Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Chippewa Downs
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CPW-1   EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $22.40 $10.40 87%
CPW-2   TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00  3-6-5 $309.50 $261.50 545%
CPW-4   TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-4-3 $28.40 $16.40 137%
CPW-6   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $31.00 $23.00 288%
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $39.00 $15.00 63%
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $39.00 $15.00 63%
CPW-7   EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $18.60 $6.60 55%
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1-3 $31.60 $19.60 163%

Simulator Race results

 
CPW-1   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
1:12         1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL CRAFTY PIE 3 2 1½ 12   12 12 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 2.00 71% 0.40 1.90 W
LENNOX THE GREAT 5 3 2½ 22   22 22 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00 5% 19.00 1.10 P
DEPUTY VERDOT 2 5 5 4   3 3 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 4.00 30.20  
ELI'S FIRE 1 1 31 33   44 44 (delorme mar)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 7.00 7% 13.80 4.60  
MR. ADVENTUROUS 4 4 42 56   56 57 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 2.50 3.10  
 
CPW-2   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
1:12         1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST RATE ROMANCE 5 4 3 12   13 1 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.00 W
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
FLY WITH CLASS 3 3 42 33   33 2 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 124 4.00 4.40  
  (by CLASSY GENT out of ELEGANT FLYER by ORIENTATE (GB))
P R COMIN IN HOT 4 2 11 22   23 3 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 119 3.50 44% 1.30 2.50 S
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of DABRIA by GIO PONTI)
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 7 6 64 515   47 414½ (haar j)FRINK D 124 2.50 1.90  
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
FEDORA KID 1 1 21 413   58 523¼ (davis v)HERMAN EVAN 119 12.00 10.20  
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 6 5 54 616   69 629¼ (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 119 4.50 14.00  
  (by LIAISON out of UNTAMED BEAUTY by RAHY)
FLASHY KITTEN 2 7 76 726   759 7122¼ (haar amanda)DESJARLAIS CODY 119 10.00 23% 3.40 21.50  
  (by FLASHBACK out of POKER FOR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  PINE COVE               (birdrattler nath)MORIN RYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DADDY'S DIVA by SCAT DADDY)
 
CPW-4   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 HEAVY Allowance Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
1:091         1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PETUNIA 1 2 21 1   1 1 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 47% 1.10 0.50 W
TIPSY AT THE BAR 4 1 11 2   2 2 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 2.50 32% 2.20 2.60 P
DIVA DE KELA 3 4 43 3   3 311¼ (haar j)FRINK D 126 5.00 5% 19.00 25.70 S
CHAMA 5 5 5 55   4 413¼ (suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126 7.00 5.60  
A BUNCH FOR LUNCH 2 3 33 4   5 521¾ (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00 5.90  
 
CPW-6   06/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 HEAVY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCOUSTICAL 2 2 11 12   12 1 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 5.00 15% 5.80 14.50 W
BIG BIZ 1 1 21 22   22 2 (haar j)FRINK D 126 3.50 12% 7.10 22.30 P
REBOUNDER 3 3 33 35   34 3 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 10.00 8% 11.70 7.70 S
MR HANDS ON 5 4 5 511   410 412½ (nelson francis)HERMAN EVAN 126 1.60 45% 1.20 7.70  
TOOL BOX 4 5 46 410   512 517 (birdrattler nath)MORIN RYAN 126 10.00 9.70  
DIABLO CUERNO 7 7 7 611½   615 620¼ (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 8.00 7.70  
ALL FOR TRUTH 8 6 6 712½   717½ 723½ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L null   1.20  
BUMPY GAME 6 8 812½ 817½   827½ 840¼ (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00 2.70  
 
CPW-7   06/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 HEAVY NDTA Maturity Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:232         1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KREWS PASS 5 2 33 1½   15 110¼ (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 36% 1.80 1.30 W
  (by BE VALIANT out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
TRICKY KID 1 3 22 3   25 210¼ (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 3.00 23% 3.30 4.90 P
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
BONNIE AND 3 5 5 54   37 314 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 121 3.50 11% 7.80 6.80 S
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of FUSAICHI FEELING by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
RAILROAD DAN 6 6 6 66   512½ 426¼ (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 8.00 2.60  
  (by STROLL out of SUNSET ILLUSION by DA STOOPS)
EMMITT'S CHALLENGE 4 1 12 2½   411½ 528½ (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00 7.50  
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
BIG ENDER 2 4 45 4   614½ 633 (delorme c)FRINK D 126 6.00 6.80  
  (by KING CHA CHA out of BIG CAT'S KREWS by NICE KREWS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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