Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/2/3)-(3/5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (3/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (7/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4)-(7/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/4)-(1/3/2/7)-(9/6/3/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7)-(1/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/7)-(9/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-7   WIN (9/6/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/10)-(9/6/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/10)-(9/6/3/10)-(9/6/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOMANONTHEWARPATH Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May27 Dec29 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 8.00    
2  QUEEN RHONDA Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May27 May12 (smith ron )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  LUCKY HALO Sep24 Sep02 Aug13     (pozzo jack)BRYAN D 123 12.00    
4  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 May06 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.80 27% 2.70    
5  SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Jul16 Jul02 Jun10     (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Jul07 Jun16 May26 Oct29 Sep24 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 3.50    
 
CTM-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRINKING AGAIN Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May26 May12 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUMOHR REIGNS Jul22 Jun17 May27 Apr08 Jan28 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
3  SLEW'S BAK Jul23 Jun16 May28 May14 Oct02 (zie)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50    
4  BON PRIX Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 May26 May12 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 15% 5.60    
5  STONE CARVER Jun28 Jun03 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  WALKTHELINE Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 May26 May06 (mcdonald ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
 
CTM-3   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S ALEXUS Jul29 Jul09 May26 May12 Oct29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50 49% 1.10    
2  DAZZLING MIST Jul30 Jul16 Jun03 May26 May06 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  STOLEN JEWEL Jul01 May27 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAGICAL LADY Jul23 Jul09 Jun02 May13 Apr28 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 4.00    
SCR  NO BAKK TALK Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (smith k)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 10% 9.40    
6  COUNT ON IT Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
7  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Jul23 Jun03 May12 Nov04 Oct08 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 15.00    
 
CTM-4   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Mar17 Feb10 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 10.00 9% 9.60    
2  EXAMINER Jul28 Jun16 Jun03 May06 Apr02 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50 11% 8.30    
3  DUNE D'ORO Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 May26 May13 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  WYE CROSS Jul21 Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (smith k)MARTIN ANDRE 125 8.00    
5  PRESS GANG Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.50 13% 6.70    
6  FROBISHER BAY Jul22 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 5.00    
7  BIG AL'S VISION Jul23 Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 May27 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 15.00    
 
CTM-5   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 Apr15 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 118 20.00    
2  ONE FOR CHAP Jun11 May21 Aug20 Jul24 Jul03 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 2.50    
3  HANDSOME HENRY Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Nov04 Oct21 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
4  PACHECO Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May06   (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BODEMONSTER Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan07 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00    
6  NICE GUY EDDIE Jul16         (anderson go)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  KAUAI DAN Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 May27 Mar31 (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
8  MIDNITE CHILL Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May26 Sep24 (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-6   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM BLUE Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Oct29 Oct08 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 6.00 36% 1.80    
2  FLORAL Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May13 Nov05 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 8% 11.70    
3  MINE ME Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Aug20 Jul30 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  TONE IT UP Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 Oct29 Sep24 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00    
5  MISSCZECH Jun16 Jun02 May06 Apr24 Apr10 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 15.00    
6  CHICA HERMOSA May26 Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00    
7  ORANGE THEORY Jul21 Jun27 Jun13 Jun06 May23 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PRETTY ARIA Jul15 Jun23 May27 Oct16 Sep17 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 10.00    
 
CTM-7   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY NOT DANCE Jul21         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 15.00    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
2  CAPE'S LEGACY Jul21         (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
3  LACE ON A CAPE         (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 6.00 5% 18.20    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of RUBYINTHERUFF by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  SKY COMAND         (kettleson aliv)MARTIN ANDRE 122 25.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of CHARM'S BABY BLUE by CHARMING ASSASSIN)
5  SIZZLIN ROSE Jul21         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 20.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of ROSILA by ROSETTI)
6  SUDDENLY FAMOUS Jul21         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CAR TALK out of SUDDEN by SPEED JARO (FR))
7  KULSUM Jul21         (brown r)NELSON DANE 119 15.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of PRETTY GOLDEN by FORMAL GOLD)
8  LIGHTERANQUICKER         (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 8.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of WILKO ROSE by WILKO)
9  JODEYS LIL PAIN Jul21         (payne jodey)NATERA KEIHTON 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of TEEMANS KID by TEEMAN)
10  CHICKS DIG CAPES Jul21         (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CHECKPLUSCHICK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BROKEN PROMISES         (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 25.00    
  (by MATT'S BROKEN VOW out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  E PAY ALL THE WAY         (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 25.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.