Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Saturday - October 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (1/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (5/7/2/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (9/10/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (9/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-6   Win (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-7   Win (1/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-8   Win (2/9/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-9   Win (4/2/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (1/10/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   10/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAND FOR FREEDOM Sep16 Aug26 Jul31 Jun10 Apr21 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  MISTER MULDOON Sep02 Jun18 May29 May04 Apr14 (robertson mclean)ROCCO S 118 20.00 10% 8.60    
3  CANAVALL Sep08 Aug08 Jun25 Dec16 Oct09 (vaughan edward)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
4  SHOTSHELL Sep07 Jul21 Jun18 May07   (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  CREATIVE WAY Sep20 Aug05 Jun22 May25   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
SCR  LIBERTANGO Aug30 Jun20 Apr26 Apr08 Feb17 (catalano w)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
7  TALKSCHEAP Sep20 Sep06 Mar10 Feb22 Jan11 (alessi jame)CORREA L 118 15.00    
8  BUCKTOWN Sep30 Jul24 Jul06 May04 Mar17 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
9  VALE Sep27 Aug20 Jul14 Jun29 May21 (simms mark)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 13% 6.50    
10  BLOCKED Sep14 Jul13 Jun10 Mar18 Aug26 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
 
KEE-2   10/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALMING         (caramori caio)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
2  TAP ANCHOR         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00 7% 13.90    
3  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 6% 16.60    
4  CAJUN FOOL Sep08 Aug11       (ramirez m)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
5  JILLY'S WEST         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 116 4.50 34% 1.90    
6  THE RUSH IS ON Sep17 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 May18 (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 50.00    
7  ANDY'S CANDY Sep17         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  STORMIN LOVE Sep22 Aug27       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGGINSVILLE         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00    
10  HOT WINGS         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 6% 16.60    
11  STORMY MESA         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
12  PATRIOT HILLS Sep01         (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAM SANDWICH Sep30 Aug31 Aug13 Jul15 Jun10 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 30.00    
2  ASTRONOMICO Sep21 Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 Jun04 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 10.00    
3  SEIZE THE GREY Sep16 Aug18 Jul29 Jul01   (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  STICKY NOTE Aug26         (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
5  STRETCH RIDE Sep17         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
6  LIGHTLINE Sep14         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 0.80 32% 2.10    
7  EDIFIED Sep16 Aug12 Jul01     (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLOW BEND Jul22 May17 Apr01 Mar10 Feb03 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROC'S PRINCESS Sep15 Aug08 Jun14 May05 Apr01 (gowan william)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
SCR  PROMISE OF HOPE Sep24 Aug07 Jun11 May19 Dec26 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
4  CHARRIERE Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 Jun24 May27 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
5  MAOTAI Feb23 Feb01 Jan12 Dec01 Oct07 (peach a)MOJICA JR 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
6  COEXIST Sep15 Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
7  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) Aug19 Jun25 May13     (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
SCR  IT TAKES HEART Jul27 Jun17 Apr23 Mar25 Jan28 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
9  STREET JAM Sep29 Sep02 Jul22 May13 Apr15 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
10  SHELL SHOCK Aug01 Jun24 Jun03 Mar04 Feb19 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
KEE-5   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM FLY Sep02 Jul28 Sep08 Aug25 Jul14 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 124 12.00    
2  CATMINT Sep17 Jul31       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
3  ZIPADOO Aug25 Dec26 Oct27     (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 ★    
4  BOLTORO Sep07 Jul31 Jun23 Apr23 Mar18 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00    
5  ENGLISH TREASURE Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Dec01 Oct21 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
6  BLESSING THE FLAG Sep09 Jul13 May29 May03 Mar23 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANIMAL FRIES Sep07 Aug13 Jul22 Jun25   (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 30.00    
8  KING'S SECRET (GB) Sep09 Jul15 Mar05 Jan22   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00    
9  HECKLED Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 May03 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
10  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Sep07 Jul29 Jun29 Jun08 Dec03 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  MEDAGLIA FOREVER Jun24 Apr29 Mar25 Jan29 Nov26 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MAESTRO Sep17         (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
2  DORNOCH Aug26 Jul29       (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
3  LAT LONG Sep22         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 5% 18.30    
4  DJANGO Sep15 Aug05 Jul01     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
5  ALLIED VICTORY Sep15 Aug13       (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  GREERS FERRY Sep24 Aug28 Jul23     (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  PLAY IT LOUD Aug27         (stidham mic)TORRES A 119 15.00    
8  REDFIELD Sep10 Aug04       (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  NO JUDGMENT Sep17         (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
10  TENNESSEE LAMB Sep13 Jul21       (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
11  NUEVO EMPIRE Sep22         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00    
SCR  DIVE BOMBER Sep02 Jul22       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
 
