Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6/4/5)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/1)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(2/4)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1/3)-(2/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/4)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-5   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/5/2)-(4/8/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/8/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/8/2)-(6/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/2)-(4/8/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/8/2)-(4/8/2/6)-(4/8/2/6) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/8/2)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/8/2)-(6/1/5)-(4/7/9/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-8   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/7/9/2/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-9   WIN (4/7/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/2/6)-(4/7/9/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/2/6)-(4/7/9/2/6)-(4/7/9/2/6) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRESH ONE Apr12 Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
2  RELEASE THE BEAST Apr12 Dec09 Oct08 Sep14 Sep07 (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 118 10.00    
3  HE'S MUNNIE Apr12 Mar14 Oct07 Sep21 Sep01 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 121 1.40 52% 0.90    
4  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP May03 Apr12 Apr05 Nov18 Oct30 (green gerald)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS Mar20 Dec13 Nov30 Sep05 Mar21 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 1.80    
 
WRD-2   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE FREUD Apr25 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00    
2  JOAN'S JUNIOR Apr16 Mar11 Feb10 Jan13 Dec03 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
SCR  MACER THE RACER May03 Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Feb11 (dixon tim)LANDEROS C 124 4.00    
4  GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE Apr25 Apr05 Sep03 Jul12 Jun21 (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
5  WHO'S BIG DADDY Apr25 Mar21 Nov08 Oct05 Sep19 (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  PISSARRO'S MANDATE Mar21 Nov02 Sep21 Sep01 Jun07 (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
 
WRD-3   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENUINE DRAFT Apr24 Mar28       (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
2  MISS RITA May03 Mar18 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 ★    
3  SPELL FREEDOM Apr25 Apr11 Mar21 Feb19   (caster boyd)JORDAN R 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  PICAFLOR Apr03 Mar20 Aug27 Jul28   (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00    
5  MO ARETHA May03 Mar28 Dec10 Oct28 Sep30 (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 2.00    
 
WRD-4   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOORAY FOR CREDIT Apr25 Dec07 Oct19 Sep16 Aug07 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 5.00 ★    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of I TOUR by COLORFUL TOUR)
2  MISS LONG LEGS Apr26 Mar27 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of IT'SNOSMALLWONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
3  MS. MORENA May01 Apr26 Apr03 Mar27 Mar06 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 ★    
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
4  CAMDEN'S BEAUTY Nov30 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by WILBURN out of ONE EYED BEAUTY by CITY ZIP)
5  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN May01 Apr12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00    
  (by ORDAINED out of NATALIE PAIGE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  SAVE BALE MONEY Apr25         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 6.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MADE BY MAGIC by HAT TRICK (JPN))
7  GOSPEL FABULOUS Apr26 Mar27 Mar07 Oct19 Sep16 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL ARROW by PURIM)
 
WRD-5   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVIVAL Apr24 Mar28 Mar07 Nov21 Oct15 (luneack sue)KIMES C 124 4.00    
2  EUROMANTIC Apr24 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (hanson vi)TRIANA JR 121 10.00    
SCR  ONE SON OF A CHIEF Mar25 Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul16 (black marissa)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00    
4  MONET'S DEVIL Apr25 Apr03 Mar13 Feb10 Jan22 (martin ste)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
5  BAYRON Apr24 Mar24 Feb18 Jan15 Dec14 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 1.80 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-6   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY BISONETTE Apr26 Apr05 Mar20     (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 6.00 ★    
2  EKATI'S HIT Dec17 Dec02 Nov03 Oct05 Aug19 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  LA PARADISO JORDAN Apr26 Apr05 Mar06 Dec15 Nov18 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
4  PRINCESS BALL Apr26 Apr05 Mar20 Dec16   (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 5.00    
5  HOT TAMALLI Apr26 Apr05 Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  CANDY'S A DANDY Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Dec17 Dec02 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
7  GOSPEL MOLLY Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Dec02 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
WRD-7   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTHER TIMES Apr22 Mar24 Mar09 Jan21 May08 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00    
2  HELLRAZER         (trett don)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 8% 11.10    
3  CLASSIC SHINE Apr25 Mar13 Jan22 Dec11 Nov25 (donaldson jerr)LANDEROS C 124 12.00    
4  TUFF MANDATE May03 Apr11       (ferrell jory)JORDAN R 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  GOSPEL BONANZA Apr24         (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
6  LITTLE MAD MAX May03 Apr24       (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00 ★    
7  LANGMEAD Apr24 Jul05 Jun14 May10   (thomas de)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
8  SPEND AGAIN Apr02 Mar12 Feb04 Jan16 Nov25 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
WRD-8   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LACEY BOSS May01 Mar27 Mar06 Nov22 Nov03 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
2  EMERALD PRINCESS Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 Mar24 Mar05 (green ike)JORDAN R 124 3.00    
SCR  CHIM CHIM GEMINI Apr08 Mar17 Dec15 Nov30 Nov12 (black mari)ERAMIA E 124 8.00    
4  SUPERBLEA May03 Apr10 Apr04 Mar06 Dec13 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
5  EXCETERA May02 Apr03 Mar21 Mar13 Dec14 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 6.00 6% 16.70    
6  SCARLET POSITION May01 Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 Jan21 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
7  TAYLOR'S VISION Apr11 Mar21 Mar14 Dec17 Dec03 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 10.00 ★    
 
WRD-9   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOCK UP YOUR PETS Apr26 Apr04 Sep22 Aug27   (corderman scot)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
2  JUST OKIE Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Nov30 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  HE'S A ROCK Apr26 Dec17 Dec02     (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
4  EURO TRACKING Apr26 Mar21 Dec01 Nov05 Oct08 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 32% 2.20    
5  FRANZ Apr26 Dec17 Nov30 Oct27 Oct14 (hanson vic)KIMES C 118 8.00    
6  KICK IT AGAIN BOB Apr26 Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Jun14 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00 6% 14.80    
7  MINGUS Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 Mar07 Dec16 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 118 5.00 20% 3.90    
8  DOYOUKNOWMYNAME Feb17 Nov21 Nov05 Jun27   (lambert j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 20.00    
9  BIG CITY BOY Mar21 Mar07 Dec17 Nov22 Nov05 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.