Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/2/3/5)-(7/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/5)-(7/3/2/4)-(2/5/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-2   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(2/5/3)-(5/4/3/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(5/4/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (5/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (5/4/3/6)-(1/8/3/6)-(3/5/1/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-5   WIN (1/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6)-(1/8/3/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (1/8/3/6)-(3/5/1/2)-(7/1/8/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(7/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/4)-(7/1/8/6/4)-(7/1/8/6/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET UP EARLY Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun26 Jun05 (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
2  VALID DEFENCE Jul31 Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May30 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114 1.80 16% 5.30    
3  SUGAR DADDY JACK Aug07 Jul31 Jul18 Jul12 Jun19 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHOTGUN ONE Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 Jun05   (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.50 53% 0.90    
5  ALL TERRAIN JANE Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 Jun05   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOT AND DASH Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 Sep20 (rowe michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00    
7  DEVILS TIME Jun05 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00    
 
ASD-2   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MURDO Jul25 Jul03 Jun20 May23 Apr22 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00    
2  WARBRIDGE Aug08 Jun13 May30 Sep27 Sep20 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
3  PUCKER Aug02 Jul19 Jul12 Jul05 Jun21 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
4  OHTANI Jul25 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  REBOUNDER Jul31 Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 Aug24 (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 3.00    
6  TOWARDS THE LIGHT Jul25 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
7  ORCADIAN STORM Jul25 Dec13 Nov26 Nov15 Sep17 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 124 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
ASD-3   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAISYSADOOZY Jul25 Jul10       (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
2  JUSTLEMMEATEM Jul24 Jul04       (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of SIPHON VICE by SIPHON (BRZ))
3  MOBIL CREEK Jul25 Jul10       (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 8% 11.40    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
4  BANKER'S DAY Jul24         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
5  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jul25 Jul10       (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
6  VINDICTIVE MISS Jul04         (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 10.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of JOMARE by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
ASD-4   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUBD SAINT ANGEL Aug02 Jul17       (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 117 25.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
2  ASHES TO ASHES Aug01 Jul17 Jul10 Jul04 Jun19 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
3  FREEDOM CONVOY Jul25         (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 8.00 13% 6.70    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of ONEFORTHECREW by ORIENTATE (GB))
4  DAWN OF THE DEVIL Aug01         (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SECRET APPEAL by STREET HERO)
5  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May29 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
6  GOTTALOVETHATGIRL         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of BRATTOTHECORE by KATAHAULA COUNTY)
7  I AM MILA Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 May29 May22 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 117 20.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
 
ASD-5   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOURVEDRE Jul24 Jun25 Jun02 May18 Apr29 (hanson debor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  LIVERYMAN Jul17 Jun26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 122 8.00    
3  GREAT VISION Jul17 Jul10 Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 9% 9.90    
4  DUN RIGHT Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 May23 Apr22 (morin shaun)TARASENCO P 122 30.00    
5  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Jul31 Jul17 Jul05 Jun14 May30 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 25.00    
6  HENRISINCONTROL Jul31 Jul11 Jul05 Sep27 Sep20 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
7  NEVER HAD I EVER Aug02 Jun17 May28 May14 Apr22 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 3.00    
8  MIGHTY FRISKY Jul18 Jul03 Jun05     (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
ASD-6   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAIRESSENCE Aug31 Aug02       (pruitt lise)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 25.00 7% 13.70    
2  GIDDY UP ZOEY Aug01 Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 Sep12 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIPSTICK LADY Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  LOAD ABROAD Aug01 Jul11 Jun30 Jun23 Jun03 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 1.80    
5  ARTISAN DANCER Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  MAIBELLA Jun19 Jun06 Sep20 Aug31 Aug24 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50    
7  HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Aug09 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
8  SECRET AVENGER Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 20.00    
 
ASD-7   08/14/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE SOMEWHERE Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 May23 May02 (maxwell )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
2  DEANO Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 Jun06 May23 (tourangeau wil)BALROOP SVEN 122 15.00    
SCR  CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul31 Jul11 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (morse victor)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00    
4  IMPRESSIVE SENSE Aug01 Jul12 Jun21 May29 Sep27 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  NORTH FORK Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 May29 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 20.00    
6  LOOKIN HIGH Jul31 Jul24 Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 (cole terry)TARASENCO P 122 4.00 ★    
7  EXCHEQUER Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May30 Feb18 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
8  SILVER MAKER Jul31 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 May30 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  GOLD SPECIAL Aug07 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 Jun19 (maxwell c)CHADEE JR 122 30.00    
SCR  ITS A BOY Jul11 Jun26 Aug31 Aug14 Jun25 (sanderson bruc)AEBLY FRASER 117 12.00    
11  HIMELSTEIN Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Oct10 (mustard dou)CUMBERBATCH R 122 25.00    
12  ROLLIN SEVENS Jul31 Jul03 Jun12 Oct28 Oct01 (duncan murray)CARRENO J 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.