Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-9   WIN (7/2/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $16.16 $6.16 62%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPOILER 2 2 11 2nk   1nk 1nk (asmussen )TORRES A 118 6.00 10.98  
4  DARK VECTOR 4 3 21 1nk   2nk 2nk (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 28% 2.60 1.66 P
1  POWER SEEKER 1 4 42 43   32½ 3¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 41% 1.40 2.25 S
3  PENZANCE 3 7 63 64½   57 47¾ (stidham michae)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 10.12  
5  B SUDD 5 1 32 32   43½ 58¼ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 11% 8.40 2.76  
7  RUNNINGFORCASH 7 5 74 76   68 614 (anderson do)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 26.19  
6  FAST FALL 6 6 52½ 53½   79½ 717 (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 30.37  
 
KEE-2   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHOWDOWN KING 4 2 1nk 1nk   13 12 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30 1.21 W
2  COLLIER'S TIME 1 6 64¾ 53¼   33 22 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 5.33  
3  FREE RAMBLING MAN 2 4 31½ 42¼   23 33¾ (calhoun willia)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00 8% 11.20 13.89 S
8  TIME ANDBEYOND 6 3 2nk 2nk   43¼ 47¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00 14.80  
4  HARBOUR BRIDGE 3 5 54¼ 65¼   69¼ 515 (wismer gle)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 21% 3.70 4.31  
6  BE THERE 5 1 41¾ 32   57¼ 620¼ (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 2.79  
SCR  MACHO VILLA               (lukas wayn)TORRES A 120 5.00    
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD               (rutledge la)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OLGA ISABEL 4 1 11 11   12 12 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 56% 0.80 0.58 W
5  YOUR SO SILLEA 3 3 21 21   22 22 (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 23% 3.30 2.28 P
4  BE LIKE WATER 2 4 44 34½   36½ 310¾ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 6.00  
1  BHOMA 1 2 33 45   49½ 420 (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 7.93  
SCR  ASENA               (lund valo)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
SCR  PURR SEA               (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 12.00    
 
KEE-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  THORPEDO ANNA 10 9 75 44   12½ 18½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 4.01  
  (by FAST ANNA out of SATAVES by UNCLE MO)
2  UP ON THE EDGE 2 6 2nk 1½   22½ 28½ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.68 P
  (by UPSTART out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
7  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 7 1 3.2 2½   34 39¼ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 ★ 6.49 S
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of MISS GUIDED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  QUEEN LEXI 8 12 119½ 1110¼   611 416¼ (short thomas)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 59.02  
  (by KLIMT out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
3  KENTUCKYTERMINATOR 3 2 42¾ 54½   48½ 516¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 35.97  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KATY'S REVENGE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  STEPHANIESWARRIOR 4 10 129¾ 1211¼   912½ 618½ (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 46.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANCIENT GODDESS by IFFRAAJ)
5  GUEST OF HONOR 5 5 85 98½   1012¾ 721 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.51  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPECIAL GUEST by K. O. PUNCH)
12  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 12 7 52¾ 66   712 821¼ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00 ★ 9.40  
  (by CONNECT out of SMART DORIE by SMART STRIKE)
1  FLUID 1 11 95 76½   812 924¼ (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8.12  
  (by BLAME out of NAVASHA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  LOU ANNA 9 4 105½ 1010   1113¾ 1024¾ (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 33.23  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  CHIQUITA REINA 6 8 1nk 31   510½ 1127½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00 60.03  
  (by TAPITURE out of ARTIC QUEEN by MR. GREELEY)
11  JOCELYN 11 3 63 86½   1216¼ 1229¾ (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 60.71  
  (by UNIFIED out of MINE'S MISTRESS by MINESHAFT)
 