KEE-7   10/14/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINEELEVENTURBO Sep02 Jul28 Jun10 May20 May07 (drysdale neil)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
2  ALTAZOR (ARG) Aug31 Aug17 Jul11 May19 Apr15 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00    
3  KITTEN MISCHIEF Aug28 Jul23 Apr27 Jan01 Dec14 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHARAR Sep09 Aug05 Jul01 Jun03   (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
5  STOLEN BASE Sep09 Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 May19 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FOREIGN RELATIONS Sep09 Jul22 Jun17 May20 Apr19 (murphy conor)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 ★    
7  O P FIRECRACKER Sep09 Aug28 Jul23 Jun10 May28 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr07   (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00    
9  MONTAUK POINT Sep02 Jul21 May18 Mar31 Feb10 (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 122 15.00    
10  QUADRA ISLAND Aug18 Mar25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec02 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  FEBRUARY SON Sep01 Aug12 Jul11 Jun20 May29 (granitz anthony )CASTANON L 122 15.00    
SCR  MICROPHONE (IRE) May19 Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Oct21 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
13  SEVEN CHARMS Jul21 Jun10 May20 Jul24 Jun18 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 117 8.00    
SCR  OVER THE CHANNEL Sep13 Aug29 Feb08 Jan12 Dec16 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 30.00    
 
KEE-8   10/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STELLAR LILY Apr22 Mar19 Feb24 Jan14 Dec11 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
2  PUMPKIN SCONE Aug18 Jul01 May28     (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 51% 1.00    
3  MUCHO MACHO GIRL Mar01         (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  THREE TIPSY CHIX May25 Oct14 Aug27 Jun24 Apr27 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00    
5  DEAR LADY Sep01 Jul22 Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
6  ROSIE'S ALIBI Nov06 Sep24 Aug21     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
7  YOU LITTLE VIXEN Sep11         (von ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 10.00    
8  LITTLE BLAZE Aug07 Jul15 Jun11 May06 Apr13 (vaccarezza car)TORRES A 116 6.00 ★    
9  ZEITLOS Aug31 Jul22 Jun17 Apr15 Sep16 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
10  ACCEDE Sep02 Jul14 Jun09 May05 Mar16 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
11  RARIFY Oct27 Aug21 Jul24     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6% 15.20    
 
KEE-9   10/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC14 GOOD Queen Elizabeth II Challenge C Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSION OF JOY Sep09 Jul08 Jun03 May05 Mar11 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 121 20.00    
2  ELUSIVE PRINCESS (FR) Aug04         (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SAFEEN Sep03 Aug06 Jul01 May17 Apr14 (kenneally e)TORRES A 121 30.00    
4  MAWJ (IRE)         (*suroor bi)MURPHY OISIN 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Aug19 Jul08 Jun11 Apr08 Nov04 (de hor)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
6  LINDY (FR) Sep07         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  SOUNDS OF HEAVEN (GB)         (harrington jessic)FOLEY SHANE 121 8.00    
8  ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE)         (*rouget c)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY SUNDAY Aug19 Jul01 May05 Apr08 Feb04 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
10  LIGURIA Sep15 Jul21 Jun24 May05 Dec03 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 15.00    
SCR  PREREQUISITE Aug19 Jul08 Jun11 May07 Apr01 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 20.00    
12  PAPILIO (IRE) Aug04 Jul08 Jun03 May05 Apr08 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 5% 18.80    
13  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 May29 Apr23 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
 
KEE-10   10/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST MISSION Apr15 Mar18 Feb18     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 36% 1.80    
2  KEYSTONE FIELD Aug06 Jul08 May19 May06 Apr01 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  GUNOE Sep11 Jul06 May08 Mar17 Jul31 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
SCR  CURLY JACK May29 May06 Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  TARTUFO Sep07 Jul08 Jun04 May25 Mar30 (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 122 30.00    
6  ROMAN CENTURIAN Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
7  COOKE CREEK Jun03 May25 Apr20 Mar12 Jan28 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
SCR  SAQEEL Sep24 Sep03 Jul16 Jun10 Apr02 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 10.00    
9  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Sep09 Jun22 May25 Apr06 Aug07 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00    
10  CREATIVE MINISTER Jul08 May25 Apr20 Mar16 Oct20 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  HE'S A MESS Sep18 Aug18 Jul25 Jun06 Nov02 (miller henr)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
12  IMPLEMENTATION Sep13 Aug03 Apr15 Oct27 Oct08 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
13  AIRTIME Apr01 Feb18 Jan29 Nov14 Sep25 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.