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Handicappers' Race Results

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Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ASD-1			WIN	(1/2)						2	$2.00	$4.00	2		$9.80			$5.80				145%
			EXA	(1/2)-(1/2)						2	$1.00	$2.00	2-1		$9.20			$7.20				360%
ASD-2			DD	(1/2)-(2/1/4)						6	$1.00	$6.00	2-1		$14.30			$8.30				138%
ASD-3			PK3	(1/2)-(2/1/4)-(2/3)						12	$0.20	$2.40	2-1-ALL		$7.48			$5.08				212%
ASD-4			EXA	(4/5/1)-(4/5/1)						6	$1.00	$6.00	5-4		$8.80			$2.80				47%
ASD-5			PK3	(2/3)-(4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8)						24	$0.20	$4.80	ALL-3/5/7-4		$6.28			$1.48				31%

Simulator Race results


ASD-1			07/19/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($14.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SOMEONE ELSE									(gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121						4.00		18%		4.50		3.90	W
1	SAVAGE LOVE									(wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121						3.50		30%		2.30		1.30	P
6	FLYING TO THE LINE									(brown jared)CARRENO J 123						3.00						1.60
3	CHARGE IT JENN									(brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121						5.00						5.45
SCR	KIM'S TEXAS BLING									(gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123						2.50
SCR	VEILAZIG									(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121						12.00

ASD-2			07/19/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($4K)					Purse ($10.4K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SILVER MAKER									(donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124						6.00		14%		5.90		1.55	W
2	REALLY SLOW									(brown jared)CARRENO J 124						1.60		44%		1.30		1.35	P
7	DIDDLEY									(desjarlai)CHADEE JR 124						2.50						3.70
5	CAMPS BAY									(sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124						8.00						10.90
4	PUCKER									(brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124						15.00		12%		7.60		23.25
3	TOMAHAWK EXPLORER									(fraser lorne)CUMBERBATCH R 124						25.00						32.15
SCR	MR. WALSH									(gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124						4.00

ASD-3			07/19/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($13.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	WELL PLAYED									(brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112						4.00						0.80
1	ARROGANCE									(brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 117						8.00						8.30
2	ONE SKY									(britton calvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122						2.00		42%		1.40		0.95	S
SCR	JAMBI									(gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122						12.00
SCR	DADDYSRAREEDITION									(taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124						6.00		26%		2.90
SCR	WITT SWEET SIXTEEN									(gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119						10.00
SCR	ASTA LAVISTA HONEY									(gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124						3.00

ASD-4			07/19/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($14.8K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 9:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	NOT AFRAID									(anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124						5.00		34%		1.90		0.75	W
4	SOMETHING SUPER									(keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122						3.00		38%		1.60		5.55	P
6	MARK YE WELL									(brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124						2.50						2.75
1	LUCKY LUKE									(anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122						6.00		5%		19.00		7.95
2	OUT ON SATURDAY									(dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122						10.00						10.60
SCR	HEAVENLY TRIP									(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122						15.00
SCR	LITTLE TOE									(gourneau )CHADEE JR 124						4.00

ASD-5			07/19/2023		4950ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($20K)			3UP		ALL		PT-10:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	LOLLIPOP KID									(brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119						2.50		13%		6.40		3.05	W
		(by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DONNA GAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
7	VIRAL									(gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119						10.00						3.75
		(by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
1	FINALIZE									(brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124						1.60						2.10
		(by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
8	OH MAN OH MAN									(hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124						15.00		12%		7.10		39.25
		(by CAN THE MAN out of LIL' BUNNY FOO FOO by COLONEL JOHN)
3	VALID DEFENCE									(anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114						25.00						5.20
		(by A SHIN FORWARD out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
5	NOIWONTBACKDOWN									(ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119						30.00		12%		7.10		27.80
		(by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
2	LOOKIN FOR KICKS									(brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119						6.00						14.75
		(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CHAMADE by FLATTER)
6	GOING SUCCESS									(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124						4.00		23%		3.30		7.70
		(by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)

ASD-6			07/19/2023		4950ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	nongraded Stake					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT-10:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	MAGIC TIGER									(anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119						2.00		25%		3.00		1.70	W
		(by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
5	TIGER DAD									(diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124						2.50		39%		1.60		2.25	P
		(by SMILING TIGER out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2	BIG NICK									(duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124						3.00						2.65
		(by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
8	EXPLOSIVE									(keplin st)CHADEE JR 119						6.00		15%		5.80		6.65
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS A. BOMB by LEMON DROP KID)
4	CONVENTION (IRE)									(brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124						30.00		5%		19.00		21.60
		(by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3	PURRSIBILITY									(donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 119						15.00						25.45
		(by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PILLOW QUEEN by FEU D'ENFER)
1	COURAGEOUS									(stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119						30.00						68.05
		(by COURAGEOUS CAT out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
SCR	PRAYFORPEACE									(gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119						10.00
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)

ASD-7			07/19/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($3K)					Purse ($10K)			3UP		M/F		PT-11:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	DISTINCT APPROVAL									(zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 123						3.00						5.10
1	WHAT UP NOW J T									(anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118						5.00						5.50
4	M AND M GIRL									(sanderson)CHADEE JR 123						8.00						6.35
3	KNOW WHAT I MINA									(nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123						6.00		33%		2.00		5.65
9	KICKALITTLEBOOTY									(gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 123						12.00						16.35
10	HD'S HOPE									(brown shelley)CARRENO J 123						25.00		5%		19.00		35.55
5	TWO STEPS FASTER									(anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123						2.00		40%		1.50		1.75
8	FLYTA									(gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123						15.00						9.50
2	HEY HEY RUN AWAY									(brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123						40.00		5%		19.00		69.80
6	THRILL'S LEGACY									(ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123						30.00		5%		19.00		64.60



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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