Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/2/7/1)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (5/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (5/2/7/1)-(6/2/1)-(4/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(4/2/6)-(7/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(7/2)-(6/2/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(6/2/3)-(3/8/2/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/2/3)-(3/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/9)-(3/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/9)-(3/8/2/9)-(3/8/2/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICAGO RIVER Jul09 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Mar19 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.80 31% 2.30    
2  MARGOT'S GIRL Jun28 Jun14 May22 Apr05 Mar26 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.40 28% 2.50    
3  AT THE LYRIC May22 Sep19 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 (miller blair)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 8.00 14% 6.40    
4  PLUM ROSE May05 Apr18 Apr10 Mar18 Feb19 (sanderson bruc)BALROOP SVEN 123 4.00    
5  MISS LANGSKIP Jun21 Jun05 May22 Sep12 Aug31 (miller blair)AEBLY FRASER 116 15.00    
 
ASD-2   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYITFORWARD         (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of JUSTONEOFAKIND by MORE THAN READY)
2  ASHES TO ASHES Jul10 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
3  BROWNELL BAY May29         (miller blair)CARRENO J 117 20.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of CIRCULAR LOGIC by STREET BOSS)
4  DUBD SAINT ANGEL         (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 117 8.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
5  DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Jul04 Jun19 May29 Aug22 Jul27 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
6  TEEMANS FLAIR Jul04 Jun19 Sep27 Aug30   (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 30.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
7  I'VE GOT ALL NITE         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
ASD-3   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERRY'S NONIOS         (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 119 30.00 17% 4.90    
2  AMMA'S STAR Jun19 Jun05 Aug22 Aug08 Jun28 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
3  ROYAL COMMANDO Jun13 Jul27 Jul11     (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00    
4  TIMBER'S LEGACY Jun13 May30       (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 114 20.00    
SCR  G B'S TURBO Jul05 Jun13 May30 May06 Apr16 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 1.00    
6  SHOTGUN ONE Jun19 Jun05       (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  KEYSTONE CASH Jun19 Jun05 Sep20     (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 15.00    
 
ASD-4   07/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTYATMYPLACE Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May23 Aug02 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00    
2  CARPIQUET Jun28 Jun06 May23 Oct29 Oct15 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  WITT'S ROJO Jul04 Jun28 Jun04 May06   (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.80    
4  E. P. MATLOCK Jun14         (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
5  SILICON VALLEY Jul04 Jun14       (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 119 4.00    
6  BIG JIM Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  VERY HIGH Jun28 Jun20       (morin sh)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
 
ASD-5   07/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Derby Trial Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN AMAZON Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May23 Dec11 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
2  ROUGH CUSTOMER Jun26 Jun10 May27 May06   (heggie rod)MARTIN ANDRE 117 25.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  MANO DURA Jun17 Jun10 May28 Apr08 Mar26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.80    
  (by KEEN ICE out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DISCOVERY PEAK Jul12 Jul05 Jun23 Jun08 May07 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 117 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ONION CREEK by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
5  SAXON SAGA Jun26 Jun05 May23 Apr07 Mar19 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00    
  (by SLEW'S SAGA out of TU TU STONE by GRINDSTONE)
SCR  VIRAL Jul05 May27 Oct28 Sep27 Sep06 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 40.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
7  CHICAGO'S GRAY Jun26 Jun05 May23 May06 Mar31 (duncan murray)CARRENO J 122 1.40 45% 1.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of DULCE ARABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
ASD-6   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 May23 (kinch bill)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00    
2  GREAT VISION Jul10 Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 (britton c)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00 30% 2.30    
3  BRO CODE Jun23 Oct09 Sep20 Sep13 Sep06 (brown allen)ALI RONALD 122 20.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  LOVE OURS Jun27 Jun20 Jun14 May30 May13 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.60    
SCR  SUPER D'ORO May23 May09 Apr20 Apr06 Mar30 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
6  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 May29 Oct24 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  LIVERYMAN Jun26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jul27 (desjarlai)CHADEE JR 122 10.00    
8  MOSIE'S ON MAIN Jul05 Jun14 May30 Sep26 Sep07 (miller blair)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
 
ASD-7   07/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITT AMERICA Jul02 Jun18 Jun11 May28 May07 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00    
2  UNBROKEN STAR Jun19 Jun07 Apr18 Mar26 Mar08 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 4.50 12% 7.10    
3  MY NOAH Jul03 Jun21 May06 Mar12 Feb10 (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 3.50 27% 2.80    
4  HOUSE LIMIT Jun26 Jun14 May29 Sep26 Sep12 (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.00    
5  THE BOSS FACTOR Jun26 Jun12 May29 Mar31 Mar18 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 25.00    
6  MCKAGUE Jun19 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (anderson )CHADEE JR 122 10.00    
7  PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY Jul03 Jun14 Jun07 Nov16 Oct11 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 124 30.00    
8  JEFF FA FA Jul05 Jun21 Jun12 Oct21 Sep24 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
9  IN THE DEEP Jun19 Jun06 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.