Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    DD (3/1)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $13.20 $1.20 10%
WRD-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $19.00 $15.00 375%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-2 $101.80 $93.80 1173%
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00  1-2-3 $49.90 $47.90 2395%
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $49.40 $37.40 312%
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/4/5)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  3/5-6-1 $31.50 $25.50 425%
WRD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $11.80 $7.80 195%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-1 $70.40 $58.40 487%
    DD (3/1)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1-4 $116.60 $108.60 1358%
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/1)-(2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00  6-1-4 $149.35 $143.35 2389%
WRD-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-4 $8.80 $4.80 120%
    DD (2/4)-(5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4-5 $26.00 $18.00 225%
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4)-(5/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00  1-4-3/5 $59.80 $55.80 1395%
    PK4 (6/4/5)-(3/1)-(2/4)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-1-4-3/5 $564.20 $552.20 4602%
    PK5 (3/1)-(6/4/5)-(3/1)-(2/4)-(5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3/5-6-1-4-3/5 $493.60 $469.60 1957%
WRD-6   EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-1 $45.40 $27.40 152%
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-1-6 $64.05 $55.05 612%
    DD (5/4)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $17.60 $5.60 47%
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/4)-(6/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  4-3/5-2 $25.50 $19.50 325%
WRD-7   DD (6/5/2)-(4/8/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-8 $19.80 $1.80 10%
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/5/2)-(4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3/5-2-8 $13.90 $4.90 54%
WRD-8   PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/8/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-8-1 $18.35 $4.85 36%
WRD-9   WIN (4/7/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $11.00 $1.00 10%
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/9/2/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  1-4 $39.40 $9.40 31%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:221 :453       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'S MUNNIE 3 1 2nk 1½   12 13¾ (hartman alex)JORDAN R 121 1.40 52% 0.90 0.60 W
4  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP 4 4 47½ 48½   36 23¾ (green gerald)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00 15.00  
1  FRESH ONE 1 2 1nk 2½   22 34 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.00 24% 3.20 1.50 S
2  RELEASE THE BEAST 2 3 36½ 38½   46 45½ (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 118 10.00 4.90  
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS               (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80    
 
WRD-2   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
See original race card.
:23 :59       1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PISSARRO'S MANDATE 5 2 2½ 1½   12 13¾ (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 2.50 41% 1.50 2.90 W
1  ELUSIVE FREUD 1 3 3½ 42   33 23¾ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 2.80  
5  WHO'S BIG DADDY 4 5 56 53½   54 34¾ (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.10 S
4  GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE 3 1 1½ 2½   22 45 (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 2.00 23% 3.30 0.60  
2  JOAN'S JUNIOR 2 4 42 32   43½ 58 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 8.00 20.50  
SCR  MACER THE RACER               (dixon tim)LANDEROS C 124 4.00    
 
WRD-3   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENUINE DRAFT 1 5 11 1½   11 11¾ (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.00 38% 1.60 8.50 W
2  MISS RITA 2 1 21 2½   21 21¾ (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 ★ 5.30 P
3  SPELL FREEDOM 3 4 42½ 43   31½ 32¼ (caster boyd)JORDAN R 124 1.60 40% 1.50 0.80 S
5  MO ARETHA 5 2 32 31½   44 47 (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 2.00 1.70  
4  PICAFLOR 4 3 55½ 56   58 511¾ (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 17.60  
 
WRD-4   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :484       1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAMDEN'S BEAUTY 4 2 12 1nk 2nk 1nk 1¼ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 13% 6.60 4.90 W
  (by WILBURN out of ONE EYED BEAUTY by CITY ZIP)
1  HOORAY FOR CREDIT 1 1 22 2nk 1nk 2nk 2¼ (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 5.00 ★ 4.40 P
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
7  GOSPEL FABULOUS 7 5 43 42 31½ 32 32 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 3.20  
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
2  MISS LONG LEGS 2 3 63¼ 63 43 44 43¼ (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 63% 0.60 1.00  
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of IT'SNOSMALLWONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
3  MS. MORENA 3 6 53 31 56 59 514½ (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 ★ 28.30  
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
5  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN 5 7 76¼ 77 710½ 715 618¾ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 15.90  
  (by ORDAINED out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  SAVE BALE MONEY 6 4 32½ 52½ 67½ 613 719 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 6.00 18.70  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MADE BY MAGIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
 