KEE-5   10/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :484 1:134 1:251   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EXCELLENT QUESTION 3 3 87 85½ 65 53 1hd (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.90 2.54 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
5  MIRARI 5 4 42½ 42½ 42½ 3½ 2hd (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 4.53  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHAT by DYNAFORMER)
1  LADY EMILY KATHRYN 1 2 32 32 31½ 1nk 3¼ (joseph saffie )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★ 4.35 S
  (by FROSTED out of OUR LADY KATHERN by HARD SPUN)
8  JUNGLE CAT 8 6 53½ 53½ 53 41 41 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00 5% 19.00 30.03  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
7  RED RIVER MAGIC 7 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 52½ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 47% 1.10 3.44  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LEMHILL BASR by QUALITY ROAD)
9  CALL ME TONI 9 10 97½ 95½ 86½ 77 66¾ (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 74.18  
  (by TONALIST out of BROKEN MARRIAGE by BROKEN VOW)
11  MUCHO MACHO CHICK 11 7 21 21 2½ 64 78½ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00 91.41  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
12  LADY DYNAMO 12 5 64 64 75 87½ 811¼ (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
2  SILENT REVENGE 2 8 109 117¼ 1213¾ 1012¾ 912 (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 45.58  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SILENCER by QUALITY ROAD)
10  SKIP TO THE BEAT (IRE) 10 12 1211 128¾ 1013 912½ 1012¾ (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 9.46  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MON DIEU 4 9 76 74½ 911½ 1115¼ 1116¼ (calhoun w)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 14.05  
  (by BLAME out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  LADY TREMAINE 6 11 119 107 1113¼ 1215¾ 1216¾ (mott rile)TORRES A 121 15.00 46.12  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CINDERELLA TIME by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  INSENSITIVE               (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
  (by KARUN out of HY BELLE CHAMP by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  LIPOCHROME               (torres c)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  MILIEU               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SLEW'S QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  THEROANRUNNER               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
KEE-6   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:144 1:404   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MENA 4 4 32½ 31 2½ 14½ 112¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 33% 2.00 1.70 W
2  ULTIMATE STRIKE 2 6 12 11 1½ 24½ 212¼ (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 8.24  
12  MOR JAZZ 12 3 75¾ 64¼ 32½ 36½ 312½ (humphries tho)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 40.70  
5  BRILLIANT MAN 5 10 108¼ 118¼ 1211 712½ 414 (reed r)MCKEE J 119 20.00 45.97  
6  ASPIRING COMEDIAN 6 12 1210 107¼ 75¾ 49½ 516 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 2.01  
10  THE RUSH IS ON 10 1 85¾ 85¾ 55 511 617¾ (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 70.68  
7  COMMISSIONER OSCAR 7 7 65½ 75¼ 98¼ 812½ 717¾ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 19% 4.20 17.80  
1  MASTER OF THE NITE 1 9 22 21 42½ 611½ 823½ (ennis john)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 37.94  
9  LEAD FOOT 9 2 119¾ 128¼ 108¼ 915½ 931 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 64.20  
8  METRONOME 8 5 53½ 42½ 65¼ 1018½ 1041¼ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 8.00  
11  MAGICAL MONARCH 11 11 97¾ 96¾ 86¼ 1120½ 1150¼ (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.42  
3  PRINCE IS MY BOY 3 8 43½ 52¾ 1110¾ 1225½ 1271¼ (rosin cot)TORRES A 119 12.00 16% 5.30 33.47  
SCR  DIFFERENT FLAME               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  MIDCAT               (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:151 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLUE EYED GEORGE 2 2 21½ 31½ 52¼ 31 11¼ (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00 6.00  
12  PLEASE ADVISE 11 5 43½ 42½ 3.2 1½ 21¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.61 P
10  FORTUNE SELLER 9 4 32 21 2nk 2½ 33¼ (rice kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 10.21  
4  GOOD BALI 4 9 85¾ 75 116 75 45¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00 24.34  
1  TOUGH LITTLE NUT 1 3 1210¼ 117 4¼ 53½ 55¾ (block chris)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 32% 2.10 3.84  
3  BAYTOWN PARFAIT 3 7 53½ 53½ 94½ 64 66½ (ramirez m)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00 93.55  
9  MISSION READY 8 11 97¾ 95½ 73 85½ 77½ (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 68.56  
7  COPPER MISSILE 6 12 119¼ 106½ 104½ 106¼ 87¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 28% 2.60 6.59  
11  SAVE THE KING 10 10 75¾ 64½ 62¾ 95¾ 910¾ (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 81.08  
13  FAMILY FACTOR 12 6 11½ 11 1nk 43½ 1011 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 5% 19.00 67.70  
5  CODE OMAHA 5 1 65½ 85 126 118¼ 1111 (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.60 1.73  
8  LEGAL TITAN 7 8 108¼ 127¼ 84 1210¼ 1217 (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 19.81  
SCR  BILLY THE GREEK               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME               (rosin cot)TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  REZASROLEX               (morey e)FELIX E 122 20.00    
SCR  STEELER MISCHIEF               (gutierre)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
 
KEE-8   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROCKETEER 4 5 2½ 21   12 14 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 ★ 3.30  
  (by CURLIN out of THIRTEEN ARROWS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
12  D DAY SKY 11 2 33½ 31½   22 24 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 25.81  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SAVANNAH SKY by SKY MESA)
3  WARP NINE 3 1 74¼ 76½   43½ 35¾ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 8.00 8.57  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
7  WORLD FAIR 6 4 1½ 11   32 48½ (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 22.88  
  (by TAPITURE out of FOXBEAU by BLUEGRASS CAT)
1  CHARLESTON 1 11 96¾ 65   56½ 58¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.70 7.05  
  (by TAPITURE out of STIRRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
11  STOP THE PRESS 10 8 86¼ 89   69 69½ (mcgaughey )HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 20% 3.90 2.63  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  HIGGINSVILLE 9 7 64¼ 911   912 714¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 11.16  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LADY SOUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  NO JUDGMENT 7 3 43½ 54   811 816¾ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 36% 1.80 4.40  
  (by MO TOWN out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
2  TUSCANY'S EAGLE 2 10 1111¼ 1115½   1115¾ 918 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 68.31  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of AZALEA BELLE by DIXIE UNION)
9  MELEE (GB) 8 6 109¾ 1015   1015½ 1018¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 31.38  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SECEDE by WAR FRONT)
6  STINGER BEE 5 9 53¾ 44   710½ 1119 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.82  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SHE'S REDDY by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  SHAKIN LOOSE               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
 
KEE-9   10/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUDGE DAVIS 5 10 95¾ 95   62½ 1¼ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 16% 5.10 7.08 W
4  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) 4 3 1½ 1½   1½ 2¼ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 2.44  
8  TRUST DADDY 8 6 74¼ 84   51½ 31¾ (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00 6.98  
3  ZARTOWNIS 3 7 84¼ 73¾   31 41¾ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.78  
7  GILDED RULER 7 5 41½ 41½   2½ 52 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 31% 2.20 4.16  
1  HUNTERTOWN 1 4 31½ 31½   41 64¾ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 46.39  
2  VOCALIZE 2 8 108¼ 108   78½ 712 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 28% 2.60 5.34  
10  RUTHLESS RUA 10 1 51¾ 61¾   88¾ 813¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00 11.27  
6  STAR SLUGGER 6 2 2½ 2½   911¼ 917¾ (torres concep)CANNON DECLAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 22.32  
9  CONGRATS ON FIFTY 9 9 62¼ 51¾   1011¾ 1018¾ (robertson mcle)ROCCO S 118 6.00 15.16  
SCR  BAIE LONGUE               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  FIRST DEFENDER               (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  IMMORTALIZATION               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  MANEUVER               (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE               (cundiff waylon)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.