Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  
CTM-3   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.00  
CTM-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $13.50 $13.50 7.50
CTM-5   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
CTM-6   Win (5/4/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $13.70 $13.70 3.70
CTM-7   Win (7/5/10/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-2   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFES ADVENTURE 3 1 1½ 1   14 1 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 120 2.50 11% 7.90 1.55 W
DADDY'S PEPPER 1 4 31 2   4 2 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 6.00 3.10  
AL REICHERT 4 2 2½ 4   34 38 (zielke madis)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 2.80  
SIX SHOTS OF T 5 3 5 5   24 4 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.50 30% 2.40 7.20  
TAPFERSURE 2 5 41 3   5 516¼ (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 1.60 33% 2.10 5.30  
 
CTM-3   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:222 :461 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUNNY NOREEN 2 3 1½ 1   16 110¼ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 2.50 2.00  
TENDER LOVE 5 5 54 5   3 210¼ (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 2.40  
WICKED WIZZY 3 1 44 44   26 310¼ (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 67% 0.50 3.50 S
SMOKIN JOY 6 6 6 66   6 417¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 6.00 5% 19.00 17.85  
HERE'S LEXIE 1 4 3 33   47 518¾ (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.15  
GHOSTLY RUNNER 4 2 2½ 2   5 624½ (davies deanne)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 27.00  
 
CTM-4   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:142 1:272   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADDYDIDIT 6 2 31 2½ 2 2nk 1nk (o'hagan collee)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80 32% 2.10 5.75 W
GO MAMA 1 4 11 1½ 1 1nk 2nk (grieves ron)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 12% 7.40 9.30 P
SKY DESTINY 3 3 5 52 53 32 3 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 22.65  
WHISKARITA 5 6 6 6 6 53 4 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.50 4.20  
IT'S ALEXUS 2 1 21 4 42 4 55 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 2.75  
EXACTLY 4 5 42 31 32 65 610 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 23% 3.30 1.30  
 
CTM-5   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:234 1:144       1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINO ROSSA 5 2 4 42   2nk 1 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 31% 2.20 2.90 W
PUNCH PERFECT 4 1 5 55   4¾ 2 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5.20  
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 2 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 20.00 5% 19.00 20.20 S
TAPULOUS 3 5 2nk 2nk   3½ 4 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 1.00 47% 1.10 0.45  
BAKED N WIRED 1 4 3.2 3½   5 518¼ (bott sharon)POON ANDREW 125 15.00 26.25  
SCR  SHES A COOL CAT               (davies deanne)MARTIN ANDRE 120 3.00    
 
CTM-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:113     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUDINATOR 4 3 1nk 2½   2 1½ (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 24% 3.10 5.85 W
READYTOTAPNSING 1 5 2nk 1½   1 2½ (frey carson)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 12.00 6% 14.50 13.65 P
FOUR O SIX CREED 5 2 5¾ 6   3 3½ (kingston karl)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.00 S
NORTHERN JEWEL 6 7 9 7   7 4 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 122 5.00 11.30  
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 2 4 6 5   43 5 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 12.00 13.95  
ARISTOCRACY 3 9 7 31   6 6 (anderson)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.00 8% 11.20 4.55  
LAHUN 9 1 3.2 4   5 7 (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 15.00 22.35  
SHURAZ 7 6 83 9   816¾ 828¾ (rycroft tim)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00 22.05  
LIL ZAPPER 8 8 4¼ 8   920¾ 932¾ (payne jodey)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 20.55  
 
CTM-7   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:22 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIE'S SUCCESS 5 3 45 45   2nk 15 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 6.00 25% 2.90 1.55 W
SMILIN EVIE 3 4 1½ 1   1nk 25 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 7.95  
TALA 4 6 5 68   4 3 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 5% 19.00 36.30 S
TAKE CHARGE GWEN 7 9 7 7   5 4 (robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 27% 2.80 6.65  
DAZZLING CHIC 2 5 87 910¼   6 512¼ (petro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 43.75  
10  CHATTY GAL 10 1 32 3   35 612¼ (jones danny)ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 22% 3.50 4.95  
LITTLE ROSALYN 9 10 9 8   7 717 (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00 85.75  
KERIK 1 8 10 1015¼   98 818½ (smith craig )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 25.00 62.45  
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 8 7 6 58   8 919¾ (biggs seymour)LAHOE RUJA 123 20.00 46.90  
WITHIN REASON 6 2 2½ 2   1010 1028½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 6% 16.10 2.55  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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