Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAR-1   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAR-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FAR-7   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/8/7)-(3/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAR-8   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAR-1   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMITT'S CHALLENGE Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jun12   (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 1.60    
2  SCOOTER FLASH Jun25 Jun04 May12 Mar19 Jun26 (haar amand)RAMIREZ E 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
SCR  DAKOTA BISCAY Jun25 Jun18 Jun11 Jun11 Jun25 (wilke gordy)FRINK D 121 12.00    
4  LITTLE BERTA Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jul03 Jun25 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 121 3.50    
5  BOOGIE BUG Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jul30 Jun12 (nelson francis)DELORME L 121 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  REAL CRAFTY PIE Jun24 Jun18 Mar31 Mar19 Mar03 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
FAR-2   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG ENDER Jun24 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19   (delorme marcus )HERMAN EVAN 126 15.00    
2  TRICKY KID Jun24 Jun17 Jul31 Jul23 Jul02 (haar amand)RAMIREZ E 126 2.50 16% 5.10    
3  BONNIE AND Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 Apr16 Mar26 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 121 4.00    
4  PASHTUNWALI Jun25 Jun17 Jul31 Jul24 Jul02 (horst scot)MARTINEZ R 126 8.00    
5  LIAM'S STARRY NITE Jun25 Jun04 Jul30 Jul03 Jun18 (backhaus le)CERVANTES URIEL 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  KREWS PASS Jun24 Jun18 May19 Sep19 Jul31 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.50 32% 2.20    
 
FAR-5   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun04 Jul30 (backhaus lexon)MORIN RYAN 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  P K'S PEANUT Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 Jul24 (haar j)FRINK D 121 20.00    
3  BOOOGER CAUSEWAY Jun25         (horst scot)RAMIREZ E 124 30.00 13% 6.80    
4  MR. ADVENTUROUS Jun24 Jun17 Jun04 Jul30 Jul24 (wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 15.00    
5  DAKOTA PROSPECTOR Jun03 Jul16 Jun12 Jun01   (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  DEPUTY VERDOT Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jul24 Jul16 (martin dean)HERMAN EVAN 126 8.00    
7  ENDERSROYALDANCE Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 4.50    
8  ELI'S FIRE Jun24 Jun18 Jul30 Jun12   (delorme c)PINEDA G 126 12.00    
SCR  LENNOX THE GREAT Jun24 Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 Sep19 (delorme c)MARTINEZ R 126 1.80    
 
FAR-6   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENTRIFIED Feb15 Jan07 Nov30 Nov19 Oct12 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 2.00 30% 2.30    
2  MR HANDS ON Jun24 Jun11 Dec03 Nov14 Oct20 (nelson franci)TARASENCO P 126 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  ROCKETRINGO Jun25 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 5.00    
4  JERSEY LUTE Jun17 Jun04 May19     (addicott ronald)HERMAN EVAN 126 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  POVERTY FLATS Jun25 Jun11 May20 May06 Apr22 (haar j)FRINK D 126 9.00    
6  HELLO HANDSOME Jun12 May23 Apr26 Apr11 Mar13 (horst scot)PINEDA G 126 20.00    
SCR  RATHMEISTER Jul11 Jun17 Sep26 Sep19 Sep05 (herman jr)HERMAN EVAN 121 30.00    
 
FAR-7   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATOKAD ALICE Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 (haar amand)RAMIREZ E 126 2.50    
2  EXODUS AND HOPE Jun25 Jun17 May14 Apr16 Apr01 (haar j)FRINK D 126 6.00    
3  CHAMA Jun24 Jun17 Jun11 May20 May14 (suter c)HERMAN EVAN 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  WIDGET GIDGET Jun25 Jun11 Jun11 Jun04 Jul30 (martin dean)MORIN RYAN 126 3.50    
SCR  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND Jun18 May27 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (ducheneaux ja)TARASENCO P 126 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE ICE Jun17 Jun09 May29 May19 May14 (ducheneaux )PADILLA ANSELMO 126 8.00    
7  SOME WOULD SAY Jul05 Jun18 May25 May05 Apr28 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 9.00 8% 11.50    
8  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Jun24 Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 Jun17 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 12.00 14% 6.10    
9  I CINC EYE LUV U Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Mar31 Mar19 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 30.00    
 
FAR-8   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Budweiser Mile Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BIZ Jun24 Jun11 May20 May13 Apr22 (haar j)FRINK D 126 10.00 16% 5.10    
  (by FED BIZ out of WOODLAND SPRITE by WOODMAN)
2  BEHAVIN MYSELF Jul09 Jun14 May31 May21 May07 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
3  SMART CALL Jul03 Jun11 Apr24 Apr12 Mar28 (ness john)MARTINEZ R 126 2.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of WASHINGTON BRIDGE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
4  ACCOUSTICAL Jun24 Jun17 Jun11 Apr23 Mar26 (dolphus junior)PINEDA G 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MAGDALENA'S CHASE by CAPE TOWN)
5  HOLY MUCHACHO Jun25 Jun11 Oct01 Aug17 Jul24 (haar amanda)TARASENCO P 126 12.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of TRISHA by FOREST CAMP)
6  JIMMY'S MARCO Jun18 Jun11 Sep26 Jul24 Jun18 (haar amand)RAMIREZ E 126 4.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of THERESA E by STRUGGLER (GB))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.