The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ASD-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 0 $16.95 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-5-3 3 0 $19.30 -1.20
ASD-2   Win (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -1.50
    Exacta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-5 2 1 $7.50 $7.50 -4.50
    Trifecta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 7-5-2 3 1 $1.92 $1.92 -2.88
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-7 2 1 $9.15 $9.15 -2.85
ASD-3   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 1 $5.15 $5.15 -0.85
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 6-2-7 3 0 $1.63 -1.20
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 1-7-5/6 3 1 $5.11 $5.11 -2.09
ASD-4   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1 2 0 $3.75 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 6-1-5 3 0 $2.17 -1.20
    Pick Three (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/6)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 7-5/6-3/6/7 3 1 $2.71 $2.71 -4.49
ASD-5   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $7.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/7)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-1 2 0 $43.50 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 5-1-2 3 0 $19.43 0.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/7) 18 $0.20 $3.60 5/6-3/6/7-5 3 0 $3.06 -3.60
ASD-6   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.90 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-6 2 0 $4.70 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-6-8 3 0 $10.78 -1.20
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(2/7)-(2/3/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 3/6/7-5-1/4/5 3 0 $4.32 -3.60
ASD-7   Win (2/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-3 2 1 $11.30 $11.30 -0.70
    Trifecta (2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9)-(2/3/8/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 8-3-6 3 0 $8.48 -4.80
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(2/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-8 2 0 $5.85 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/7)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/8/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 5-1/4/5-1/8 3 0 $4.20 -4.80

Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
:23 :463 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO RIVER 1 4 2 2   21nk (brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.80 31% 2.30 1.00 W
MISS LANGSKIP 5 1 1 1   12nk (miller blair)AEBLY FRASER 116 15.00 14.10  
AT THE LYRIC 3 5 56 4   332 (miller blair)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 8.00 14% 6.40 14.30 S
MARGOT'S GIRL 2 3 3 33   47 46 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.40 28% 2.50 1.35  
PLUM ROSE 4 2 4 56   55(sanderson bruce)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00 6.95  
 
ASD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
:23 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'VE GOT ALL NITE 7 1 1 1   11(gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 5% 19.00 2.25 W
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE 5 3 44 2   22(nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.20 48% 1.10 1.60 P
ASHES TO ASHES 2 7 65 48   413 315 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 23% 3.30 1.85 S
DUBD SAINT ANGEL 4 5 711½ 713½   716 416 (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 117 8.00 36.75  
TEEMANS FLAIR 6 2 2 37   311 517¾ (brown alle)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00 39.25  
PAYITFORWARD 1 6 55 610½   514 619 (hrymak bren)CHADEE JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00 20.85  
BROWNELL BAY 3 4 33 58   615½ 724¾ (miller blair)CARRENO J 117 20.00 26.40  
 
ASD-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
:233 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOTGUN ONE 5 3 42 2nk   1nk 1nk (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.00 W
AMMA'S STAR 2 5 11 1nk   2nk 2nk (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 3.50 19% 4.10 2.00 P
KEYSTONE CASH 6 4 54 3   34 3(gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 15.00 4.75  
TIMBER'S LEGACY 4 2 3 5   5411 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 114 20.00 11.40  
ROYAL COMMANDO 3 1 21 4   4511¾ (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 14.15  
KERRY'S NONIOS 1 6 65 610¼   613¾ 621¾ (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 30.00 17% 4.90 31.60  
SCR  G B'S TURBO               (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.00    
 
ASD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
:242 :484 1:161     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JIM 5 5 3 31   31nk (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 17% 4.90 0.50 W
PARTYATMYPLACE 1 1 4 4   22 2nk (brown shell)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 3.90  
SILICON VALLEY 4 3 2½ 11   12 3¼ (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 4.00 4.85  
CARPIQUET 2 2 1½ 21   44(gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 25% 3.00 10.05  
E. P. MATLOCK 3 4 54 5   56 5(duncan murray)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 27% 2.70 16.60  
SCR  VERY HIGH               (morin shau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
SCR  WITT'S ROJO               (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.80    
 
ASD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Derby Trial Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-10:15
:233 :474 1:124 1:264   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAXON SAGA 3 3 3.2 2nk 1nk 12 12 (anderson wendy)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 2.50  
GREEN AMAZON 1 1 2nk 3 33 22 22 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 20.00 12.75  
ROUGH CUSTOMER 2 2 1nk 4 4 33 3(heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 117 25.00 16% 5.10 8.05 S
CHICAGO'S GRAY 4 4 4¾ 1nk 2nk 44 412¼ (duncan murray)CARRENO J 122 1.40 45% 1.20 0.40  
SCR  DISCOVERY PEAK               (gourneau je)CHADEE JR 117 15.00    
SCR  MANO DURA               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.80    
SCR  VIRAL               (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 40.00    
 
ASD-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
:224 :464 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT 1 3 3 5   31 1(kinch bill)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00 0.95  
MY BOY CHRISTIAN 4 6 57 2nk   1½ 2(gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.30 P
MOSIE'S ON MAIN 6 2 4 4   536 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00 28.80  
GREAT VISION 2 4 23 31   41 47 (britton cal)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 30% 2.30 4.15  
LIVERYMAN 5 1 13 1nk   2½ 59 (desjarlais )CHADEE JR 122 10.00 11.30  
BRO CODE 3 5 615 613¾   615½ 621¼ (brown allen)ALI RONALD 122 20.00 9% 10.60 17.40  
SCR  LOVE OURS               (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.60    
SCR  SUPER D'ORO               (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
 
ASD-7   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
:231 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEFF FA FA 7 3 1 1   14 11 (anderson wendy)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90 1.30 W
MY NOAH 2 7 5 5   24 21 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50 27% 2.80 6.05 P
MCKAGUE 5 5 67 6   53(anderson ca)CHADEE JR 122 10.00 6.30  
IN THE DEEP 8 1 4 3   44(wise richar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 12% 7.50 5.15  
HOUSE LIMIT 3 4 34 2   357 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.00 9.30  
THE BOSS FACTOR 4 6 78 710½   710 613¼ (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 25.00 38.85  
PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY 6 2 2 45   6715½ (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 30.00 26.60  
UNBROKEN STAR 1 8 817 8100   8100 8100 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.50 12% 7.10 5.85  
SCR  WITT AMERICA               (gourneau jerry)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.