Handicappers' Race Results

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Century Mile
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.30  
CTM-2   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
CTM-3   Win (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $33.90  
CTM-4   Win (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
CTM-5   Win (7/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $4.40  
CTM-6   Win (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $13.80  
CTM-7   Win (9/6/3/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  

Simulator Race results

 
CTM-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOMANONTHEWARPATH 1 5 11 1nk   11 1¾ (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 8.00 5.15  
QUEEN RHONDA 2 4 4 3   21 2¾ (smith k)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 30% 2.30 2.55 P
SHAKEITFORMEGIRL 5 6 6 5   42 33 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 118 6.00 20% 4.00 4.60 S
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN 6 2 31 2nk   3 45 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 120 3.50 3.30  
SHAKINOFFTHERUST 4 1 21 4   5 5 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.80 27% 2.70 2.30  
LUCKY HALO 3 3 5 612½   610½ 618½ (pozzo jack)BRYAN D 123 12.00 43.15  
 
CTM-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE CARVER 5 1 11 1½   11 1 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 56% 0.80 3.70 W
DRINKING AGAIN 1 3 6 63   4 2 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00 5% 19.00 2.15 P
RUMOHR REIGNS 2 6 4 32   31 34 (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 10.95  
WALKTHELINE 6 2 31 2½   21 45 (mcdonald robe)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 18.35  
SLEW'S BAK 3 4 21 5   6 5 (zielk)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 2.70  
BON PRIX 4 5 5 4   5 6 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 15% 5.60 3.15  
 
CTM-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON IT 5 2 31 32   1nk 1 (walper deanna)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 15.95  
IT'S ALEXUS 1 4 4 4   4¾ 2 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 49% 1.10 2.90 P
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE 6 1 1nk 2½   2nk 3 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00 13.70  
STOLEN JEWEL 3 5 5 53   5¾ 4 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
MAGICAL LADY 4 6 6 63   61 5 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 4.00 6.80  
DAZZLING MIST 2 3 2nk 1½   3.2 6 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 16% 5.30 0.80  
SCR  NO BAKK TALK               (smith k)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 10% 9.40    
 
CTM-4   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
See original race card.
:222 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESS GANG 4 1 1½ 1nk   11 12 (humbke cheryl)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.50 13% 6.70 2.20 W
EXAMINER 2 4 41 4   4 22 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 11% 8.30 2.75 P
TAPIT TO THE WIRE 1 6 31 2nk   21 3 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 10.00 9% 9.60 3.25 S
DUNE D'ORO 3 3 5 5   53 44 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 42% 1.40 2.65  
BIG AL'S VISION 6 2 2½ 3.2   3 5 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 15.00 15.85  
FROBISHER BAY 5 5 6 6   68 6 (petrowski joan)NATERA KEIHTON 123 5.00 31.75  
SCR  WYE CROSS               (smith k)MARTIN ANDRE 125 8.00    
 
CTM-5   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
See original race card.
:241 :471 1:111 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE FOR CHAP 2 7 4 4 31 2nk 1 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 2.50 1.20  
NICE GUY EDDIE 5 3 2nk 3½ 4 3½ 2 (anderson gonz)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 6.00 15% 5.60 4.00 P
KAUAI DAN 6 6 63 2½ 1nk 1nk 3 (smith craig )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00 62% 0.60 1.50 S
PACHECO 4 2 7 7 5 5 45 (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
CALI CONQUEST 1 1 31 52 77 6 5 (cone rodney)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 118 20.00 36.70  
HANDSOME HENRY 3 5 52 63 6 7 6 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 12.00 26.80  
MIDNITE CHILL 7 4 1nk 1½ 2nk 4 78 (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
SCR  BODEMONSTER               (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00    
 
CTM-6   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
See original race card.
:232 :453 1:103 1:234   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICA HERMOSA 6 1 31 33 31 13 1 (baker ta)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 5.90  
MINE ME 3 2 5 5 42 23 2 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 29% 2.50 4.30 P
PLUM BLUE 1 5 8 6 5 3 3 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 6.00 36% 1.80 9.05 S
ORANGE THEORY 7 8 6 8 8 6 4 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 12.65  
TONE IT UP 4 4 7 7 7 54 5 (nicholson d)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00 7.50  
PRETTY ARIA 8 7 42 4 6 44 610¼ (vanoversch)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 10.00 15.70  
MISSCZECH 5 6 2½ 2nk 2nk 7 720¾ (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 15.00 5.00  
FLORAL 2 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 8 825¼ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 8% 11.70 2.05  
 
CTM-7   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-11:15
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JODEYS LIL PAIN 8 2 3½ 3½   1 17 (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.85 W
CAPE'S LEGACY 2 4 2nk 2½   3 27 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 36.15  
SUDDENLY FAMOUS 5 1 1nk 1½   2 3 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 23% 3.30 2.95 S
LACE ON A CAPE 3 8 7 5   4 410¾ (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 6.00 5% 18.20 5.05  
KULSUM 6 6 6 6   5 513 (brown r)NELSON DANE 119 15.00 31.60  
10  CHICKS DIG CAPES 9 9 84 75   77 614¾ (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 39.65  
WHY NOT DANCE 1 5 5 8   8 715½ (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 15.00 21.45  
LIGHTERANQUICKER 7 7 96 97   9 817 (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 8.00 18.80  
SIZZLIN ROSE 4 3 4¾ 4   67 920¼ (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 119 20.00 22.60  
SCR  BROKEN PROMISES               (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 25.00    
SCR  E PAY ALL THE WAY               (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 25.00    
SCR  SKY COMAND               (kettleson alivia)MARTIN ANDRE 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.