WRD-5   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:223 :574       1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BAYRON 4 2 11 13   12 11 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 1.80 40% 1.50 1.30 W
4  MONET'S DEVIL 3 3 32 23   22 21 (martin ste)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 30% 2.40 2.00 P
1  REVIVAL 1 4 42½ 46   33½ 31½ (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 4.00 1.50  
2  EUROMANTIC 2 1 21 34½   44 45 (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 121 10.00 10.10  
SCR  ONE SON OF A CHIEF               (black marissa)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
 
WRD-6   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EKATI'S HIT 2 7 62½ 3½   1nk 13½ (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 21% 3.70 2.20 W
1  STORMY BISONETTE 1 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 23½ (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 6.00 ★ 10.60 P
6  CANDY'S A DANDY 6 1 52 4¾   31½ 34 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 31% 2.30 2.80 S
3  LA PARADISO JORDAN 3 5 31 61¾   42½ 48¾ (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 12.00 8.90  
4  PRINCESS BALL 4 3 41½ 51¼   53 59¾ (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 5.00 8.00  
7  GOSPEL MOLLY 7 4 74½ 73¾   75 611 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 28.20  
5  HOT TAMALLI 5 2 2½ 2nk   63½ 714½ (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 24% 3.20 2.00  
 
WRD-7   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :59       1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SPEND AGAIN 8 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.80 21% 3.70 1.20 W
7  LANGMEAD 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (thomas de)TRIANA JR 124 8.00 6.00  
3  CLASSIC SHINE 3 7 83¼ 63   55¼ 37 (donaldson jerr)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 29.80  
5  GOSPEL BONANZA 5 8 62¼ 52½   45 48½ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 12.00  
4  TUFF MANDATE 4 6 41½ 31½   34 59½ (ferrell jory)JORDAN R 124 3.00 50% 1.00 2.90  
6  LITTLE MAD MAX 6 3 52 83¾   76¼ 611 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 ★ 10.30  
1  OTHER TIMES 1 5 72¾ 73½   65¾ 711¼ (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00 18.20  
2  HELLRAZER 2 4 31 42   89¼ 822¼ (trett don)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 8% 11.10 7.00  
 
WRD-8   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:232 :582       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACEY BOSS 1 6 63¼ 1½   11 12 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 11% 7.80 2.00 W
6  SCARLET POSITION 5 2 21 31   21 22 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 3.00 56% 0.80 1.40 P
2  EMERALD PRINCESS 2 1 11 2½   31½ 34½ (green ike)JORDAN R 124 3.00 2.40  
4  SUPERBLEA 3 5 52¼ 65   57 49½ (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 28.80  
5  EXCETERA 4 4 42 42   46½ 511 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 6.00 6% 16.70 7.60  
7  TAYLOR'S VISION 6 3 31 53   67½ 611¾ (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00 ★ 21.70  
SCR  CHIM CHIM GEMINI               (black mari)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
 
WRD-9   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:222 :46       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EURO TRACKING 4 3 1½ 2½   1nk 1¾ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 32% 2.20 4.50 W
9  BIG CITY BOY 9 8 72¾ 52   2nk 2¾ (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 3.50 10% 8.90 1.30 P
8  DOYOUKNOWMYNAME 8 2 2½ 1½   3.2 32½ (lambert j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00 53.20  
5  FRANZ 5 4 3½ 41½   4¾ 42¾ (hanson vic)KIMES C 118 8.00 21.40  
3  HE'S A ROCK 3 7 82¾ 74   72¾ 54¾ (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 10.60  
2  JUST OKIE 2 5 93 84   62¼ 65¼ (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 6.00 9% 9.60 8.00  
6  KICK IT AGAIN BOB 6 9 51¼ 31   51¾ 76¾ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 6% 14.80 8.50  
7  MINGUS 7 1 41 62½   83¼ 88¼ (biehler m)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 20% 3.90 4.10  
1  LOCK UP YOUR PETS 1 6 61¾ 95   97¼ 915 (corderman scot)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 16.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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