Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $7.00  
CTM-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.90  
CTM-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
CTM-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
CTM-5   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
CTM-6   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.90 $11.90 3.90
CTM-7   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
CTM-8   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 8.80

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :481       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP THE QUEUE 1 1 1½ 11   1½ 1 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 2.50  
DARE MIGHTY THINGS 2 2 2½ 21   2½ 2 (o'hagan c)CHASE RICHARD 117 10.00 6.20  
EL PASO 3 3 3½ 3   3 3 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 17% 4.90 2.65 S
HE LIKES WINNING 4 4 4 44   4 412¾ (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.05  
SCR  GRATED COCONUT               (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
SCR  VOGUE JOKER               (kenway thoma)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
 
CTM-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:48       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIGHT LANE 2 4 3½ 4   1nk 12 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00 5.45  
GOLDIE SOCKS 3 3 2½ 21   3.2 22 (kingston ro)ZENTENO JR 120 1.80 37% 1.70 0.75 P
HERE'S LEXIE 4 1 1½ 11   2nk 3 (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00 9.80  
SHES A COOL CAT 1 5 5 5   4 46 (davies deanne)MARTIN ANDRE 120 4.00 12% 7.60 5.35  
SMOKIN JOY 5 2 41 31   5 5 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 2.00 20% 4.00 3.70  
 
CTM-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO 1 3 11 11   13 16 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.70 W
BROKEN PROMISES 6 6 6 6   5 26 (kingston karlin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 10% 9.40 21.70 P
SIZZLIN ROSE 2 4 21 21   23 36 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 16.85  
KULSUM 5 2 31 32   35 4 (brown r)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.50 6.10  
LIGHTERANQUICKER 3 5 5 55   4 5 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 12.40  
BURNING UP 4 1 4 42   610½ 620 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
 
CTM-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:48       1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL CALL 2 6 4 4   23 1nk (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.80 61% 0.60 3.35 W
DARLA'S FURY 6 2 11 12   13 2nk (vanov)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 8% 12.30 0.70 P
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 3 3 35 3   35 3 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 4.00 7% 13.10 11.45 S
PUNCH PERFECT 1 5 5 5   46 4 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 9.50  
VIOLET CITY 5 1 21 22   5 517½ (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 5.00 5.65  
SUNDROP (JPN) 4 4 610½ 610½   610½ 622 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 12.00 25.75  
 
CTM-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP'S ROCK 1 4 1 1   15 1½ (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 33% 2.00 0.80 W
BEAUTIFUL MESS 3 5 6 6   25 2½ (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 7% 12.60 5.65 P
NIGHT FLYER 5 1 4 36   3 3 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 28% 2.60 5.15 S
SINGING BELL 2 6 5 57   4 411¾ (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 11% 7.70 9.90  
BOOTIFUL ROSE 6 2 2 2   58 513½ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 5.00 3.95  
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA 4 3 3 46   614 624½ (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 44.00  
SCR  MIDNITE SCORE               (leech willi)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
 
CTM-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A FACT 5 2 3 2½   1nk 1½ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 8.00 9% 9.60 4.95 W
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) 3 6 1nk 1½   2nk 2½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50 1.05  
BIG BAD INTAGLIO 4 4 7 52   32 3 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 12% 7.50 13.10 S
VANTASTICCANAVERAL 7 1 6 42   43 4 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 12.00 36.65  
MUDINATOR 2 5 5 6   5 5 (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.40  
PADDYS ROCKET 6 3 42 73   6 612¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.50 5.65  
LIL ZAPPER 1 7 2nk 3   710½ 721¼ (payne j)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00 20.55  
 
CTM-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:143 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY DESTINY 1 1 3 34 31 1nk 1 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 15% 5.60 0.85 W
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 4 4 1nk 11 11 2nk 2 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 12.00 18.40  
TAKE CHARGE GWEN 6 2 4 58 44 32 3 (robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 59% 0.70 2.35 S
SAVYSKYE 2 3 2nk 21 21 45 417 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00 10.45  
FLASHY SISTER 3 6 6 48 57 57 517¼ (davies deanne)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00 16.45  
AMBER PRINCESS 5 5 5 6 68 68 619¼ (o'hagan co)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 4.50 6.00  
SCR  BETTIN ON BELLE               (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00    
 
CTM-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOW Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:134 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPO 2 6 6 6 56 2½ 1 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 62% 0.60 7.40 W
FROSTEDBIRD 6 2 21 2½ 1½ 1½ 2 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00 4.55  
ESCROW STYLE 3 5 5 53 67 5 3 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 7% 13.20 2.45 S
MUCHO MAGIC 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 6% 15.70 5.10  
THE BEAT 5 4 3 3 3 6 56 (hawkes d)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.15  
ALL THAT GOLD 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 3 69 (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50 3.35  
SCR  REMARKABLE ELI               (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.