Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Mile
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-3   EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $34.50 $22.50 188%
CTM-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.70 $2.70 45%
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-6 $12.60 $0.60 5%
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6-3 $32.50 $26.50 442%
CTM-5   SFT (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-3-5-2 $37.05 $13.05 54%
CTM-6   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $11.90 $3.90 49%
CTM-8   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $16.80 $8.80 110%
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $26.10 $2.10 9%
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(7/1/2)-(3/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-1/5-3 $83.00 $35.00 73%
    PK4 (1/5/2/3)-(2/4/5/6)-(7/1/2)-(3/4/5/6) 192 $1.00 $192  1/6-5-1/5-3 $241.30 $49.30 26%
Simulator Race results
 
CTM-1   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:233 :481       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP THE QUEUE 1 1 1½ 11   1½ 13¼ (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 2.50  
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of I BELIEVE IN ANGEL by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
2  DARE MIGHTY THINGS 2 2 2½ 21   2½ 23¼ (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 10.00 6.20  
  (by EDISON out of SHIRTS AND SHOES by SKY MESA)
4  EL PASO 3 3 3½ 31½   32½ 37¾ (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 17% 4.90 2.65 S
  (by OMEGA CODE out of ESMERALDA BELLE by DIXIE CHATTER)
6  HE LIKES WINNING 4 4 42½ 44   45½ 412¾ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 29% 2.40 1.05  
  (by COLLECTED out of GOLDEN ORB by ORB)
SCR  GRATED COCONUT               (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  VOGUE JOKER               (kenway tho)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of VOGUE QUEEN by HIGH YIELD)
 
CTM-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:48       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STARLIGHT LANE 2 4 3½ 41¼   1nk 12 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00 5.45  
3  GOLDIE SOCKS 3 3 2½ 21   3.2 22 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 1.80 37% 1.70 0.75 P
4  HERE'S LEXIE 4 1 1½ 11   2nk 33½ (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00 9.80  
1  SHES A COOL CAT 1 5 51½ 52¼   41¼ 46 (davies deanne)MARTIN ANDRE 120 4.00 12% 7.60 5.35  
5  SMOKIN JOY 5 2 41 31   51¼ 57½ (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 2.00 20% 4.00 3.70  
 
CTM-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:23 :472       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO 1 3 11 11   13 16 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 42% 1.40 0.70 W
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CHAPEL DANCER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
6  BROKEN PROMISES 6 6 67¼ 66½   55½ 26 (kingston karl)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 10% 9.40 21.70 P
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  SIZZLIN ROSE 2 4 21 21   23 36 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 16.85  
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
5  KULSUM 5 2 31 32   35 46¾ (brown jim )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.50 6.10  
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
3  LIGHTERANQUICKER 3 5 55¾ 55   45½ 58½ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 12.40  
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of WILKO ROSE by WILKO)
4  BURNING UP 4 1 41¼ 42   610½ 620 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CTM-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:48       1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAUTIFUL CALL 2 6 45½ 43½   23 1nk (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.80 61% 0.60 3.35 W
6  DARLA'S FURY 6 2 11 12   13 2nk (van)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 8% 12.30 0.70 P
3  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL 3 3 35 33½   35 34¼ (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 4.00 7% 13.10 11.45 S
1  PUNCH PERFECT 1 5 59½ 55½   46 46½ (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50 9.50  
5  VIOLET CITY 5 1 21 22   56½ 517½ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 5.00 5.65  
4  SUNDROP (JPN) 4 4 610½ 610½   610½ 622 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 115 12.00 25.75  
 
CTM-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 7:45
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIP'S ROCK 1 4 11½ 14½   15 1½ (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 33% 2.00 0.80 W
3  BEAUTIFUL MESS 3 5 68¾ 67½   25 2½ (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 7% 12.60 5.65 P
5  NIGHT FLYER 5 1 41¾ 36   36½ 37¾ (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 28% 2.60 5.15 S
2  SINGING BELL 2 6 54¾ 57   47½ 411¾ (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 11% 7.70 9.90  
7  BOOTIFUL ROSE 6 2 21½ 24½   58 513½ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 5.00 3.95  
4  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA 4 3 31½ 46   614 624½ (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00 44.00  
SCR  MIDNITE SCORE               (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
 
CTM-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IT'S A FACT 5 2 31½ 2½   1nk 1½ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 8.00 9% 9.60 4.95 W
3  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) 3 6 1nk 1½   2nk 2½ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50 1.05  
4  BIG BAD INTAGLIO 4 4 72½ 52   32 31¾ (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 12% 7.50 13.10 S
7  VANTASTICCANAVERAL 7 1 62¼ 42   43 44¾ (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 12.00 36.65  
2  MUDINATOR 2 5 52¼ 62½   54½ 55½ (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.40  
6  PADDYS ROCKET 6 3 42 73   67½ 612¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.50 5.65  
1  LIL ZAPPER 1 7 2nk 31½   710½ 721¼ (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00 20.55  
 
CTM-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:143 1:272   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DESTINY 1 1 34½ 34 31 1nk 11¾ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 15% 5.60 0.85 W
4  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY 4 4 1nk 11 11 2nk 21¾ (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 12.00 18.40  
7  TAKE CHARGE GWEN 6 2 45½ 58 44 32 32½ (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 59% 0.70 2.35 S
2  SAVYSKYE 2 3 2nk 21 21 45 417 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00 10.45  
3  FLASHY SISTER 3 6 68½ 48 57 57 517¼ (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00 16.45  
6  AMBER PRINCESS 5 5 57½ 68¼ 68 68 619¼ (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 4.50 6.00  
SCR  BETTIN ON BELLE               (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00    
 
CTM-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOW Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:252 :493 1:134 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  UPO 2 6 64¾ 63¼ 56 2½ 11¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 62% 0.60 7.40 W
7  FROSTEDBIRD 6 2 21 2½ 1½ 1½ 21¾ (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00 4.55  
4  ESCROW STYLE 3 5 54½ 53 67 51¾ 33¾ (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 7% 13.20 2.45 S
5  MUCHO MAGIC 4 3 42½ 42½ 45½ 41½ 44¾ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 6% 15.70 5.10  
6  THE BEAT 5 4 32½ 32½ 35½ 61¾ 56 (hawkes)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 4.15  
1  ALL THAT GOLD 1 1 11 1½ 2½ 31½ 69 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50 3.35  
SCR  REMARKABLE ELI               (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.