Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTM-2   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-4   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-5   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-6   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-7   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-8   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-1   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP THE QUEUE         (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
DARE MIGHTY THINGS         (o'hagan c)CHASE RICHARD 117 10.00    
SCR  VOGUE JOKER         (kenway thoma)RIZO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
EL PASO         (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GRATED COCONUT Aug05         (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00    
HE LIKES WINNING Aug05         (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
CTM-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A COOL CAT Jul30 Jul09 Jun09 May06 Oct22 (davies deanne)MARTIN ANDRE 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
STARLIGHT LANE Aug05 Jul23       (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00    
GOLDIE SOCKS Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 May26 May06 (kingston ro)ZENTENO JR 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
HERE'S LEXIE Jul29 Jul29 Jul08     (nicholson davi)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00    
SMOKIN JOY Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 Nov05   (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
CTM-3   08/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOW Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO Aug05         (smith rober)NELSON DANE 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
SIZZLIN ROSE Aug04 Jul21       (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00    
LIGHTERANQUICKER Aug04         (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00    
BURNING UP         (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
KULSUM Aug04 Jul21       (brown r)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.50    
BROKEN PROMISES         (kingston karlin)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
CTM-4   08/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOW Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCH PERFECT Aug11 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.50    
BEAUTIFUL CALL Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 Nov04 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Aug06 Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 4.00 7% 13.10    
SUNDROP (JPN) Aug06 Jul23 May12 Oct15 Oct08 (mck)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 12.00    
VIOLET CITY Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 Oct22 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 120 5.00    
DARLA'S FURY Aug05 Jul22 Jul08     (vanov)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 8% 12.30    
 
CTM-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKIP'S ROCK Aug05 Jul28 Jul07     (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
SINGING BELL Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 May26 Oct22 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
BEAUTIFUL MESS Jul07 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Mar12 (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jul23 Jul07 Jun09     (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 10.00    
NIGHT FLYER Aug02 Jul07 Jun16 May12 Oct15 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MIDNITE SCORE         (leech willi)ZENTENO JR 122 12.00    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 122 5.00    
 
CTM-6   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOW Allowance Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ZAPPER Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 May27 May06 (payne j)GASKIN ZAVIER 117 10.00    
MUDINATOR Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Aug11 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 2.50    
BIG BAD INTAGLIO Jul29 Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 May27 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
IT'S A FACT Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 8.00 9% 9.60    
PADDYS ROCKET Aug05 Jun30 Jun10     (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 May06 Sep23 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
CTM-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOW Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY DESTINY Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 Oct29 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
SAVYSKYE Aug05 Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May13 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHY SISTER Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 Nov04 Oct14 (davies deanne)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 Jun23 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 123 12.00    
SCR  BETTIN ON BELLE Aug12 Jul16 Jul08 Jun23 Oct29 (kettleson alivi)LUNAN RICHARD 125 10.00    
AMBER PRINCESS Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
TAKE CHARGE GWEN Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 Jun09 May12 (robertson jerr)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
 
CTM-8   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOW Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THAT GOLD Aug06 Jul21 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (russe)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50    
SCR  REMARKABLE ELI Aug06 Jul22 Oct29 Aug28 Aug20 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 10.00    
UPO Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun24 Mar04 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 62% 0.60    
ESCROW STYLE Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 7% 13.20    
MUCHO MAGIC Jul30 Jul08 May26 May06 Nov04 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 6% 15.70    
THE BEAT Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Apr18 (hawkes d)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTEDBIRD Aug06 Jul30 Jul23 Jun30 May27 (coney jason)NATERA KEIHTON 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.