Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Century Mile
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-5   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $12.00 $6.00 100%
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-5 $24.70 $12.70 106%

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-2   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:221 :461       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MIEZIE 3 2 1nk 1nk   11 1 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 2.00 38% 1.60 1.20 W
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
SUDDENLY FAMOUS 2 3 2nk 2nk   21 2 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 6.00 18.50  
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
SILKSTONE 1 1 4 47   36 3 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 4.00 3.80  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
EL CORRECAMINOS 4 6 7 712   6 410¾ (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.05  
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of GIFTED BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
KULSUM 5 5 6 69   59 511 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.65  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
DOUG'S HERO 6 7 56 5   711 613¼ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 12.00 7.70  
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
HE TOLD AMY 7 4 32 34   49 713¾ (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.40  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of OH FLATTER ME by FLATTER)
 
CTM-3   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMBER PRINCESS 1 6 44 42   3½ 12 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 12.00 22.55  
SWIFT SWALLOW 6 4 611½ 610   4 22 (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 5.00 11% 7.80 8.20 P
THRILL OF THE NITE 2 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 3 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.05 S
MOHAYMEN DAY 4 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 4 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50 3.65  
PAULINA'S STAR 5 2 31 3½   5 510¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 14% 6.30 1.35  
FOREVER LADY 3 5 5 5   65 611 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 8% 11.20 19.10  
BEAUTIFUL BABE 7 7 715½ 716½   717 732¼ (calhoun kimber)MARTIN ANDRE 123 20.00 69.25  
 
CTM-4   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:124 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JELLI 4 6 59 3 34 11 16 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 6.00 11.50  
GOLDEN FORTYNINE 5 4 13 1 11 21 26 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 118 10.00 11.95  
DRAMATIC FLAIR 6 3 712 710 48 44 310¾ (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.50 26% 2.80 3.90 S
QUEEN RHONDA 2 5 23 2 21 33 412½ (smith k)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 2.50 10% 9.10 3.65  
LILBITSPICY 1 1 3 48 59 5 513¼ (anders)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 5% 19.00 14.35  
SHAKINOFFTHERUST 3 2 47 59 6 6 615½ (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.25  
WOMANONTHEWARPATH 7 7 612 6 710 77 716½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 12.00 9.60  
 
CTM-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sonoma Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORCE TO REKN WITH 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 121 2.00 25% 3.00 5.00 W
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of NOBLE PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
BIG HUG 5 4 3 4¾ 3 3 2 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.60 P
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
ROSE ROSE ROSE 3 6 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 32 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 115 15.00 25.20  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TURLINGTON by TAPIZAR)
ECHO CREEK 4 5 6 6 5 42 4 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 10.00 16.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SMOKE EM ALL by NIIGON)
SUPER CARO 6 1 53 5 42 57 514¾ (o'h)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 4.50 10% 9.10 5.55  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MY SISTER CARO by BOP)
BOOTIFUL ROSE 2 3 2½ 3½ 6 622 647½ (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 1.65  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of JUNGLE ROSE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
CTM-6   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:374   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLORAL 5 2 1½ 1 12 1nk 1 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 8.00 7.10  
  (by BAKKEN out of MONTEFIORE by RAHY)
MINE ME 2 3 32 3 22 3.2 2 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 119 2.00 28% 2.50 3.80 P
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
TONE IT UP 6 4 42 4 44 4¼ 3 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 5.00 3.90  
  (by TONALIST out of ACHIEVER'S LEGACY by CITY ZIP)
STEVIE WONDER GIRL 4 5 2½ 2 32 2nk 4 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 117 15.00 15.95  
  (by NO HESITATION out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
ORANGE THEORY 7 6 5 5 6 61 5 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 117 10.00 6% 14.90 8.15  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of CHIPPI by TRIPPI)
PLUM BLUE 1 1 74 7 7 5½ 610 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 3.00 36% 1.80 4.15  
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
DANCE SHOES 3 7 6 65 5 75 720 (brown r)NELSON DANE 121 12.00 8% 11.60 2.55  
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
CTM-7   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-11:15
See original race card.
:222 :461       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSALLGOODMAN 4 3 2½ 2½   12 1 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 34% 1.90 0.75 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
THUNDER ROARS 8 7 53 43   32 2 (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 4.00 13.85  
  (by MARINE LANDING out of HANGINGONAPRAYER by GRAND SLAM)
JODEYS LIL PAIN 5 8 76 66   4 3 (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 119 2.50 21% 3.80 4.00 S
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
JAKOBS ROCKET BOY 2 4 1½ 1½   22 410¼ (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00 9.05  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
CHICKS DIG CAPES 1 6 8 7   5 514¾ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 20.00 5% 19.00 24.70  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CHECKPLUSCHICK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
WHY NOT DANCE 6 5 4 55   610½ 617½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 12.00 10.15  
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
CAPE'S LEGACY 7 2 6 8   714½ 721¾ (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 17.35  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
SIZZLIN ROSE 3 1 3½ 32   817½ 829 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.65  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
 
CTM-8   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THAT GOLD 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1 (russ)REYES AMBROSIO 123 15.00 4.55  
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 3 4 6 31 31 21 2 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 7.05 P
UPO 7 5 8 82 42 3 3 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00 6% 16.10 3.55 S
WYE CROSS 4 6 9 92 8 6 4 (smith k)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 45% 1.20 4.15  
MR. KALYPSO 6 3 32 2½ 2nk 42 5 (buehler r)BRYAN D 123 25.00 15.95  
FULL VELOCITY 1 8 7 6 53 53 6 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 10.00 11.65  
PULL THE PIN 8 11 10 105 9 8 7 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 6.00 19% 4.20 8.05  
CARSON'S LEGACY 9 7 53 7 6 7 8 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 12.00 10.75  
11  FLASHY SISTER 11 10 1111¾ 118 11 108 914¾ (davies dea)RIZO ALEXIS 118 20.00 35.30  
10  CHROME KING 10 9 43 41 7 9 1017¼ (humbk)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00 13.30  
VISION QUEST 5 2 21 5 10 1112 1127¾ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 30.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.