Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/2)-(4/6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/6/5)-(1/2/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1/2/7)-(1/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-4   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(1/5)-(5/7/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/7/3)-(7/1/6/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-6   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/7/3)-(7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8)-(7/1/6/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S STREAK Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May22 Jul11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  CHICAGO'S GRAY Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  HANDCARVED Jul31 Jun28 Jun06 May23 Nov17 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 3.00    
4  DAMN THE TORPEDOES Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Apr09 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00    
5  GRAY ADMIRAL Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 Nov05 Oct15 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00    
6  STAY HAPPY Aug07 Jun28 Jun14 May29 Apr11 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
ASD-2   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Osiris Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVER Jul10         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DIRTY SHAME by IDE)
2  JUSTLEMMEATEM Aug14 Jul24 Jul04     (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
3  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Aug14 Jul25 Jul10     (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 4.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
4  CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN Aug09 Jul04       (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
  (by RELOAD out of JOAQUINA by HOLY BULL)
 
ASD-3   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS Aug22 Aug07 Jul19 Apr29 Mar11 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00    
2  GHOST ART Jun26 Jun14 May29 Sep24 Sep03 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 15.00    
3  BEHAVIN MYSELF Aug08 Jul15 Jul09 Jun14 May31 (cizik larry)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00    
4  MY NOAH Aug09 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun21 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 36% 1.70    
5  MONSTRODAMOUS Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 May29 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
6  WARRIOR'S MAP Jul24 Jul03 Jun26 Jun07 May06 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
ASD-4   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARAMON Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.40 22% 3.50    
2  ANNAKHOZANA Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  VALLENTAY Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Sep07 Aug24 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 123 20.00    
4  JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Aug21 Aug08 Jul25 Jul10 Jul03 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 4.00    
5  BARBIE'S QUEST Aug21 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 (johnson m)CHADEE JR 123 25.00    
6  LIVING SKY Aug22 Aug09 Jul31 Jul24 Jul10 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 5.00    
7  TRUE KATE Aug21 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep27 (rawson fred)CARRENO J 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
 
ASD-5   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIPSY AT THE BAR Aug02 Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 May20 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 123 1.00 70% 0.40    
2  NEXT THING YA KNOW Aug02 Jul04       (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 3.00 ★    
3  HATSHEPSUT Aug23 Jul12 Jun28 Sep27 Sep13 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 25.00    
4  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Aug21 Aug08 Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 (maxwell c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 8.00    
5  FINGER TIP Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DIVAESQUE Aug21 Jul12 Jul01 Jun02 May12 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 6.00    
7  GOVERNOR ANN Aug08 Aug02 Jul10 Jun11 May18 (gourneau jerry)CARRENO J 117 12.00    
 
ASD-6   08/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEE CLASS Aug01 Jul10 Jun23 Oct10 Sep24 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 30.00    
2  ARMAVEER Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00    
3  RUNAWAY HURRICANE Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun26 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
4  UNCLE MO'S CAT Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul18 Jun19 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 25.00    
5  MOURVEDRE Aug14 Jul24 Jun25 Jun02 May18 (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER Aug21 Aug01 Jul19     (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 122 25.00    
7  MORO OUTLAW Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul02 Jun15 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.20 20% 3.90    
 
ASD-7   08/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TECATE GOLD Aug23 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
2  MO ARETHA Aug09 Jul19 Jun15 May10 May03 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 5.00    
3  RUBYINTHESTARS Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May22 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
4  STAN'S STARLET Aug21 Aug09 Jul26 Jun23 Jun11 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00    
5  MUCHO EXPRESS Jul31 Jun28 Jun20 Sep26 Sep20 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 30.00    
6  TAPITURE WAY Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 8.00 9% 9.60    
7  MARGOT'S GIRL Aug09 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 May22 (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
8  DAZZLING GOLD Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep26 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SCARLETT'S FLOWER Aug09 Jun19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 25.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.