The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:222 :453       1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND FOR FREEDOM 1 7 41½ 21   2½ 12 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50 32% 2.10 3.66 W
3  CANAVALL 3 6 52 41½   1½ 22 (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 6.04  
10  BLOCKED 9 5 11 11   32 36¼ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 6.51  
5  CREATIVE WAY 5 1 84¼ 63½   54½ 48½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 1.91  
9  VALE 8 4 63½ 73¾   44½ 512 (simms mark)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 13% 6.50 13.76  
8  BUCKTOWN 7 9 97¼ 95¼   65½ 612½ (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 8.02  
7  TALKSCHEAP 6 2 73¾ 84¾   77 717 (alessi)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 15.00 35.46  
4  SHOTSHELL 4 3 31 52½   911 825½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.80 8.23  
2  MISTER MULDOON 2 8 21 31½   810 929½ (robertson mc)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 10% 8.60 22.14  
SCR  LIBERTANGO               (catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
 
KEE-2   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
:223 :461 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANDY'S CANDY 7 8 94¼ 54   32 1¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 18% 4.50 3.30 W
11  STORMY MESA 10 4 21 1½   11 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 8.90  
4  CAJUN FOOL 4 7 32 43   42 31 (ramirez lui)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 54.56  
1  SALMING 1 10 73¾ 66   54½ 42½ (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 10.88  
5  JILLY'S WEST 5 3 11 2½   21 55 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 4.50 34% 1.90 1.14  
10  HOT WINGS 9 11 117¾ 99   77 65¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6% 16.60 36.71  
8  STORMIN LOVE 8 1 63½ 87½   98¾ 79½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 44.52  
3  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 3 5 42 76½   88½ 810½ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 6% 16.60 12.05  
6  THE RUSH IS ON 6 2 105¼ 1011½   1010¾ 911 (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 50.00 76.84  
12  PATRIOT HILLS 11 6 52½ 33   66 1012¼ (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.40  
2  TAP ANCHOR 2 9 83¾ 1112½   1118¼ 1137¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 7% 13.90 30.08  
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
:233 :473 1:13 1:392   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRETCH RIDE 5 3 31 2½ 1½ 12 15¾ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30 9.66 W
6  LIGHTLINE 6 5 41½ 31 2½ 22 25¾ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 0.80 32% 2.10 0.80 P
3  SEIZE THE GREY 3 7 62¾ 52 42½ 38 310½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 3.50 24% 3.20 2.66 S
1  HAM SANDWICH 1 2 21 41½ 63 410 415½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00 39.13  
7  EDIFIED 7 4 52½ 62 53 510½ 517¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50 4.21  
4  STICKY NOTE 4 6 77¼ 710½ 710½ 613½ 622½ (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 37.22  
2  ASTRONOMICO 2 1 11 1½ 31½ 715½ 732¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 10.00 37.96  
 
