tbrs_res_20230715.far.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Race Results

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North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager			Pick												Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type			Numbers												Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

FAR-1			Win			(2/5/6)												3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$3.20		$3.20		-2.80
			Trifecta			(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)												6		$0.50	$3.00	5-1-6	3		0	$19.10				-3.00
FAR-2			Win			(2/5/6)												3		$2.00	$6.00	6	1		1	$3.60		$3.60		-2.40
			Trifecta			(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6)												6		$0.50	$3.00	6-2-3	3		0	$11.20				-3.00
FAR-5			Win			(1/3/5)												3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$11.40		$11.40		5.40
			Trifecta			(1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5)												6		$0.50	$3.00	5-7-3	3		0	$29.70				-3.00
FAR-6			Win			(1/2/4)												3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		1	$6.00		$6.00		0.00
			Trifecta			(1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4)												6		$0.50	$3.00	1-2-3	3		0	$44.25				-3.00
FAR-7			Win			(3/7/8)												3		$2.00	$6.00	8	1		1	$14.40		$14.40		8.40
			Trifecta			(3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8)												6		$0.50	$3.00	8-7-3	3		1	$28.55		$28.55		25.55
FAR-8			Win			(1/2/4)												3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		0	$12.20				-6.00
			Trifecta			(1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4)												6		$0.50	$3.00	5-3-2	3		0	$30.75				-3.00

Simulator Race results


FAR-1				07/15/2023	3300ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5.75K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 2:30
	1:02¹						1:02¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	BOOGIE BUG								4	3		5^2½		5³		1^2½	1^4¼		(nelson francis)DELORME L 121								5.00	18%	4.50	0.60	W
1	EMMITT'S CHALLENGE								1	5		3^1½		4^2½		2^2½	2^4¼		(delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126								1.60			3.60
6	REAL CRAFTY PIE								5	1		4²		1^nk		3³	3^4¾		(dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126								10.00	17%	4.90	5.40	S
4	LITTLE BERTA								3	2		2^½		2^nk		4⁴	4^6¾		(wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 121								3.50			5.60
2	SCOOTER FLASH								2	4		1^½		3^½		5^4½	5^6¾		(haar amanda)RAMIREZ E 124								1.80	26%	2.80	7.50
SCR	DAKOTA BISCAY																		(wilke gordy)FRINK D 121								12.00

FAR-2				07/15/2023	3960ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($6.5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 3:00
	1:13²						1:13²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	KREWS PASS								5	1		1^½		1^2½		1⁴	1^5½		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126								1.50	32%	2.20	0.80	W
2	TRICKY KID								1	2		2^½		2^2½		2⁴	2^5½		(haar amanda)TARASENCO P 126								2.50	16%	5.10	5.20	P
3	BONNIE AND								2	5		3^3½		3⁵		3^8½	3¹¹		(dolphus junior)PINEDA G 121								4.00			5.10
5	LIAM'S STARRY NITE								4	4		4^5½		4¹⁰		4^16½	4^21¼		(backhaus lexo)CERVANTES URIEL 124								3.00	30%	2.30	3.60
4	PASHTUNWALI								3	3		5⁷		5¹²		5^17½	5^22¼		(horst scot)MARTINEZ R 126								8.00			5.10
SCR	BIG ENDER																		(delorme c)HERMAN EVAN 126								15.00

FAR-5				07/15/2023	3300ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5.5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 4:30
	1:01¹						1:01¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	DAKOTA PROSPECTOR								4	5		1²		1³		1²	1^1½		(horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126								3.50	24%	3.10	4.70	W
7	ENDERSROYALDANCE								6	1		2²		2³		2²	2^1½		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124								4.50			1.60
3	BOOOGER CAUSEWAY								2	4		3^2½		3⁶		3¹⁰	3^12½		(horst scot)MARTINEZ R 124								30.00	13%	6.80	5.70	S
1	EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO								1	3		4^4½		4¹⁰		4¹²	4¹⁵		(backhaus lexon)MORIN RYAN 124								3.00	34%	1.90	3.50
8	ELI'S FIRE								7	2		5^7½		7¹⁹		5¹⁸	5^23¾		(delorme c)PINEDA G 126								12.00			7.50
6	DEPUTY VERDOT								5	7		7⁸		6¹⁷		6²⁰	6²⁶		(martin dean)FRINK D 126								8.00			19.60
4	MR. ADVENTUROUS								3	6		6^7½		5¹⁵		7²⁴	7³⁰		(wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126								15.00			5.30
SCR	LENNOX THE GREAT																		(delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126								1.80
SCR	P K'S PEANUT																		(haar j)FRINK D 121								20.00

