    
4  GRIGORO Jul28 Jun09 May26 Apr28 Mar31 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 8% 12.30    
5  JOY IN GRACE Jul28 Jul09 Jun16 May26 Oct21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 1.60 44% 1.20    
 
CTM-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERDITION Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May27 Oct21 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.00    
2  REDNECK REMARK Jul23 Jun30 Jun16     (mcdonald ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 12.00    
3  HARD TO COME HOME Jun30 May26 May12 Oct29 Oct22 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 10.00 11% 8.00    
4  POKER TABLE Jul15 Jun10 Sep05 Jul30 Jul16 (depew )STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  SILVER SPUN Jul22 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Sep09 (ananas edw)RIZO ALEXIS 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  YORKTOWN Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May27 May12 (petrowski)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00    
 
CTM-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP DRESSED BEAU Jul23 Jun30 Jun10 May26 Jun03 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 19% 4.30    
2  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Jul22 Jun09 May26 May12 Mar08 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 14% 6.20    
3  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jul16 Jun30 Jun10 May27 May06 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00    
4  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May27 May12 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  ESTIFRAAD Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 Oct21 Oct07 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 5.00    
6  TUCKER TIME Jul22 Jul09 Jun30 May26 Oct22 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
7  BORKAN Jul23 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May12 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 9% 10.50    
 
CTM-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 Feb14 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
2  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Jul22 Jul01 May26 Nov05 Oct22 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 3.50    
3  MAKE'N TRACKS Jun30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 (pozzo jac)ZENTENO JR 123 15.00 15% 5.80    
4  BETTIN ON BELLE Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 Oct29 Oct15 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 5.00    
SCR  PULL THE PIN Jul28 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.00    
6  ESCROW STYLE Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 May26 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  TRICKY SPEEDSTER Jul16 Jul01 Jun10 May26 Nov04 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
CTM-6   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR SUNSHINE Jul23 Jun10 May27 May06 Oct22 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
2  H K RAPPER Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 May06 Nov05 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 10% 9.30    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
3  CAROSWAY Jul23 Jun30       (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 122 8.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of CARO'S SONG by JET WEST)
4  COUNTY WINDS Jul23         (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 5.00 6% 16.10    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
5  ALBERTA BERBON Jul16         (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
  (by HEAVENLY CHORUS out of MAGIC TANGO by MAGIC PROSPECT)
6  BRYNN'S DREAM Jul23 Jun09 May26 May06 Oct22 (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 117 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
7  SMART DECISION Jul23         (robertson j)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
 
CTM-7   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUDDENLY MISTY Jul28 Jun16 May27 Oct08 Sep18 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 15.00    
2  SHE LOVES WINNIN Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50    
3  HENRY'S GAMBLE Jul28 Jul09 Jun16 Jun10 May26 (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 16% 5.30    
4  ADDYDIDIT Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 14% 6.10    
5  FLORIST Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 May12 (rycroft tim)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 5.00 10% 9.00    
6  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 Jun02 Mar19 (rycroft tom)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  GO MAMA Jul29 Jun02 May13 Nov05 Oct15 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
8  SKY DESTINY Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Oct29 Oct08 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.