Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Chippewa Downs
Saturday - June 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CPW-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
CPW-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
CPW-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
CPW-6   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
CPW-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CPW-1   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELI'S FIRE Jun18 Jul30 Jun12     (delorme mar)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 7.00 7% 13.80    
DEPUTY VERDOT Jun18 Jul30 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 4.00    
REAL CRAFTY PIE Jun18 Mar31 Mar19 Mar03 Jul30 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 2.00 71% 0.40    
MR. ADVENTUROUS Jun17 Jun04 Jul30 Jul24 Jul16 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 2.50    
LENNOX THE GREAT Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 Sep19   (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CPW-2   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEDORA KID Jun18 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun26 (davis v)HERMAN EVAN 119 12.00    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of FLYING FEDORA by LYRE)
FLASHY KITTEN         (haar amanda)DESJARLAIS CODY 119 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by FLASHBACK out of POKER FOR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  PINE COVE Apr23 Feb12 Dec31     (birdrattler nath)MORIN RYAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DADDY'S DIVA by SCAT DADDY)
FLY WITH CLASS Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jul03 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 124 4.00    
  (by CLASSY GENT out of ELEGANT FLYER by ORIENTATE (GB))
P R COMIN IN HOT Jul31 Jul02       (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 119 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of DABRIA by GIO PONTI)
FIRST RATE ROMANCE Jun12 May30 Apr28 Apr22 Apr08 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Jun11 Apr21 Mar17 Feb25 Sep25 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 119 4.50    
  (by LIAISON out of UNTAMED BEAUTY by RAHY)
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN May19 May13 Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 (haar j)FRINK D 124 2.50    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
 
CPW-4   06/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 HEAVY Allowance Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PETUNIA Jun11 Jun11 May21 May14 Apr14 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 Jun17 May13 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00    
DIVA DE KELA Jun11 May20 Jul24 May18 May01 (haar j)FRINK D 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
TIPSY AT THE BAR Jun11 Jun11 May20 Jun26 May22 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 2.50 32% 2.20    
CHAMA Jun17 Jun11 May20 May14 May06 (suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126 7.00    
 
CPW-6   06/24/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 HEAVY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BIZ Jun11 May20 May13 Apr22 Apr01 (haar j)FRINK D 126 3.50 12% 7.10    
ACCOUSTICAL Jun17 Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 Mar05 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 126 5.00 15% 5.80    
REBOUNDER Jun17 Jun04 Aug24 Jul24 Jun25 (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 10.00 8% 11.70    
TOOL BOX Jun11 May11 Feb16 Dec28 Nov30 (birdrattler natha)DELORME L 126 10.00    
MR HANDS ON Jun11 Dec03 Nov14 Oct20 Sep15 (nelson francis)HERMAN EVAN 126 1.60 45% 1.20    
BUMPY GAME Jun17 Jun19 Apr30 Mar05   (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00    
DIABLO CUERNO May19 Sep27 Aug10 Jul09 Jun11 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 8.00    
ALL FOR TRUTH Jun17 Jun04 May19 May14 Sep20 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L null      
 
CPW-7   06/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 HEAVY NDTA Maturity Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY KID Jun17 Jul31 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (haar amanda)CALZADA ERIC 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by BASEBALL CARD KID out of LEECHA MAE by SPEED CALLING)
BIG ENDER Jul31 Jul02 Jun19     (delorme c)FRINK D 126 6.00    
  (by KING CHA CHA out of BIG CAT'S KREWS by NICE KREWS)
BONNIE AND Jun11 Jun11 Apr16 Mar26 Jul02 (dolphus jun)DESJARLAIS CODY 121 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by BAY OF BISCAY out of FUSAICHI FEELING by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
EMMITT'S CHALLENGE Jun18 Jul30 Jun12     (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 4.00    
  (by ROYAL CHALLENGER out of EIGHTEEN BELOWE by NICK (CHI))
KREWS PASS Jun18 May19 Sep19 Jul31 Jul02 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by BE VALIANT out of KREWS STAR by NICE KREWS)
RAILROAD DAN Jun11 Jul31 Jun25 Jun19   (hanson m)PINEDA G 126 8.00    
  (by STROLL out of SUNSET ILLUSION by DA STOOPS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.