Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $19.20 $11.20 140%
    EXA (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $19.35 $7.35 61%
    TRI (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-2-4 $11.71 $6.91 144%
ASD-2   DD (4/2/3/5)-(7/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $20.45 $4.45 28%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR DADDY JACK   (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
VALID DEFENCE   (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114 1.80 16% 5.30 1.30 P
SHOTGUN ONE   (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70 S
DOT AND DASH   (rowe michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00 5.35  
ALL TERRAIN JANE   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 114 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
DEVILS TIME   (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00 41.40  
GET UP EARLY   (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 7.40  
 
ASD-2   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORCADIAN STORM   (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 1.60 50% 1.00 1.25 W
REBOUNDER   (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.00 2.55  
MURDO   (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00 8.60  
TOWARDS THE LIGHT   (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00 7.90  
PUCKER   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00 10% 9.20 11.90  
WARBRIDGE   (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 6% 14.70 7.65  
OHTANI   (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 25.85  
 
ASD-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTLEMMEATEM   (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 43% 1.30 0.80 W
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
VINDICTIVE MISS   (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 10.00 7.70  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of JOMARE by GHOSTZAPPER)
DAISYSADOOZY   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00 19.00  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.60 27% 2.70 2.30  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
BANKER'S DAY   (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00 20.80  
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
MOBIL CREEK   (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 8% 11.40 8.00  
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
 
ASD-4   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.00 37% 1.70 1.35 W
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
I AM MILA   (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 117 20.00 7.70  
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
GOTTALOVETHATGIRL   (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00 S
  (by GIRVIN out of BRATTOTHECORE by KATAHAULA COUNTY)
ASHES TO ASHES   (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00 5.30  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
DAWN OF THE DEVIL   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 4.00 25% 2.90 2.85  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SECRET APPEAL by STREET HERO)
DUBD SAINT ANGEL   (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 117 25.00 32.95  
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
FREEDOM CONVOY   (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 8.00 13% 6.70 13.15  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of ONEFORTHECREW by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
ASD-5   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOURVEDRE   (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 39% 1.60 3.00 W
LIVERYMAN   (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 8.00 7.15  
MIGHTY FRISKY   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00 24% 3.10 2.20 S
HENRISINCONTROL   (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 122 10.00 7% 13.30 5.35  
MOSIE'S ON MAIN   (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 25.00 18.80  
DUN RIGHT   (morin shaun)TARASENCO P 122 30.00 43.30  
NEVER HAD I EVER   (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 3.00 6.95  
GREAT VISION   (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 9% 9.90 6.25  
 
ASD-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOAD ABROAD   (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 1.80 1.10  
MAIBELLA   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50 4.65  
LIPSTICK LADY   (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50 49% 1.00 3.00 S
ARTISAN DANCER   (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 11% 8.10 8.15  
GIDDY UP ZOEY   (desjarlais ry)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.75  
SECRET AVENGER   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 20.00 34.00  
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB)   (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00 57.95  
CLAIRESSENCE   (pruitt lise)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 25.00 7% 13.70 42.40  
 
ASD-7   08/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEANO   (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00 10.05  
EXCHEQUER   (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.00 55% 0.80 2.70 P
12  ROLLIN SEVENS   (duncan murray)AEBLY FRASER 122 20.00 6.15  
NORTH FORK   (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 20.00 13.15  
GOLD SPECIAL   (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 122 30.00 11.65  
SILVER MAKER   (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
LOOKIN HIGH   (cole terry)TARASENCO P 122 4.00 5.90  
IMPRESSIVE SENSE   (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00 16.00  
GONE SOMEWHERE   (maxwell )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 17% 4.90 3.55  
11  HIMELSTEIN   (mustard dou)CUMBERBATCH R 122 25.00 60.60  
SCR  CAPTIVE KITTEN   (morse victor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00    
SCR  ITS A BOY   (sanderson bruc)AEBLY FRASER 117 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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