Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.70 $1.70 28%
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $10.90 $4.90 82%
ASD-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $15.75 $9.75 163%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:221 :444 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMN THE TORPEDOES 4 2 54 4   45 1½ (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 11.55  
STAY HAPPY 6 1 3 1½   1 2½ (brown jared)CHOW CHAVION 119 12.00 18% 4.60 2.20 P
GRAY ADMIRAL 5 3 67 6   6 3 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 14.40  
HANDCARVED 3 4 21 2½   2 4 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 3.00 2.95  
BRODY'S STREAK 1 6 44 5   5 511 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 2.50 26% 2.90 2.45  
CHICAGO'S GRAY 2 5 11 31   33 612¼ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 1.80 26% 2.80 4.65  
 
ASD-2   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Osiris Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:23 :461 :591     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN 4 1 2½ 12   15 1 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 0.80 40% 1.50 0.50 W
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
JUSTLEMMEATEM 2 2 1½ 22   25 2 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 36% 1.80 2.25 P
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE 3 4 41 44   38 311½ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00 7.35  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
SHIVER 1 3 3½ 34   48 416½ (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 10.00 9.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DIRTY SHAME by IDE)
 
ASD-3   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:143     1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S MAP 6 4 32 1½   1½ 1nk (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60 28% 2.60 2.85 W
MONSTRODAMOUS 5 6 4 3½   2½ 2nk (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 13% 6.70 3.25 P
GHOST ART 2 2 2nk 5   45 3 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 15.00 39.75  
MY NOAH 4 3 6 42   3 4 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 36% 1.70 0.85  
BEHAVIN MYSELF 3 5 5 66   610½ 5 (cizik larry)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 10.20  
COURAGEOUS 1 1 1nk 2½   59 611¾ (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00 33.95  
 
ASD-4   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:161     1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARAMON 1 1 1nk 1nk   1 1¾ (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.40 22% 3.50 1.15 W
ANNAKHOZANA 2 4 4 32   35 2¾ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 21% 3.70 1.55 P
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE 4 5 5 5   57 3 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.00 18.60  
LIVING SKY 6 2 2nk 2nk   2 4 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00 6.40  
BARBIE'S QUEST 5 6 7 6   46 5 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 123 25.00 57.05  
TRUE KATE 7 7 6 7   69 6 (rawson fred)CARRENO J 123 10.00 20% 4.00 8.60  
VALLENTAY 3 3 3 4   712½ 713 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 123 20.00 57.45  
 
ASD-5   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
See original race card.
:221 :47 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIPSY AT THE BAR 1 5 1 11   13 12 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 123 1.00 70% 0.40 0.35 W
NEXT THING YA KNOW 2 7 4 44   23 22 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 112 3.00 6.00 P
MIAMI SOUVENIRS 4 4 6 610   4 32 (maxwell c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 8.00 16.35  
FINGER TIP 5 1 2 21   3 4 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
DIVAESQUE 6 2 32 32   5 5 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 6.00 8.65  
GOVERNOR ANN 7 3 5 57   6 67 (gourneau jerry)CARRENO J 117 12.00 20.90  
HATSHEPSUT 3 6 7 712   710½ 710¾ (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00 46.40  
 
ASD-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:152     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY HURRICANE 3 7 5 4   1½ 1nk (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 11% 8.00 3.00 W
MOURVEDRE 5 5 2 21   2½ 2nk (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 46% 1.20 3.45 P
UNCLE MO'S CAT 4 6 6 6   3 3 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 25.00 6.70  
ARMAVEER 2 3 3 3   57 4 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00 10.95  
MORO OUTLAW 7 1 1 11   4 5 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.20 20% 3.90 1.20  
TEE CLASS 1 2 75 7   711 610¼ (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 30.00 51.80  
TOMAHAWK EXPLORER 6 4 43 5   6 711 (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 122 25.00 74.15  
 
ASD-7   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:011     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARGOT'S GIRL 7 8 67 64   33 1½ (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 118 3.50 39% 1.60 0.95 W
DAZZLING GOLD 8 1 4 32   2 2½ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.45 P
MO ARETHA 2 3 3 2nk   1 32 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 5.00 6.65  
TAPITURE WAY 6 9 5 53   6 44 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 8.00 9% 9.60 12.95  
TECATE GOLD 1 4 2 4   5 5 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.50 19% 4.30 3.35  
RUBYINTHESTARS 3 6 78 811½   7 6 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00 73.30  
SCARLETT'S FLOWER 9 5 810½ 710   8 710½ (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00 45.70  
STAN'S STARLET 4 2 1 1nk   4 812¼ (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 9.70  
MUCHO EXPRESS 5 7 915½ 921½   918¼ 916¼ (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 30.00 61.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.