Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GF-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-5   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-7   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
GF-8   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-1   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMA SETS DA PACE May21 Apr01 Dec09 Nov26 Oct28 (meineke j)IRONEYES R 117 2.50 18% 4.70    
  (by TAMARANDO out of FAITH PACER by LUCKY PULPIT)
2  QUALITY GRANDSON Jul01 Jun09 May27 Sep18 Sep04 (meinek)BIRDRATTLER E 122 7.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LINCHPIN out of JUDICATURE by TRIBUNAL)
3  PINE COVE Apr23 Feb12 Dec31     (birdrattler nathani)CALVA R 122 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DADDY'S DIVA by SCAT DADDY)
4  CAJUN FIRE Jun18 Jun02 Feb10 Jan07 Nov26 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 4.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of B G COUNTRY GIRL by CATIENUS)
5  LOOPY DUDE Jun17 Jun09 May21 May07 Apr16 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LOOPETY LOO by AFLEET ALEX)
 
GF-2   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO SOCKS MAC Jul09 Jul02 May13 May06 Apr23 (dennis c)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00    
2  JOHNNY JUDE Jun23 Jun03 May21 May07 Apr13 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 4.00    
SCR  SUPERSERG Sep10 Jul30 Jul23 Jul16   (birdrattler )JOHNSON SHANAE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORGOTTEN VOWS Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 Apr23 Apr08 (dennis g)ROCK ZACH 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  HADLEYS CHARM Jul31 Jul29 Jul24 Jul17 Jul16 (birdrattler terra)GAMEZ M 121 3.00    
6  HENNING May20 Feb11 Jan21 Dec14 Sep11 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
GF-3   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS OUT TONITE Jul17         (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 126 7.00 12% 7.10    
2  BAD OUTLOOK Jun25 Jun17 Mar31 Mar10 Jan29 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  NUMMY NUM May21 May14 May06 Mar25 Mar05 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00    
4  NIPAWIN Jul31 Jul24 Jul17 May07   (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00    
5  IMA CARPE DIEM May21 May06 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
GF-4   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA MANEATER         (meineke jessica)ROCK ZACH 126 4.00    
2  LOST THE MINISTER Jun18 Jun03 May21 May14 May07 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 6.00    
3  POKER TABLE Jun10 Sep05 Jul30 Jul16 May28 (depew )BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  FREIBURG Jun16 Jun04 May21 Sep20 Sep03 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LADDIE BOY Jun18 Jun09 May21 May14 May07 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
6  THE BONDSMAN Jun17 May29 May06 Jun25 Jun11 (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 3.00    
 
GF-5   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFLEETASHA Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 May19 Jul31 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50    
SCR  GRAPES OF MATH May22         (reevis narsi)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 10.00    
3  TCHULA SUNSET Jul31 Jul30 Jul23 Jul16   (lawrence )IRONEYES R 126 12.00    
4  THREE RED SEVENS Jul31 Jul23 Jul17 May22 May21 (reevis narsis)GAMEZ M 126 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  PIERPONT May06 Jul30 Jul23 Jun26 Jun12 (meinek)BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  MY FATHER FOOTSTEP         (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 4.50 31% 2.20    
7  WESTA WAVERLY Jun25 Jun10 May12 Apr12 Dec30 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 9.00    
SCR  THREE POINT CASH May19 Jul31 Jul30 Jul24 Jul16 (birdrattler t)BENNETT TERRY 126 8.00 7% 12.70    
 
GF-7   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAA JABRAA Jun24 Jun11 May27 May20 May07 (birdrattler shawn)CALVA R 126 3.00 73% 0.40    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
2  NORTH DAWN May13 Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 5.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of DIVINE MISS INDY by FLATTER)
3  MAGIC IN A HAT Jun18 Jun09 May21 May19 May07 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARISA'S MAGIC by WAR CHANT)
4  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 Jul29 Jul23 (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MOLLIE'S MAGIC by FACTUM)
5  BRINEE Jun04 Apr14 Mar24 Mar12 Feb01 (cross p)LARSEN S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REWARD THE CAT out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
6  FIREFLOWER May14 May06 Aug13 Jul23 May08 (meineke j)IRONEYES R 126 4.00    
  (by EVERYDAY HEROES out of FICKLE by GOLDEN RANSOM)
7  TOOTIE Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 May18 Apr21 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.50    
  (by EUROEARS out of B G COUNTRY GIRL by CATIENUS)
8  CECILIA'S HOPE Jun17 Mar25 Mar05 Feb24 Jan19 (crooke)BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00    
  (by STRONG HOPE out of CECILIA'S FEVER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
GF-8   07/15/2023 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN TIGER May21 May14 May06 Sep09 Sep04 (reevis narsis)CALVA R 126 9.00    
2  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Jun18 May21 May07 Mar26 Mar13 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  MAXIMUS THE GREAT Jun25 Jun18 Jun16 May29 May21 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  MORO CHARLIE Jun25 Jun11 May20 May14 Apr29 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 4.50 12% 7.70    
5  METRO DREAMER Jun18 Jun03 May20 Oct02 Sep18 (depew )BIRDRATTLER E 126 10.00 8% 10.80    
6  BIG MACINTOSH Jun16 Jun04 May28 May07 Jun24 (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 4.00    
7  WILSON TO LOCKETT Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 May21 Apr29 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.50    
8  SPORTY FLYER May21 May13 May06 Apr21 Apr01 (lawrence jostin)ROCK ZACH 126 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.