Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/8/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/8/1)-(6/1/7/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(6/1/7/3)-(4/2/5/9/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-4   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/1/7/3)-(4/2/5/9/6)-(7/3/6/9/2) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-5   WIN (4/2/5/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/9/6)-(4/2/5/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/9/6)-(4/2/5/9/6)-(4/2/5/9/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/9/6)-(7/3/6/9/2)-(1/8/10/3/7) 125 $0.20 $25.00 
ASD-6   WIN (7/3/6/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/9/2)-(7/3/6/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/9/2)-(7/3/6/9/2)-(7/3/6/9/2) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/9/2)-(1/8/10/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/8/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7)-(1/8/10/3/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAKHOZANA Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 May29 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00 33% 2.00    
2  THE LONNA RANGER Jul26 Jun16 May27 Feb25 Jan28 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.20    
3  RIGGED RIGHT Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May15 (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  SUGAR DADDY JACK Jul31 Jul18 Jul12 Jun19 May30 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BIG JIM Jul17 Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 Sep23 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00    
6  SUPER D'ORO Jul26 May23 May09 Apr20 Apr06 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 4.00    
 
ASD-2   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Escape Clause Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELISANDRE Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 May23 Sep12 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
2  BURROW DOWN Jul18 Jun27 Apr24 Apr01 Sep10 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 123 0.80 38% 1.60    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
3  BIG STRETCH Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 May23 Sep12 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 118 4.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
4  MISSION BELLE Jun27 Jun06 May13 Apr16 Feb25 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BAYOU BREEZE by A.P. INDY)
5  MISS Z Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Feb08 Jan25 (keplin jr)CARRENO J 118 8.00    
  (by MR. Z out of MISTY MICHELLE by K ONE KING)
 
ASD-3   08/07/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTRODAMOUS Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 May29 Sep26 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 6% 16.80    
2  GALLANT OAK Jul24 Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (danelson gar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
3  SOMETHING SUPER Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 Apr07 Mar21 (keplin jr)CARRENO J 122 10.00    
4  SIDE STREET DAVE Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 Mar06 Feb26 (sanderson)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 15.00    
5  WELL PLAYED Jul19 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May23 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 20.00    
6  ADJOURNMENT Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 May23 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 119 25.00    
SCR  STEAL HOME Jun19 Jun06 May23 Apr18 Mar28 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 6.00 6% 16.10    
8  LAB RAT Jul31 Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 May06 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
ASD-4   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harvey Warner Manitoba Mile Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG NICK Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May23 May06 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 18.20    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
2  VANGILDER Jul24 Jun15 Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of HIGH SPEED GOLDIE by PARADE GROUND)
3  ITSTHATTIME May22 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 Jun22 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of MAGIC KITTY by STORM CAT)
4  CONVENTION (IRE) Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 Apr25 Mar20 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 25.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Jun30 May05 Apr07 Feb18 Jan07 (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 124 0.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CHICKASAW GAL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MAGIC TIGER Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May22 Apr22 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
7  BROCK ON BY Jul24 May29 May11 Apr23 Feb10 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
ASD-5   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jul24 Jun26 Jun06 May23 Apr11 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00    
2  LAST RENEGADE Jul11 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May23 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  ROAMING UNION Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun19 Jun05 (gardipy tom )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00    
4  NOT AFRAID Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Aug30 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
5  LITTLE TOE Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May19 May06 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 4.50 8% 12.30    
6  LUCKY LUKE Jul26 Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLD SPECIAL Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 (maxwell curtis)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 25.00    
8  MARK YE WELL Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 Apr24 (cizik la)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50    
9  GONE SOMEWHERE Jul11 Jul03 May23 May02 Apr01 (maxwell curtis)BALROOP SVEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   08/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFF FA FA Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 Jun12 Oct21 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 5.00    
2  BRODY'S STREAK Jun28 Jun14 May22 Jul11 Jun20 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXPLOSIVE Jul19 Jun26 Jun06 May22 Apr12 (keplin st)CHADEE JR 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
4  EL MAESTRO Jun07 May22 Apr11 Mar14 Feb15 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 20.00    
5  PRAYFORPEACE Jul24 Jun28 Jun07 Aug20 Aug01 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
6  TRUMP UM Jun12 May23 Sep19 Aug24 Jul18 (wise a)CHOW CHAVION 124 12.00 7% 13.20    
7  REAL GRACE Jun21         (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
8  COURAGEOUS Jul19 Apr29 Mar11 Feb07 Jan12 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00    
9  MR. DAZZLE Jun28 Jun14 May14 Apr23 Dec04 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  STAY HAPPY Jun28 Jun14 May29 Apr11 Mar08 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
 
ASD-7   08/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Derby Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEROIC MOVE Jul08 Jun03 May04 Mar09 Feb18 (diodoro robe)WALCOTT W 122 1.00 40% 1.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FAMILY TREE by SMART STRIKE)
2  CHICAGO'S GRAY Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May23 May06 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 122 20.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  TSHIEBWE Jun10 May02 Apr14 Feb26 Feb01 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 14.20    
  (by RACE DAY out of DIVINE FRIENDS by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  NEIGHBOR May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Feb18 (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 122 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HOOKY by SKIP AWAY)
5  B MINOR May06 Apr23 Mar30 Mar09 Nov26 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TOCAME LINDA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  ROUGH CUSTOMER Jul17 Jun26 Jun10 May27 May06 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
7  DISCOVERY PEAK Jul26 Jul12 Jul05 Jun23 Jun08 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ONION CREEK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  MANO DURA Jul24 Jun17 Jun10 May28 Apr08 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
9  GREEN AMAZON Jul17 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 40.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
10  SAXON SAGA Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May23 Apr07 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 10.00 8% 10.80    
  (by SLEW'S SAGA out of TU TU STONE by GRINDSTONE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.