Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-4   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $11.60 $3.60 45%
ASD-7   WIN (1/8/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $32.80 $22.80 228%
    EXA (1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-1 $30.55 $10.55 53%
    TRI (1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00  8-1-3 $18.23 $6.23 52%
Simulator Race results
 
ASD-1   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:272   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIGGED RIGHT 3 3 21 2nk 11 12 11¾ (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.45 W
2  THE LONNA RANGER 2 2 11 1nk 21 22 21¾ (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.20 1.90  
1  ANNAKHOZANA 1 1 31 32 36 38½ 38½ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00 33% 2.00 2.90 S
4  SUGAR DADDY JACK 4 4 52 55 48½ 412½ 415 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
6  SUPER D'ORO 6 6 64 66½ 612½ 616 516 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 4.00 18.05  
5  BIG JIM 5 5 41½ 44 511 515 625¾ (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 14.95  
 
ASD-2   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Escape Clause Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:122 1:26   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG STRETCH 3 5 59½ 57 44 1½ 14¼ (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 4.00 2.70  
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
5  MISS Z 5 4 12 12½ 11½ 2½ 24¼ (keplin jr)CARRENO J 118 8.00 9.75  
  (by MR. Z out of MISTY MICHELLE by K ONE KING)
2  BURROW DOWN 2 3 45 33 21½ 43½ 36 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 0.80 38% 1.60 0.50 S
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
1  MELISANDRE 1 1 22 22½ 32 32½ 48½ (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 23% 3.40 7.55  
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
4  MISSION BELLE 4 2 34 43 56½ 511½ 521 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 10.00 17% 4.90 19.95  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAYOU BREEZE by A.P. INDY)
 
ASD-3   08/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:131 1:262   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GALLANT OAK 2 2 45 43   2nk 12¼ (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.40 49% 1.00 1.65 W
1  MONSTRODAMOUS 1 1 32½ 31   1nk 22¼ (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 6% 16.80 4.15 P
5  WELL PLAYED 5 7 78¼ 78   36½ 37 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00 11.35  
3  SOMETHING SUPER 3 5 66¼ 66½   46¾ 410¼ (keplin jr)CARRENO J 122 10.00 2.20  
8  LAB RAT 7 6 2nk 2½   511¼ 521½ (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 3.00 13% 6.80 8.15  
4  SIDE STREET DAVE 4 3 55¼ 55½   716¾ 625 (sanderson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00 12.70  
6  ADJOURNMENT 6 4 1nk 1½   615¼ 734 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 25.00 28.15  
SCR  STEAL HOME               (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 6% 16.10    
 
ASD-4   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harvey Warner Manitoba Mile Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:252   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG NICK 1 1 31½ 32 2nk 12½ 15 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 18.20 4.80 W
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
4  CONVENTION (IRE) 4 6 78 79½ 75¾ 66¼ 25 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 25.00 30.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) 5 3 43 44 1nk 22½ 35 (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 124 0.80 0.65  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CHICKASAW GAL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MAGIC TIGER 6 7 64½ 66 41¼ 46 46 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00 67% 0.50 2.75  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
7  BROCK ON BY 7 5 2nk 2nk 31 34 58 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.95  
  (by PAYNTER out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  VANGILDER 2 4 54 55 63¼ 56 611 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 30.90  
  (by PAYNTER out of HIGH SPEED GOLDIE by PARADE GROUND)
3  ITSTHATTIME 3 2 1nk 1nk 53¼ 79¼ 719 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.95  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of MAGIC KITTY by STORM CAT)
 
ASD-5   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOT AFRAID 4 5 1½ 11½   15 1¾ (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 4.00 40% 1.50 0.80 W
2  LAST RENEGADE 2 7 43 44   25 2¾ (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 25% 3.10 6.20 P
6  LUCKY LUKE 6 2 53 33½   66½ 34¼ (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.05 S
8  MARK YE WELL 8 6 65½ 67½   35½ 44¼ (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 6.85  
9  GONE SOMEWHERE 9 1 32 55½   45½ 54½ (maxwell curtis)BALROOP SVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.35  
5  LITTLE TOE 5 3 2½ 21½   56 66¾ (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 4.50 8% 12.30 11.70  
7  GOLD SPECIAL 7 4 911 914½   912 77 (maxwell curtis)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 25.00 43.95  
3  ROAMING UNION 3 8 87½ 811½   78 88½ (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00 14.65  
1  ETHAN'S ANIMAL 1 9 76½ 710½   810½ 910¾ (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00 19.45  
 
ASD-6   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:221 :443 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFF FA FA 1 10 11 12   13 12¾ (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 5.00 2.65  
2  BRODY'S STREAK 2 8 42 22   33 22¾ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30 P
7  REAL GRACE 7 3 21 32   23 33¼ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 36% 1.80 4.20 S
5  PRAYFORPEACE 5 4 64½ 67¼   44½ 44¼ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 7.60  
10  STAY HAPPY 10 1 31½ 42¼   56 54½ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 8.00 10.60  
9  MR. DAZZLE 9 7 99¾ 78¼   710½ 66½ (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 6.75  
3  EXPLOSIVE 3 9 54½ 810¾   810¾ 77¾ (keplin st)CHADEE JR 124 2.50 31% 2.20 3.60  
6  TRUMP UM 6 2 74¾ 54¼   69 811¼ (wise a)CHOW CHAVION 124 12.00 7% 13.20 11.45  
4  EL MAESTRO 4 5 86¼ 913¾   913¾ 912¼ (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 20.00 60.15  
8  COURAGEOUS 8 6 1011¾ 1017¾   1015¾ 1013¾ (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00 59.95  
 
ASD-7   08/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:114 1:383   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MANO DURA 7 5 52¼ 32 33½ 2nk 14¼ (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 22% 3.50 15.40 W
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
1  HEROIC MOVE 1 1 2nk 11½ 12 1nk 24¼ (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 122 1.00 40% 1.50 0.35 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAMILY TREE by SMART STRIKE)
3  TSHIEBWE 3 2 31 21½ 22 44¾ 39¾ (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 14.20 7.55 S
  (by RACE DAY out of DIVINE FRIENDS by DIVINE PARK)
9  GREEN AMAZON 8 7 42 44½ 46½ 34½ 411¾ (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 40.00 77.25  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
7  DISCOVERY PEAK 6 6 97 98¼ 913½ 610¾ 514½ (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00 5% 19.00 81.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ONION CREEK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
10  SAXON SAGA 9 8 72½ 76½ 57 56¾ 614½ (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 8% 10.80 18.65  
  (by SLEW'S SAGA out of TU TU STONE by GRINDSTONE)
6  ROUGH CUSTOMER 5 4 62¼ 55½ 710½ 817¼ 730 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00 79.45  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
5  B MINOR 4 3 1nk 88 813½ 918¼ 831¾ (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 4.00 5.85  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TOCAME LINDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  CHICAGO'S GRAY 2 9 85½ 66½ 67½ 715¾ 943½ (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 20.00 21.90  
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  NEIGHBOR               (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 122 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HOOKY by SKIP AWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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