Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $17.46  
CD-2   Win (4/13/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $12.02  
CD-3   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
CD-4   Win (8/2/3/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $18.00  
CD-5   Win (1/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $5.70  
CD-6   Win (10/12/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $8.54  
CD-7   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $2.42 $2.42  
CD-8   Win (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $2.96  
CD-9   Win (1/10/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $21.14 $21.14 11.14
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BORN FLAWLESS 2 1 11½ 11   13 1¾ (vance d)TORRES A 113 5.00 7.73  
4  RUN SMITTY RUN 4 5 65 66   33 2¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 1.60 33% 2.00 1.10 P
3  VALE 3 2 31½ 31½   43½ 37¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 4.50 31% 2.20 2.77 S
7  BOLT ABOVE 6 3 21½ 21   23 48¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 4.81  
1  HARLEEZY 1 4 53 55   56 58¾ (rosin w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 9% 10.20 13.39  
5  LAZARUS 5 6 42½ 44   613 633¾ (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.53  
SCR  I NINETY FIVE               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:212 :451 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSWOMAN 1 7 45 45   11½ 12¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 5.01  
12  DAISY JONES 7 4 57 55½   21½ 22¼ (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.97 P
5  MRS. SPEAKER 3 5 68½ 68   44½ 35¾ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00 5.78  
10  JUBILANT JOANIE 6 2 3½ 1½   32½ 47¼ (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 10% 8.60 1.68  
8  ISABEL DE CLARE 5 6 78¾ 78½   76½ 510½ (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 35.49  
7  I'M BETH DUTTON 4 1 1½ 33   65½ 614¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 116 8.00 6.11  
13  AREUHAVINGFUNYET 8 8 89¼ 810   87 714½ (ortiz alexand)NAVAS YOEL 116 6.00 16% 5.20 8.41  
4  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE 2 3 2½ 2½   54½ 821¾ (ruis m)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 5.00 45% 1.20 8.24  
SCR  ALTER THE STARS               (tomlinson michae)ASHTON GAVIN 121 12.00    
SCR  PROUD PERFORMER               (king l)CARROLL DECLAN 121 30.00    
SCR  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
SCR  STORM HAVEN               (mcgee paul)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00    
SCR  WITCH OF NOVEMBER               (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
 
CD-3   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMMANDER CARL 4 2 11 11 1nk 14 15 (ortiz alexa)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.67 W
8  BREADMAN 5 6 21 21 2nk 24 25 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 14% 6.00 1.96 P
3  IMPROBABLE STORY 3 1 31½ 42½ 33 37 310½ (king l)TORRES A 117 12.00 7.48  
1  YAK 1 3 43 32½ 43½ 49½ 412 (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 14% 6.40 3.49  
2  JOB SECURITY 2 5 64 64 56 510½ 519½ (cano munoz)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00 7.16  
9  KEEN ON YOU 6 4 53½ 53 67 619½ 642½ (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 25.55  
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50    
SCR  MAD ADAM               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  TO KALON               (cundiff wayl)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00    
 
CD-4   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANNA'S WISH 6 1 1½ 12   13 17¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 8.00  
9  READY FOR TROUBLE 8 9 53 22   23 27¼ (hartman chr)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.03  
6  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 5 8 63½ 56   58½ 37¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 3.67  
3  SENSIBLE CHOICE 3 5 42 44   46 48¾ (pitts helen)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 6% 14.70 12.39  
2  ISA LEI 2 4 3½ 32½   34½ 510 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 20.00 6% 14.70 5.74  
8  CRY IF I WANT TO 7 2 75 69½   610½ 611 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 52% 0.90 3.11  
11  HIGH SISU 10 6 87 812   717½ 723¼ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 6% 14.70 23.64  
12  MISSY BEE 11 7 107¾ 914   820 826¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14.83  
4  GRACE AND FREEDOM 4 11 119¼ 1016   1023 929½ (jones larr)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 6% 14.70 23.42  
1  SWEET GUITAR 1 3 2½ 710   922½ 1038¼ (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.40  
10  DESPERATE TIMES 9 10 97¼ 1118   1127 1145 (bright derrick)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 56.18  
SCR  SAVE THE MOMENT               (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  SKINDY DIPPER               (martin dawn)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  WALK ON BY               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 3.00    
 
