Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $9.80 $5.80 145%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-1 $9.20 $7.20 360%
ASD-2   DD (1/2)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $14.30 $8.30 138%
ASD-3   PK3 (1/2)-(2/1/4)-(2/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40  2-1-ALL $7.48 $5.08 212%
ASD-4   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $8.80 $2.80 47%
ASD-5   PK3 (2/3)-(4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80  ALL-3/5/7-4 $6.28 $1.48 31%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:142     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOMEONE ELSE 2 2 2nk 1nk   13 1½ (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 4.00 18% 4.50 3.90 W
1  SAVAGE LOVE 1 3 43 32½   33 2½ (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.50 30% 2.30 1.30 P
6  FLYING TO THE LINE 4 1 1nk 2nk   23 33½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 3.00 1.60  
3  CHARGE IT JENN 3 4 32½ 44½   45½ 47 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 5.00 5.45  
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING               (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.50    
SCR  VEILAZIG               (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121 12.00    
 
ASD-2   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:153     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MAKER 1 3 45 32½   11½ 16 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 6.00 14% 5.90 1.55 W
2  REALLY SLOW 2 5 59½ 57½   43½ 26 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.60 44% 1.30 1.35 P
7  DIDDLEY 6 4 32 2nk   21½ 37 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 124 2.50 3.70  
5  CAMPS BAY 5 6 610½ 69½   58 412¼ (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00 10.90  
4  PUCKER 4 1 1½ 1nk   33 513¾ (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00 12% 7.60 23.25  
3  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER 3 2 2½ 44½   611 627½ (fraser lorne)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00 32.15  
SCR  MR. WALSH               (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00    
 
ASD-3   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WELL PLAYED 3 3 2½ 2½   11 12 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 4.00 0.80  
1  ARROGANCE 1 1 31 34   32½ 22 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 117 8.00 8.30  
2  ONE SKY 2 2 1½ 1½   21 38¾ (britton calvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.95 S
SCR  JAMBI               (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00    
SCR  DADDYSRAREEDITION               (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN               (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 10.00    
SCR  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY               (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
 
ASD-4   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NOT AFRAID 4 1 1½ 11   12 1¾ (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 5.00 34% 1.90 0.75 W
4  SOMETHING SUPER 3 2 31½ 32   22 2¾ (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 38% 1.60 5.55 P
6  MARK YE WELL 5 3 54 45   46 33 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 2.75  
1  LUCKY LUKE 1 5 2½ 21   34½ 45¼ (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.95  
2  OUT ON SATURDAY 2 4 44 59   511 511¾ (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00 10.60  
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP               (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE TOE               (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 4.00    
 
ASD-5   07/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:15 1:282   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOLLIPOP KID 4 2 21 1nk   1nk 1nk (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 13% 6.40 3.05 W
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DONNA GAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  VIRAL 7 5 42½ 31   31 2nk (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 3.75  
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
1  FINALIZE 1 1 11 2nk   2nk 31½ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.60 2.10  
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
8  OH MAN OH MAN 8 8 74 53¾   55¼ 43½ (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124 15.00 12% 7.10 39.25  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LIL' BUNNY FOO FOO by COLONEL JOHN)
3  VALID DEFENCE 3 4 53 63¾   45 53¾ (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114 25.00 5.20  
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
5  NOIWONTBACKDOWN 5 6 63½ 74   65¼ 64 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 30.00 12% 7.10 27.80  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
2  LOOKIN FOR KICKS 2 3 32½ 43½   812¼ 722½ (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 14.75  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CHAMADE by FLATTER)
6  GOING SUCCESS 6 7 84¼ 84   79¼ 832 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00 23% 3.30 7.70  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
ASD-6   07/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:12 1:251   1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGIC TIGER 6 7 56½ 45   3.2 11 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 25% 3.00 1.70 W
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
5  TIGER DAD 5 4 3½ 2nk   2nk 21 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.50 39% 1.60 2.25 P
  (by SMILING TIGER out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  BIG NICK 2 2 2nk 32   1nk 31 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 2.65  
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
8  EXPLOSIVE 7 6 78½ 55½   42¼ 42½ (keplin st)CHADEE JR 119 6.00 15% 5.80 6.65  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS A. BOMB by LEMON DROP KID)
4  CONVENTION (IRE) 4 5 67½ 78¾   68¼ 56½ (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 21.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  PURRSIBILITY 3 3 1nk 1nk   57¾ 614 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 15.00 25.45  
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PILLOW QUEEN by FEU D'ENFER)
1  COURAGEOUS 1 1 44 65¾   710¼ 716½ (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 30.00 68.05  
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
SCR  PRAYFORPEACE               (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)
 
ASD-7   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DISTINCT APPROVAL 7 2 21 2nk   11 11 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 3.00 5.10  
1  WHAT UP NOW J T 1 10 44½ 55½   33½ 21 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 5.00 5.50  
4  M AND M GIRL 4 7 1010½ 810   68 32½ (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 8.00 6.35  
3  KNOW WHAT I MINA 3 8 11 1nk   21 42¾ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 6.00 33% 2.00 5.65  
9  KICKALITTLEBOOTY 9 5 98½ 44½   55½ 53¾ (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 12.00 16.35  
10  HD'S HOPE 10 1 54½ 33   45½ 64¼ (brown shelley)CARRENO J 123 25.00 5% 19.00 35.55  
5  TWO STEPS FASTER 5 6 77 1011   78¼ 75¾ (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 40% 1.50 1.75  
8  FLYTA 8 4 87½ 79   109¾ 88½ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 15.00 9.50  
2  HEY HEY RUN AWAY 2 9 65 910½   99¼ 99¼ (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 40.00 5% 19.00 69.80  
6  THRILL'S LEGACY 6 3 33 66½   88¼ 1013¾ (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00 5% 19.00 64.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.