Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO RIVER 1 4 2 2   2 1nk (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.80 31% 2.30 1.00 W
MISS LANGSKIP 5 1 1 1   1 2nk (miller blair)AEBLY FRASER 116 15.00 14.10  
AT THE LYRIC 3 5 56 4   3 32 (miller blair)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 8.00 14% 6.40 14.30 S
MARGOT'S GIRL 2 3 3 33   47 46 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.40 28% 2.50 1.35  
PLUM ROSE 4 2 4 56   5 5 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00 6.95  
 
ASD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'VE GOT ALL NITE 7 1 1 1   1 1 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 5% 19.00 2.25 W
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE 5 3 44 2   2 2 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.20 48% 1.10 1.60 P
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
ASHES TO ASHES 2 7 65 48   413 315 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 23% 3.30 1.85 S
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
DUBD SAINT ANGEL 4 5 711½ 713½   716 416 (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 117 8.00 36.75  
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
TEEMANS FLAIR 6 2 2 37   311 517¾ (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00 39.25  
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
PAYITFORWARD 1 6 55 610½   514 619 (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00 20.85  
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of JUSTONEOFAKIND by MORE THAN READY)
BROWNELL BAY 3 4 33 58   615½ 724¾ (miller blair)CARRENO J 117 20.00 26.40  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of CIRCULAR LOGIC by STREET BOSS)
 
ASD-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOTGUN ONE 5 3 42 2nk   1nk 1nk (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.00 W
AMMA'S STAR 2 5 11 1nk   2nk 2nk (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 3.50 19% 4.10 2.00 P
KEYSTONE CASH 6 4 54 3   34 3 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 15.00 4.75  
TIMBER'S LEGACY 4 2 3 5   5 411 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 114 20.00 11.40  
ROYAL COMMANDO 3 1 21 4   4 511¾ (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 14.15  
KERRY'S NONIOS 1 6 65 610¼   613¾ 621¾ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 30.00 17% 4.90 31.60  
SCR  G B'S TURBO               (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.00    
 
ASD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:161     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JIM 5 5 3 31   3 1nk (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 17% 4.90 0.50 W
PARTYATMYPLACE 1 1 4 4   22 2nk (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 3.90  
SILICON VALLEY 4 3 2½ 11   12 3¼ (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 4.00 4.85  
CARPIQUET 2 2 1½ 21   4 4 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 25% 3.00 10.05  
E. P. MATLOCK 3 4 54 5   56 5 (duncan murray)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 27% 2.70 16.60  
SCR  VERY HIGH               (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
SCR  WITT'S ROJO               (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.80    
 
ASD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Derby Trial Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:124 1:264   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAXON SAGA 3 3 3.2 2nk 1nk 12 12 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 2.50  
  (by SLEW'S SAGA out of TU TU STONE by GRINDSTONE)
GREEN AMAZON 1 1 2nk 3 33 22 22 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 20.00 12.75  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
ROUGH CUSTOMER 2 2 1nk 4 4 33 3 (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 117 25.00 16% 5.10 8.05 S
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
CHICAGO'S GRAY 4 4 4¾ 1nk 2nk 44 412¼ (duncan murray)CARRENO J 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.40  
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  DISCOVERY PEAK               (gourneau )CHADEE JR 117 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ONION CREEK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
SCR  MANO DURA               (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.80    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  VIRAL               (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 40.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
 
ASD-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT 1 3 3 5   31 1 (kinch bill)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00 0.95  
MY BOY CHRISTIAN 4 6 57 2nk   1½ 2 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.30 P
MOSIE'S ON MAIN 6 2 4 4   5 36 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00 28.80  
GREAT VISION 2 4 23 31   41 47 (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 30% 2.30 4.15  
LIVERYMAN 5 1 13 1nk   2½ 59 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 122 10.00 11.30  
BRO CODE 3 5 615 613¾   615½ 621¼ (brown allen)ALI RONALD 122 20.00 9% 10.60 17.40  
SCR  LOVE OURS               (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.60    
SCR  SUPER D'ORO               (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
 
ASD-7   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:231 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFF FA FA 7 3 1 1   14 11 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 1.30 W
MY NOAH 2 7 5 5   24 21 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50 27% 2.80 6.05 P
MCKAGUE 5 5 67 6   5 3 (anderson )CHADEE JR 122 10.00 6.30  
IN THE DEEP 8 1 4 3   4 4 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 12% 7.50 5.15  
HOUSE LIMIT 3 4 34 2   3 57 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.00 9.30  
THE BOSS FACTOR 4 6 78 710½   710 613¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 25.00 38.85  
PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY 6 2 2 45   6 715½ (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 30.00 26.60  
UNBROKEN STAR 1 8 817 8100   8100 8100 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.50 12% 7.10 5.85  
SCR  WITT AMERICA               (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.