KEE-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
:231 :462 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHARRIERE 3 7 11 1½   12 11 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 5.65  
1  WILLOW BEND 1 6 62¼ 31   22 21 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.13 P
9  STREET JAM 7 2 41¼ 41½   36 36¾ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 121 2.00 39% 1.60 1.12 S
5  MAOTAI 4 4 21 2½   46½ 412¾ (peach a)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 16% 5.40 5.99  
6  COEXIST 5 5 74¼ 65½   59 514 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 6.83  
10  SHELL SHOCK 8 1 51¾ 52½   69 614½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 23% 3.30 12.09  
2  ROC'S PRINCESS 2 8 812¼ 712½   714 720¼ (gowan willia)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00 31.62  
7  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) 6 3 31 815   8100 8100 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 11.08  
SCR  IT TAKES HEART               (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  PROMISE OF HOPE               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
KEE-5   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
:234 :48 1:131 1:38   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ZIPADOO 2 1 53 54 52 2nk 11½ (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★ 3.01  
8  KING'S SECRET (GB) 7 5 21 22 2½ 1nk 21½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5.94  
5  ENGLISH TREASURE 4 4 84 86½ 84¾ 73¼ 31½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 23.13  
9  HECKLED 8 6 63½ 74½ 63 51¼ 42 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 40% 1.50 3.88  
2  CATMINT 1 2 42½ 32½ 31½ 3½ 52½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 30% 2.40 3.78  
6  BLESSING THE FLAG 5 9 74 64 73¼ 63¼ 64½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 5% 19.00 25.40  
4  BOLTORO 3 8 95½ 98 95¾ 96 75 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 4.18  
10  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 9 7 31½ 43 42 85¾ 85¾ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 10.15  
7  ANIMAL FRIES 6 3 11 12 1½ 41 910¼ (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00 44.86  
SCR  DREAM FLY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
SCR  MEDAGLIA FOREVER               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
:233 :474 1:13 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DORNOCH 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 13 16½ (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 61% 0.60 0.56 W
4  DJANGO 4 9 810 87½ 87¼ 36 26½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 12% 7.30 6.91 P
3  LAT LONG 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 23 37½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 18.30 4.25 S
11  NUEVO EMPIRE 9 8 64½ 42 32 48 417¼ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 11.80  
6  GREERS FERRY 6 7 43½ 52 55½ 512 523½ (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 11.84  
5  ALLIED VICTORY 5 6 32 31½ 44½ 612½ 624¼ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.10  
10  TENNESSEE LAMB 8 4 75 73½ 76¼ 714½ 730¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 61.53  
1  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO 1 5 910 99 914¾ 920 835¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 71.23  
8  REDFIELD 7 3 54 63 66 817½ 939 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 67.66  
SCR  DIVE BOMBER               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  NO JUDGMENT               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  PLAY IT LOUD               (stidham mic)TORRES A 119 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/14/2023 7920ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:251 :512 1:16 1:411 2:053 2:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINEELEVENTURBO 1 21 31 31½ 2½ 1nk 1hd (drysdale neil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 43% 1.30 2.13 W
6  FOREIGN RELATIONS 6 11 11 11 1½ 2nk 2hd (murphy conor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 ★ 2.84 P
4  SHARAR 4 41½ 41¼ 41½ 31 31½ 32½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 3.89  
7  O P FIRECRACKER 7 53 52¾ 52 43 44 43¾ (medina robe)TORRES A 122 30.00 24.99  
10  QUADRA ISLAND 9 85¼ 85 85½ 98½ 67½ 55¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 33% 2.10 15.22  
2  ALTAZOR (ARG) 2 63¼ 62¾ 63 54 56 65½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00 21.67  
13  SEVEN CHARMS 10 96¼ 97 96 66 89 77¾ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 117 8.00 29.86  
3  KITTEN MISCHIEF 3 108¼ 107½ 106½ 87½ 78 88½ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.71  
5  STOLEN BASE 5 74¼ 74¾ 74½ 77 910½ 910¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 12.01  
9  MONTAUK POINT 8 31 21 21 108½ 1022½ 1054¾ (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00 10.63  
SCR  FEBRUARY SON               (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 122 15.00    
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE)               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS               (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
SCR  OVER THE CHANNEL               (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
:221 :453 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ACCEDE 9 2 63 31½   2nk 11½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.51  
9  ZEITLOS 8 5 52½ 63½   32 21½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 18% 4.50 4.07 P
2  PUMPKIN SCONE 1 4 11 1nk   1nk 35¾ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 51% 1.00 6.80 S
5  DEAR LADY 4 6 86½ 76   45 46¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 14.55  
11  RARIFY 10 9 98 86¼   77¾ 513 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6% 15.20 3.20  
3  MUCHO MACHO GIRL 2 10 41½ 42   56½ 616 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
8  LITTLE BLAZE 7 3 21 2nk   66¾ 717½ (vaccarezza car)TORRES A 116 6.00 ★ 24.91  
7  YOU LITTLE VIXEN 6 1 31 52½   89¼ 819½ (von ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00 11.89  
4  THREE TIPSY CHIX 3 7 1012 1013¼   1015¼ 929¼ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 69.06  
6  ROSIE'S ALIBI 5 8 75 97¾   913¼ 1029¾ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.63  
SCR  STELLAR LILY               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
KEE-9   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Queen Elizabeth II Challenge C Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
:231 :474 1:114 1:353   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAWJ (IRE) 3 2 11 11 1½ 12 1½ (*suroor bi)MURPHY OISIN 121 2.00 26% 2.80 1.31 W
6  LINDY (FR) 4 4 73¼ 63½ 63 44 2½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 19% 4.20 5.72 P
1  MISSION OF JOY 1 3 21 31½ 31½ 22 31 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00 25.23  
2  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR) 2 1 31½ 21 2½ 32½ 42½ (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 25% 3.00 2.50  
7  SOUNDS OF HEAVEN (GB) 5 6 63¼ 52½ 52 56 55¼ (harrington jessic)FOLEY SHANE 121 8.00 9.50  
10  LIGURIA 7 8 96 95¾ 95½ 88 66¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00 23.88  
8  ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) 6 9 85¾ 85¼ 84½ 77½ 77 (*rouget c)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 25.45  
12  PAPILIO (IRE) 8 5 41½ 41½ 41½ 66 89¼ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 18.80 11.33  
13  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 9 7 51¾ 73¾ 74 910 911 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 28.16  
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE)               (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY SUNDAY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
SCR  PREREQUISITE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 20.00    
SCR  SAFEEN               (kenneally e)TORRES A 121 30.00    
 
KEE-10   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:244 :494 1:142 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST MISSION 1 1 32 32 51½ 41¾ 1¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 36% 1.80 0.42 W
9  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 5 8 74¼ 63 41 2nk 2¼ (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00 35.68  
7  COOKE CREEK 4 3 42 42½ 62 51¾ 3¼ (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 13.68  
10  CREATIVE MINISTER 6 5 52¼ 52½ 3½ 1nk 4½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 30% 2.40 7.96  
2  KEYSTONE FIELD 2 4 63¾ 73½ 73½ 73 52¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 11% 8.30 10.62  
12  IMPLEMENTATION 7 7 21 21 2nk 3.2 63¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00 8.26  
6  ROMAN CENTURIAN 3 6 86¾ 86½ 86 86 75¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 31.85  
13  AIRTIME 8 2 11 11 1nk 62 87½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.08  
SCR  CURLY JACK               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  GUNOE               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
SCR  HE'S A MESS               (miller henr)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  SAQEEL               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 10.00    
SCR  TARTUFO               (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.