Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/4/6)-(2/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3)-(1/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(7/1/2)-(3/4/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP THE QUEUE         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of I BELIEVE IN ANGEL by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
2  DARE MIGHTY THINGS         (o'hagan)CHASE RICHARD 117 10.00    
  (by EDISON out of SHIRTS AND SHOES by SKY MESA)
SCR  VOGUE JOKER         (kenway tho)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of VOGUE QUEEN by HIGH YIELD)
4  EL PASO         (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
  (by OMEGA CODE out of ESMERALDA BELLE by DIXIE CHATTER)
SCR  GRATED COCONUT Aug05         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
6  HE LIKES WINNING Aug05         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of GOLDEN ORB by ORB)
 
CTM-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES A COOL CAT Jul30 Jul09 Jun09 May06 Oct22 (davies deanne)MARTIN ANDRE 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
2  STARLIGHT LANE Aug05 Jul23       (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00    
3  GOLDIE SOCKS Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May26 May06 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  HERE'S LEXIE Jul29 Jul29 Jul08     (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00    
5  SMOKIN JOY Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 Nov05   (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
CTM-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO Aug05         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CHAPEL DANCER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
2  SIZZLIN ROSE Aug04 Jul21       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
3  LIGHTERANQUICKER Aug04         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of WILKO ROSE by WILKO)
4  BURNING UP         (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of MISS FIRE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  KULSUM Aug04 Jul21       (brown jim )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.50    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
6  BROKEN PROMISES         (kingston karl)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
CTM-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH PERFECT Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
2  BEAUTIFUL CALL Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 Nov04 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
3  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 4.00 7% 13.10    
4  SUNDROP (JPN) Aug06 Jul23 May12 Oct15 Oct08 (m)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 12.00    
5  VIOLET CITY Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Oct22 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 120 5.00    
6  DARLA'S FURY Aug05 Jul22 Jul08     (van)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 8% 12.30    
 
CTM-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIP'S ROCK Aug05 Jul28 Jul07     (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  SINGING BELL Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May26 Oct22 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
3  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jul07 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Mar12 (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
4  MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jul23 Jul07 Jun09     (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
5  NIGHT FLYER Aug02 Jul07 Jun16 May12 Oct15 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MIDNITE SCORE         (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
7  BOOTIFUL ROSE Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 5.00    
 
CTM-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ZAPPER Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 May27 May06 (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00    
2  MUDINATOR Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Aug11 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50    
4  BIG BAD INTAGLIO Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  IT'S A FACT Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
6  PADDYS ROCKET Aug05 Jun30 Jun10     (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
7  VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 May06 Sep23 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
CTM-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DESTINY Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Oct29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  SAVYSKYE Aug05 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLASHY SISTER Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 Nov04 Oct14 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
4  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 Jun23 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 12.00    
SCR  BETTIN ON BELLE Aug12 Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 Oct29 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00    
6  AMBER PRINCESS Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
7  TAKE CHARGE GWEN Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 Jun09 May12 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
CTM-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOW Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THAT GOLD Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (rus)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50    
SCR  REMARKABLE ELI Aug06 Jul22 Oct29 Aug28 Aug20 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
3  UPO Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun24 Mar04 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 62% 0.60    
4  ESCROW STYLE Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 7% 13.20    
5  MUCHO MAGIC Jul30 Jul08 May26 May06 Nov04 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 6% 15.70    
6  THE BEAT Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Apr18 (hawkes)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FROSTEDBIRD Aug06 Jul30 Jul23 Jun30 May27 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.