FAR-6				07/15/2023	3960ft			DIRT			FAST				Claiming ($3.5K)									Purse ($4.5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 5:00
	1:13²						1:13²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	GENTRIFIED								1	4		4^6½		3²		1^nk	1^1¼		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126								2.00	30%	2.30	2.00	W
2	MR HANDS ON								2	3		3^3½		2¹		2^nk	2^1¼		(nelson francis)TARASENCO P 126								3.00	18%	4.60	5.10	P
3	ROCKETRINGO								3	1		1^1½		1¹		3¹	3^3½		(ness john)MARTINEZ R 126								5.00			3.90
4	JERSEY LUTE								4	2		2^1½		4⁴		4²	4⁵		(addicott w)HERMAN EVAN 126								1.60	29%	2.50	2.90
5	POVERTY FLATS								5	5		5¹⁰⁰		5¹⁰⁰		5¹⁰⁰	5¹⁰⁰		(haar j)FRINK D 126								9.00			11.20
6	HELLO HANDSOME								6	6		6¹⁰⁰		6¹⁰⁰		6¹⁰⁰	6¹⁰⁰		(horst scot)PINEDA G 126								20.00			3.80
SCR	RATHMEISTER																		(herman jr)HERMAN EVAN 121								30.00

FAR-7				07/15/2023	3630ft			DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5.5K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 5:30
	1:07²						1:07²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
8	A BUNCH FOR LUNCH								5	3		3³		1¹		1^1½	1¹		(ness john)MARTINEZ R 126								12.00	14%	6.10	6.20	W
7	SOME WOULD SAY								4	1		1^1½		2¹		2^1½	2¹		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126								9.00	8%	11.50	1.40	P
3	CHAMA								2	4		4⁶		4^3½		3⁵	3^5½		(suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126								2.00	48%	1.10	4.80	S
2	EXODUS AND HOPE								1	6		6⁹		6⁷		4⁶	4^5½		(haar j)FRINK D 126								6.00			3.30
9	I CINC EYE LUV U								6	2		2^1½		5^5½		5⁷	5^6½		(dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126								30.00			7.90
4	WIDGET GIDGET								3	5		5⁸		3^2½		6¹⁰	6^9¼		(martin dean)MORIN RYAN 126								3.50			4.80
SCR	ATOKAD ALICE																		(haar amanda)RAMIREZ E 126								2.50
SCR	MONGOLIAN DIAMOND																		(ducheneaux jami)TARASENCO P 126								20.00
SCR	QUEEN OF THE ICE																		(ducheneaux ja)PADILLA ANSELMO 126								8.00

FAR-8				07/15/2023	5280ft			DIRT			FAST				Budweiser Mile									Purse ($10K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:00
	1:41²						1:41²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	HOLY MUCHACHO								5	6		4^3½		2¹	1^nk	1¹	1^1½		(haar amanda)TARASENCO P 126								12.00			5.10
3	SMART CALL								3	5		6⁸		5^3½	4^2½	2¹	2^1½		(ness john)MARTINEZ R 126								2.00			6.40
2	BEHAVIN MYSELF								2	3		2²		1¹	2^nk	3^5½	3^8½		(cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126								1.60	41%	1.40	0.70	S
4	ACCOUSTICAL								4	1		3^2½		3^1½	3²	4^17½	4^29¼		(dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126								3.50	21%	3.80	6.40
1	BIG BIZ								1	4		5⁵		6^9½	6^7½	5^18½	5^30½		(haar j)FRINK D 126								10.00	16%	5.10	5.30
6	JIMMY'S MARCO								6	2		1²		4^1½	5^4½	6²¹	6^37¼		(haar amanda)PADILLA ANSELMO 126								4.00			11.10



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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