Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20  3-4-5 $2.32 $1.12 93%
ASD-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.80 $1.80 30%
ASD-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $16.30 $10.30 172%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $35.15 $29.15 486%
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/5/1)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40  3-5-2 $16.88 $11.48 213%
ASD-4   PK3 (4/5/1)-(2/3/5)-(2/4/5/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20  5-2-2 $14.59 $7.39 103%
ASD-5   WIN (7/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/4/5/3)-(7/1/4/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60  2-2-4 $50.67 $41.07 428%
ASD-6   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $53.50 $45.50 569%
    PK3 (2/4/5/3)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/3/4/1) 64 $0.20 $12.80  2-4-1 $95.68 $82.88 648%

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID DEFENCE   (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 114 6.00 12% 7.50 0.90 W
AMMA'S STAR   (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 1.40 27% 2.70 2.20 P
G B'S TURBO   (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 1.80 30% 2.30 5.75 S
KEYSTONE CASH   (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00 8.65  
ROYAL COMMANDO   (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00 38.15  
PAYITFORWARD   (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 114 12.00 15.05  
 
ASD-2   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIZZY   (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 14% 6.00 2.90 W
REBOUNDER   (hanson deborah)BELLE SHAVON 124 12.00 10.95  
HERBIE   (sanderson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 4.30  
MR. WALSH   (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 42% 1.40 3.95  
DIDDLEY   (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.80 2.10  
FREUDIAN SIP   (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 119 15.00 10% 8.60 7.20  
 
ASD-3   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING SKY   (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 3.00 34% 1.90 7.15 W
SHOTGUN ONE   (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 12.00 13% 7.00 2.45 P
DOT AND DASH   (rowe mic)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 6.00 4.25  
GET UP EARLY   (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 5.00 4.70  
SUGAR DADDY JACK   (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 2.00 27% 2.70 1.50  
SCR  ALL TERRAIN JANE   (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 109 4.50    
SCR  RAILROAD DAN   (hanson deborah)CHOW CHAVION 122 15.00    
 
ASD-4   07/31/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE LIMIT   (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 122 1.20 36% 1.70 1.35 W
LOOKIN HIGH   (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 2.50  
SILVER MAKER   (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 6.00 28% 2.60 5.30 S
ROLLIN SEVENS   (duncan murray)CARRENO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.95  
CAPTIVE KITTEN   (morse vic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 7.30  
DRUM AND BASS   (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00 8.90  
HIMELSTEIN   (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 12.00 5% 18.60 19.40  
 
ASD-5   07/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDCARVED   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 5.00 8% 12.10 5.20 W
TOTALIZER   (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 17.15  
IN THE DEEP   (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 10.00 7% 14.20 8.85 S
MY NOAH   (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 6.00 20% 4.10 2.95  
KATE'S PRINCESS   (danelson gary)AEBLY FRASER 114 2.50 3.65  
LAB RAT   (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 20.00 16.70  
DELVECCHIO   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 1.60 43% 1.30 2.00  
 
ASD-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITT'S ROJO   (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 25.75 W
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY   (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 2.95  
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY   (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 12.00 30% 2.30 3.25 S
LOVE OURS   (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 2.10  
HENRISINCONTROL   (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 4.50 42% 1.40 5.15  
SUNSPOT   (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 9.95  
MOSIE'S ON MAIN   (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 25.00 29.40  
MIAMI SOUVENIRS   (maxwell curtis)AEBLY FRASER 112 15.00 5% 19.00 24.25  
 
ASD-7   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATURDAY SERVICE   (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 10.00 2.50  
WHITEROSE SPIRIT   (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 123 6.00 11% 7.90 3.95 P
WITT NINE   (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 118 25.00 9% 9.80 4.75 S
STREAMER   (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 8.00 3.30  
SAYITALL   (mooney bill)CHOW CHAVION 123 5.00 26% 2.80 6.25  
MUCHO EXPRESS   (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00 22.25  
ZIPPORAH   (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00 31% 2.30 8.60  
SCR  WHERETHEMONEYWENT   (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 123 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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