The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Hastings Racecourse
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HST-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 0 $7.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5-2 3 0 $17.75 -6.00
HST-2   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 1 $12.60 $12.60 6.60
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3-5 3 1 $25.20 $25.20 19.20
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-1 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 -2.60
HST-3   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 9.20
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 1 $20.10 $20.10 14.10
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2-5 3 0 $63.50 -6.00
HST-4   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.60 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 0 $22.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-5 3 0 $40.85 -6.00
HST-5   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2 2 1 $16.65 $16.65 10.65
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2-4 3 1 $46.15 $46.15 40.15
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(1/3/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 6-2-5 3 0 $156.35 -27.00
HST-6   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.10 $3.10 -2.90
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 1 $5.95 $5.95 -0.05
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-3 3 0 $12.35 -6.00
HST-7   Win (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.50 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-5 2 0 $15.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-5-4 3 0 $124.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $13.15 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(1/2/5)-(2/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 5-1/4-6 3 0 $38.00 -36.00

Simulator Race results

 
HST-1   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
:222 :454 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAY'S KITCHEN 3 5 4 4   31(mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 120 1.20 61% 0.60 1.10 W
JUST MISTY 5 4 1nk 1nk   12(macpherson cr)KHELAWAN KERRON 115 4.50 3.15  
VALERIE VALESKI 2 1 3 31   23(maybin robert)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.50 11% 8.30 8.55 S
TEXAS HUMOR 4 2 56 55   545 (gutierrez e)SANCHEZ LUIS 124 3.00 8% 12.10 3.35  
AUNTIE J 1 3 2nk 2nk   45(lawson shawn)AEBLY FRASER 113 6.00 6.45  
 
HST-2   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
:23 :463 1:11     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANAAMY 1 2 1nk 1½   11(rycroft nicole)PEREZ AMADEO 122 1.60 19% 4.30 1.60 W
RACINO 3 1 4 4   42 2(jarvis pat)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 3.50 9% 10.70 4.90 P
ANOTHERSUNNYDAY 5 5 3.2 31   32 32 (condilenios d)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.55 S
WALKINTHEWALK 4 4 5 5   543 (condilenios di)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 4.00 5.60  
BAKZONE 2 3 2nk 2½   25(barroby j)POWELL KURI 116 6.00 10.60  
 
HST-3   07/15/2023 2310ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($18K) 2 ALL PT- 6:10
:223 :334       :401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARTLEY MANOR 6 1 12     11(mendoza edgar)MORALES SILVINO 114 3.50 17% 4.90 6.60 W
DREAMING D'ORO 2 4 32     22(leaney patric)KHELAWAN KERRON 117 2.00 41% 1.40 0.75 P
BECKETT'S BEST 5 3 22     33 3(mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 119 4.50 13.00  
STORMY RUNNER 3 5 44     46 4(macpherson cra)BALGOBIN RIDGE 119 5.00 9.15  
RICK'S DANCER 1 6 5     58 5(mendoza edgar)PEREZ AMADEO 119 5.00 5.50  
I C KOFFEE 4 2 6     615 619¾ (macpherson )SANCHEZ LUIS 114 5.00 5% 17.70 5.55  
 
HST-4   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
:224 :46 1:121     1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMRA 2 2 3 55 1nk 13 13 (loseth jim)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 2.50 3.80  
REA MEA 1 3 1nk 21 2nk 33 23 (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 120 2.00 28% 2.50 3.50 P
PRETTY ARIA 5 4 45 3 31 23 3(vanoverschof rob)PEREZ AMADEO 120 3.50 2.05  
WANDALITA 3 1 56 44 4 44 4(mendoza edgar)MORALES SILVINO 120 3.00 13% 6.80 2.80  
BELCARRA PARK 4 5 2nk 11 5 513 534¾ (cloutier mark)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 4.50 23% 3.30 5.10  
 
HST-5   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
:214 :454 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA 5 6 5 4   21 1hd (heads barbara)MORALES SILVINO 120 2.50 52% 0.90 2.00 W
NINE OCLOCK CEASER 2 3 1½ 1nk   11 2hd (lawson sha)GOMEZ ROBERTO 115 5.00 8% 12.10 7.00 P
TAM TRICKY 4 1 2½ 2nk   333 (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 122 3.00 13% 6.70 2.40 S
VISENYA 3 5 6 6   55 4(cloutier mark)PEREZ AMADEO 120 5.00 2.70  
CARLA'S HONOR 1 4 44 5   45(krasner cindy)AEBLY FRASER 113 4.00 9.85  
PENALTY TO RANGERS 6 2 3½ 31   611 615¼ (pederson keith)WILLIAMS SCOTT 117 4.50 13.65  
 
HST-6   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
:222 :46 1:12     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AN ARMY OF LIGHT 1 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 1(heads barbara)PEREZ AMADEO 120 2.00 31% 2.20 0.55 W
CROWN COUNCIL 4 4 32 31   2½ 2(gilker robert)KHELAWAN KERRON 117 4.00 13% 6.60 9.00 P
CAIRO CRUSADER 3 1 56 45   33(heads barbara)BALGOBIN RIDGE 117 5.00 6.15  
MY MAN STAN 5 2 2nk 2nk   42 4(freeman mark )MORALES SILVINO 120 3.00 3.20  
KIKI'S SUNDANCER 2 5 4 56   56 514¾ (mendoza edgar)SANTO KIMAL 117 6.00 19% 4.30 12.30  
SCR  BUZZINGA KARMA               (lausten carl)AEBLY FRASER 113 4.50    
 
HST-7   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
:241 :473 1:123 1:374   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILK STILETTOS 6 4 1 12 1 13 1½ (macpherson cra)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 4.50 4.75  
IRISH LUNA 5 1 2 33 3 23 2½ (henson steve)PEREZ AMADEO 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.45 P
OSTRACIZE 4 5 43 4 4 35 3(mendoza edgar)MORALES SILVINO 120 6.00 11% 8.40 12.80 S
ARTISTIC JEWLER 1 7 7 7 7 447 (heads barbara)BALGOBIN RIDGE 120 6.00 12.55  
ZETAMARIE 2 2 5 6 6 5511¼ (barroby e)AEBLY FRASER 113 4.50 10% 8.90 4.25  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 7 6 6 5 5 710 613¼ (grieve larry)SANTO KIMAL 120 4.00 3.80  
HARLAN'S ANGEL 3 3 3 22 2 69 715¼ (krasner cindy)KHELAWAN KERRON 120 10.00 24% 3.10 17.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.