Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GF-1   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.60  
GF-2   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $14.00  
GF-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 0.80
GF-4   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $26.20  
GF-5   Win (6/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $8.60  
GF-7   Win (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $23.40  
GF-8   Win (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN FIRE 4 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 4.00 4.30  
LOOPY DUDE 5 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 122 2.00 56% 0.80 0.60 P
QUALITY GRANDSON 2 5 4 46   4 38 (meineke )BIRDRATTLER E 122 7.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
TAMA SETS DA PACE 1 2 32 33   3 49 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 18% 4.70 5.40  
PINE COVE 3 4 54 5   5 511½ (birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 5.10  
 
GF-2   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:314         1:314   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO SOCKS MAC 1 3 1½ 2nk   12 113½ (dennis cli)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 6.00  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 3 1 4 45   3 213½ (dennis g)ROCK ZACH 126 2.00 43% 1.30 0.90 P
JOHNNY JUDE 2 4 2½ 33   43 315½ (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 4.20  
HADLEYS CHARM 4 2 5 57   56 418½ (birdrattler terranc)GAMEZ M 121 3.00 4.20  
HENNING 5 5 31 1nk   22 520 (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 32% 2.10 3.40  
SCR  SUPERSERG               (birdrattler ti)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GF-3   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD OUTLOOK 2 4 4 3.2   12 1 (birdrattler nathani)GAMEZ M 121 2.50 31% 2.30 2.40 W
IMA CARPE DIEM 5 1 1½ 1nk   22 2 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 126 2.00 33% 2.00 3.40 P
CATS OUT TONITE 1 5 510½ 5   58 310¾ (birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 126 7.00 12% 7.10 4.60 S
NUMMY NUM 3 3 2½ 2nk   36 411 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 1.60  
NIPAWIN 4 2 3½ 4¼   47 513½ (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 4.20  
 
GF-4   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST THE MINISTER 2 4 4 43   2nk 1½ (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 12.10  
LADDIE BOY 5 3 31 31   1nk 2½ (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 2.00 26% 2.80 2.20 P
FREIBURG 4 5 5 56   4 3 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
THE BONDSMAN 6 2 2½ 21   31 45 (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 3.70  
POKER TABLE 3 1 1½ 11   5 5 (depew ji)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 41% 1.40 2.50  
HEZA MANEATER 1 6 67 610   6 614¼ (meineke jessica)ROCK ZACH 126 4.00 11.80  
 
GF-5   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTA WAVERLY 6 1 22 2   12 110¾ (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 9.00 3.30  
THREE RED SEVENS 3 5 6 58   32 210¾ (reevis narsis)GAMEZ M 126 4.50 14% 6.30 3.60 P
AFLEETASHA 1 4 5 4   5 311 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 2.40  
TCHULA SUNSET 2 3 34 3   4 412¾ (lawrence jo)IRONEYES R 126 12.00 6.70  
PIERPONT 4 2 12 1   22 522¼ (meineke )BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 24% 3.10 8.20  
MY FATHER FOOTSTEP 5 6 4 6   617¾ 642½ (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 4.50 31% 2.20 2.60  
SCR  GRAPES OF MATH               (reevis narsis)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 10.00    
SCR  THREE POINT CASH               (birdrattler tim)BENNETT TERRY 126 8.00 7% 12.70    
 
GF-7   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH DAWN 2 2 1½ 13   12 1nk (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 10.70  
TOOTIE 7 6 65 45   22 2nk (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.50 2.50  
MAGIC IN A HAT 3 8 8 6   3 3 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 7.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
ABRAA JABRAA 1 5 43 5   43 4 (birdrattler s)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 3.00 73% 0.40 2.30  
FIREFLOWER 6 1 2½ 23   56 56 (meineke jes)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 7.00  
BRINEE 5 3 7 7   68 610¾ (cross p)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
CECILIA'S HOPE 8 4 32 3   7 712¾ (crooked )BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 7.90  
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 4 7 55 811   815½ 821¾ (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
 
GF-8   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 1 1 15 18   110 1 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 17% 4.90 0.90 W
BIG MACINTOSH 5 2 25 28   210 2 (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 4.90  
WILSON TO LOCKETT 6 6 612½ 614½   414½ 3 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.50 7.80  
MORO CHARLIE 3 5 4 412½   313 4 (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 4.50 12% 7.70 5.00  
METRO DREAMER 4 3 37 312   516 512 (depew ji)BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 8% 10.80 30.00  
SPORTY FLYER 7 4 510½ 513   618 614 (lawrence jostin)ROCK ZACH 126 12.00 6.40  
MAXIMUS THE GREAT 2 7 714½ 716½   723 721 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 3.50 41% 1.40 7.30  
SCR  GOLDEN TIGER               (reevis narsis)CALVA R 126 9.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.