CD-5   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:123 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIGER MOON 4 8 76 73¼ 41½ 12 1¼ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 1.85  
7  NEPAL UP 7 7 88 85¼ 73¼ 22 2¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 19.95  
6  NORDIC LIGHT 6 6 55 63 63¼ 46 36½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 5.47  
2  MOMENT 2 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 34 49¾ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 15% 5.80 11.42  
8  GREY STREAK 8 4 21½ 2½ 31 67 512 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 5.00 6% 14.80 6.18  
1  ON A SPREE 1 3 65 53 84¾ 56 615¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.87  
3  RANDELLO 3 1 33 31½ 53 89 717 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 12.71  
5  MINE OWN STAR 5 5 43½ 42 2nk 77½ 817¾ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
SCR  SANTA CRUISER               (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
 
CD-6   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TWIRLING GOOD TIME 10 7 21 1½   13½ 14 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 3.27  
5  BLUE SQUALL 4 10 96¾ 97½   34½ 24 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 ★ 6.20 P
12  SILVER ROSE 11 9 42½ 31   23½ 36¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 15% 5.70 3.65 S
9  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 8 6 85¼ 76½   78¼ 410½ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 29.15  
7  HOW SOON IS NOW 6 11 107¼ 87   58 512½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.25  
13  RENFREW 12 4 53 44   68 614¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00 26.12  
8  WILLOWY 7 5 75¼ 55½   89¾ 714¼ (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 44.89  
6  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF 5 8 1210¾ 1214   912¾ 817¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.52  
10  MIA MARCELA 9 1 11 2½   45 917¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 61% 0.60 3.14  
3  IDALOU 2 12 1110¼ 1111   1013¼ 1018¾ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 20.88  
4  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE 3 2 32½ 65½   1117¼ 1129 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 12.00 31.71  
2  DAWN'S CREED 1 3 65 108½   1218¼ 1229½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 15.00 17.93  
SCR  ELLA ELIZABETH               (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
SCR  TANYA SHOWERS               (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
CD-7   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONEY SUPPLY 3 1 11 11 1nk 12½ 12¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 54% 0.90 0.21 W
2  ST. ELMO 1 2 31 32 32½ 34½ 22¼ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 113 6.00 3.67  
3  WATASHA 2 3 21 21 2nk 22½ 35 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 4.65  
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 1.60 14% 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TILTED TOWERS 5 4 13 12½   12 1nk (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 8.00 0.48  
7  EXCESS MAGIC 4 1 34½ 34   22 2nk (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 30% 2.30 2.58 P
2  GOODASIWONSWAS 1 3 23 22½   32½ 31 (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 121 15.00 8.77  
5  OF THE MOMENT 3 5 56 47   48½ 49¼ (williamson )LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 17.38  
3  XY SPEED 2 2 46 510   523½ 548½ (lerman michael)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 29% 2.50 8.72  
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
SCR  EVAN SING               (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
SCR  SKY AND SAND               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 3.00    
SCR  BROKEN RIB               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50    
 
CD-9   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:213 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KRICKLE 10 3 41½ 31   1½ 1nk (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50 29% 2.40 9.57 W
3  WHEN I LOOK AT YOU 3 6 75¼ 52½   31½ 2nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 6.25  
11  SHEZTHEFACTOR 11 2 21 1½   2½ 3¼ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 38.01  
1  TEMPTING LADY 1 9 31 41½   42 4¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.09  
6  CHEYENNE MOON 6 8 107¾ 86½   76 54¾ (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 35.58  
2  STANDOUTSENSATION 2 7 63¼ 76   65½ 65¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 6% 15.00 14.51  
7  DANCING PRINCESS 7 12 1213¾ 1211   87 75¾ (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 112 5.00 7.10  
12  KENTUCKYTERMINATOR 12 1 97¼ 109   98 88¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 49.09  
4  QUEEN LEXI 4 11 87¼ 1110   108 98½ (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 10.00 21.30  
9  SARAH'S DREAM 9 4 53 65   118¼ 109¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 4.86  
8  RED SUN DRESS 8 10 118¾ 97   128¼ 1110¼ (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5.83  
5  HONORABLE MISCHIEF 5 5 11 2½   54 1210½ (rosin coty )TORRES A 119 15.00 12% 7.20 28.51  
SCR  BRIGHT LADY DAY               (jackson christo)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00    
SCR  SILVERY MOON               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
SCR  TROUBLE WITH SUGAR               (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.