Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Thursday - October 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-3   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-4   Win (2/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (7/3/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (4/7/3/1/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (1/7/5/12/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (8/1/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (7/2/5/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER SEEKER Oct29         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
SPOILER Sep07 Feb12 Nov26 Oct09   (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00    
PENZANCE Oct05 Aug19 Jul22 Jul02   (stidham michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
DARK VECTOR Aug25 Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
B SUDD Sep23 Aug20 Jan07 Dec10 Nov17 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 11% 8.40    
FAST FALL Sep27 Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 Jul14 (hernandez javier)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
RUNNINGFORCASH Aug07 Jul02 Jun09 May20 Apr08 (anderson doug)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAVED IN GOLD         (rutledge lanc)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
COLLIER'S TIME Apr08 Dec31 Nov19 Oct07   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
FREE RAMBLING MAN May27 Apr27 Mar23     (calhoun william )ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00 8% 11.20    
HARBOUR BRIDGE Sep28 Jun25 Jun02 May06 Mar25 (wismer glenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SHOWDOWN KING Sep21 Jul30       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
BE THERE Sep04 Aug13 Jun24 Aug28 Jul21 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
SCR  MACHO VILLA Aug20 Aug04 Jun25 Jun04 May06 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 120 5.00    
TIME ANDBEYOND Sep21 Mar25 Feb25 Dec11 Oct21 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BHOMA Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 May18 Apr12 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  ASENA Oct07 Sep24 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 (lund valori)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
SCR  PURR SEA Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug30 Aug03 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 12.00    
BE LIKE WATER Oct07 Aug13 Jun24 Apr14 Mar11 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
YOUR SO SILLEA Sep30 Jun30 May13 Apr15 Mar16 (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
OLGA ISABEL Aug30 Jul22 Oct29 Oct07 May06 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
KEE-4   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUID         (mott riley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
UP ON THE EDGE Sep20 Aug11 Jul16     (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
KENTUCKYTERMINATOR Sep27         (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
STEPHANIESWARRIOR Oct10 Aug31 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08 (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
GUEST OF HONOR         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
CHIQUITA REINA Sep20         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
PRINCESS IS OLIVIA Sep16         (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
QUEEN LEXI Oct11 Sep27 Sep16     (short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
LOU ANNA Sep08 Aug31 Jul20 May27   (mccutchen jason)ASHTON GAVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  THORPEDO ANNA         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
11  JOCELYN         (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
12  CLASSY'N CONNECTED Sep16 Jul16       (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY EMILY KATHRYN Oct01 Sep02 Mar26     (joseph a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50    
SILENT REVENGE Mar09 Feb18 Jan05     (dyer john)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
EXCELLENT QUESTION Oct01 Aug28 Jul15 Jun10 May05 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
MON DIEU Sep15         (calhoun wil)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00    
MIRARI         (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
LADY TREMAINE         (mott riley)TORRES A 121 15.00    
RED RIVER MAGIC Sep15 Jul09       (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
JUNGLE CAT Sep07 Jul31 Feb11     (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME TONI Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar09 Feb08 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
10  SKIP TO THE BEAT (IRE)         (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
11  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Sep22 Sep03       (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
12  LADY DYNAMO Jul08 May29 Apr19 Mar12   (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIPOCHROME Oct01         (torres con)RODRIGUEZ A 124 30.00    
SCR  MILIEU Sep03 Jul31 Apr27 Mar16 Jan29 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00    
SCR  INSENSITIVE Oct07 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Apr02 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
SCR  THEROANRUNNER Sep09 Aug01 Jul01 Nov26 Oct16 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
 
KEE-6   10/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER OF THE NITE         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ULTIMATE STRIKE Sep29 Sep10 Aug06     (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
PRINCE IS MY BOY Aug27 Aug06       (rosin coty )TORRES A 119 12.00 16% 5.30    
MENA Jul21         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
BRILLIANT MAN Sep28 Sep09       (reed r)MCKEE J 119 20.00    
ASPIRING COMEDIAN Sep24 Aug28       (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Oct13 Aug26 Aug10 Jul20   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
METRONOME Sep29 Sep03 Aug07     (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
LEAD FOOT Oct11 Sep21 Aug13 Jul21 Jul01 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
10  THE RUSH IS ON Oct14 Sep17 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 (vosler eugene)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
11  MAGICAL MONARCH Jun29         (sweezey kent)ACHARD ALEX 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  MOR JAZZ Sep17 Aug12       (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  DIFFERENT FLAME Sep29         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  MIDCAT Sep22         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
KEE-7   10/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH LITTLE NUT Sep10 Aug20       (block chris)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
BLUE EYED GEORGE Sep10 Jul31       (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
BAYTOWN PARFAIT Sep10 Aug11 Jun04 Apr13   (ramirez m)CHUAN MARTIN 120 30.00    
GOOD BALI Sep10 Jul14 May22     (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 20.00    
CODE OMAHA Sep25         (thomas jonathan)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  STEELER MISCHIEF Sep30 Sep03       (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
COPPER MISSILE Sep30 Aug31 Jul15     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
LEGAL TITAN Sep30 Sep10 Jul14 Jun10 Apr20 (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
MISSION READY Sep09 Sep01 Aug25     (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
10  FORTUNE SELLER Oct08 Sep20 Sep10 Jul22   (rice kevin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
11  SAVE THE KING Sep30 Aug27 Aug11     (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
12  PLEASE ADVISE Sep13 Aug20 Jul30 Jun22   (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
13  FAMILY FACTOR Sep12 Jun16 Apr20     (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BILLY THE GREEK Sep10 Aug18 Jul21     (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
SCR  ELEVATED GAME Sep30 Aug27       (rosin coty )TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  REZASROLEX Sep23 Aug26       (morey e)FELIX E 122 20.00    
 
KEE-8   10/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLESTON         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
TUSCANY'S EAGLE         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
WARP NINE Sep15 Aug13       (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
SCR  SHAKIN LOOSE Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 Jun17   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
ROCKETEER         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
STINGER BEE         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
WORLD FAIR Aug19 Jul22       (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
NO JUDGMENT Sep17         (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 36% 1.80    
MELEE (GB)         (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
10  HIGGINSVILLE         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
11  STOP THE PRESS         (mcgaughey cl)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 20% 3.90    
12  D DAY SKY Sep10         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTERTOWN Sep20 Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00    
VOCALIZE Aug19 Jul27 Jun25 Oct13 Sep18 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
ZARTOWNIS Sep13 Aug11 Jul15 May23 Jul22 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
JEFE DE OBRA (CHI)         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
JUDGE DAVIS Sep13 Aug20 Jun25 Jun02 Apr13 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
STAR SLUGGER Sep08 Aug14       (torres con)RODRIGUEZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
GILDED RULER Jul15 May19 Mar10 Dec31 Feb05 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 31% 2.20    
TRUST DADDY Jun23 May19 Apr21 Dec02 Nov20 (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 8.00    
CONGRATS ON FIFTY Sep04 Jul26 May05     (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 118 6.00    
10  RUTHLESS RUA Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 Nov24 Oct22 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 115 15.00    
SCR  WESTERN COMMAND Oct25 Sep13 Aug11 Jun18 May20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  FIRST DEFENDER Oct25 Mar19 Feb18 Jan21   (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  BAIE LONGUE Sep10 Jul15 Sep25 Aug13 Jul23 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00    
SCR  MANEUVER Sep13 Aug20 Jul27 Jul06   (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  IMMORTALIZATION Sep17 Aug18 Jul28 Jul01 Jun17 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
SCR  SMOKEY LEE Oct24 Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 May31 (cundiff waylon)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.