Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/1/4)-(2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
ASD-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2)-(4/5/1) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-4   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/4/5/8)-(5/7/8/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8)-(6/4/5/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/4/5/8)-(5/7/8/4)-(5/3/2/6/10) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (5/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4)-(5/7/8/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/7/8/4)-(5/3/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/3/2/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6/10)-(5/3/2/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6/10)-(5/3/2/6/10)-(5/3/2/6/10) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVAGE LOVE Jun20 Jun05 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  SOMEONE ELSE Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May22 Oct17 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  CHARGE IT JENN Jun14 May22 Apr26 Apr08 Mar05 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 121 5.00    
SCR  KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 May29 May22 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 2.50    
SCR  VEILAZIG Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 May07 Apr14 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 121 12.00    
6  FLYING TO THE LINE Jun27 Jun14 Feb21 Feb08 Jan31 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 3.00    
 
ASD-2   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER MAKER Jul03 Jun20 May30 May06 Apr21 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
2  REALLY SLOW Jul04 Jun13 Feb04 Jan05 Dec26 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
3  TOMAHAWK EXPLORER         (fraser lorne)CUMBERBATCH R 124 25.00    
4  PUCKER Jul12 Jul05 Jun21 May30 Aug30 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00 12% 7.60    
5  CAMPS BAY Oct02 Sep08 Aug18 Jun25   (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
SCR  MR. WALSH Jul03 Jun19 May13 Apr29 Apr15 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00    
7  DIDDLEY Jun28 Jun12 Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 124 2.50    
 
ASD-3   07/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANCE Jul10 Jun26 May23 Oct14 Oct01 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 117 8.00    
2  ONE SKY Jul05 Jun12 May23 Sep27 Sep06 (britton calvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  DADDYSRAREEDITION Jul03 Sep06 Aug03 Jun14 Jun01 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Jun22 May29 May18 May07 Apr23 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 May18 Apr23 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 10.00    
SCR  JAMBI Jul05 Jun26 Nov05 Oct20 Sep19 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00    
7  WELL PLAYED Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May23 Aug02 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 112 4.00    
 
ASD-4   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LUKE Jul03 Jun13 May30 Sep24 Aug30 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUT ON SATURDAY May23 Sep20 Sep07 Aug31 Aug22 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE TOE Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May19 May06 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 4.00    
4  SOMETHING SUPER Jul05 Jun22 Apr07 Mar21 Mar02 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  NOT AFRAID Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Aug30 Aug17 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
6  MARK YE WELL Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Apr24 Apr03 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50    
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP Jul03 May23 Mar16 Dec17 Oct11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 15.00    
 
ASD-5   07/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINALIZE Jul05 Jun20 Jun14 Nov04 Oct21 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.60    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
2  LOOKIN FOR KICKS Jul05 Jun20       (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CHAMADE by FLATTER)
3  VALID DEFENCE Jul05 Jun13 May30 Sep26 Sep06 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114 25.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
4  LOLLIPOP KID Jul08 Jun14       (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.50 13% 6.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DONNA GAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul05 Jun20 Jun06     (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 30.00 12% 7.10    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
6  GOING SUCCESS Jul05 Jun13       (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of INSPEIGHTOFSUCCESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  VIRAL Jul05 May27 Oct28 Sep27 Sep06 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
8  OH MAN OH MAN Jun20 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 Aug17 (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124 15.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LIL' BUNNY FOO FOO by COLONEL JOHN)
 
ASD-6   07/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS Apr29 Mar11 Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 30.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
2  BIG NICK Jun28 Jun07 May23 May06 Apr15 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
3  PURRSIBILITY Jun26 Jun06 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 15.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PILLOW QUEEN by FEU D'ENFER)
4  CONVENTION (IRE) Jun28 Jun07 Apr25 Mar20 Mar12 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  TIGER DAD Jun28 Jun09 May06 Apr03 Mar11 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of Q T SHAE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  PRAYFORPEACE Jun28 Jun07 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of STAR PEARL by TAPIT)
7  MAGIC TIGER Jun28 Jun07 May22 Apr22 Apr02 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
8  EXPLOSIVE Jun26 Jun06 May22 Apr12 Mar25 (keplin st)CHADEE JR 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MISS A. BOMB by LEMON DROP KID)
 
ASD-7   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT UP NOW J T Jul05 Jun20 May22 Sep28 Sep20 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 5.00    
2  HEY HEY RUN AWAY Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 Sep28 Sep20 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 40.00 5% 19.00    
3  KNOW WHAT I MINA Jul05 Jun07 May22 Sep28 Sep14 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 6.00 33% 2.00    
4  M AND M GIRL Jan11 Dec27 Nov15 Sep29 Sep19 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 8.00    
5  TWO STEPS FASTER Jul03 Jun21 Jun07 May22 Sep28 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  THRILL'S LEGACY Jul05 Jun21 Sep28 Aug30 Aug02 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  DISTINCT APPROVAL Jul11 Sep25 Sep23 Sep11 Sep04 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 3.00    
8  FLYTA Jul05 Jun25 Jun18 Nov12 Nov04 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 15.00    
9  KICKALITTLEBOOTY Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 Sep28 Sep19 (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 12.00    
10  HD'S HOPE Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 May29 Sep28 (brown shelley)CARRENO J 123 25.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.