Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   EXA (4/8/1)-(4/8/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-8 $14.18 $2.18 18%
CD-9   WIN (1/10/5/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $21.14 $11.14 111%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BORN FLAWLESS 2 1 11½ 11   13 1¾ (vance thomas)TORRES A 113 5.00 7.73  
4  RUN SMITTY RUN 4 5 65 66   33 2¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 1.60 33% 2.00 1.10 P
3  VALE 3 2 31½ 31½   43½ 37¾ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 4.50 31% 2.20 2.77 S
7  BOLT ABOVE 6 3 21½ 21   23 48¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 4.81  
1  HARLEEZY 1 4 53 55   56 58¾ (rosin coty )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 9% 10.20 13.39  
5  LAZARUS 5 6 42½ 44   613 633¾ (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 7.53  
SCR  I NINETY FIVE               (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
 
CD-2   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:212 :451 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSWOMAN 1 7 45 45   11½ 12¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00 5.01  
12  DAISY JONES 7 4 57 55½   21½ 22¼ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.97 P
5  MRS. SPEAKER 3 5 68½ 68   44½ 35¾ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 6.00 5.78  
10  JUBILANT JOANIE 6 2 3½ 1½   32½ 47¼ (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 10% 8.60 1.68  
8  ISABEL DE CLARE 5 6 78¾ 78½   76½ 510½ (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 30.00 35.49  
7  I'M BETH DUTTON 4 1 1½ 33   65½ 614¼ (puhich mike)TORRES A 116 8.00 6.11  
13  AREUHAVINGFUNYET 8 8 89¼ 810   87 714½ (ortiz alexa)NAVAS YOEL 116 6.00 16% 5.20 8.41  
4  BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE 2 3 2½ 2½   54½ 821¾ (ruis)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 5.00 45% 1.20 8.24  
SCR  ALTER THE STARS               (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 121 12.00    
SCR  PROUD PERFORMER               (king l)CARROLL DECLAN 121 30.00    
SCR  REQUESTFORPROPOSAL               (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
SCR  STORM HAVEN               (mcgee paul)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00    
SCR  WITCH OF NOVEMBER               (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
 
CD-3   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMMANDER CARL 4 2 11 11 1nk 14 15 (ortiz ale)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 3.00 43% 1.30 1.67 W
8  BREADMAN 5 6 21 21 2nk 24 25 (shirer m)SANTANA JR 122 4.50 14% 6.00 1.96 P
3  IMPROBABLE STORY 3 1 31½ 42½ 33 37 310½ (king l)TORRES A 117 12.00 7.48  
1  YAK 1 3 43 32½ 43½ 49½ 412 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.00 14% 6.40 3.49  
2  JOB SECURITY 2 5 64 64 56 510½ 519½ (cano muno)ASHTON GAVIN 122 5.00 7.16  
9  KEEN ON YOU 6 4 53½ 53 67 619½ 642½ (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 25.55  
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50    
SCR  MAD ADAM               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
SCR  TO KALON               (cundiff wa)ASMUSSEN J 122 30.00    
 
CD-4   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANNA'S WISH 6 1 1½ 12   13 17¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 10.00 8.00  
9  READY FOR TROUBLE 8 9 53 22   23 27¼ (hartman c)TORRES A 119 8.00 7.03  
6  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 5 8 63½ 56   58½ 37¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.50 3.67  
3  SENSIBLE CHOICE 3 5 42 44   46 48¾ (pitts helen)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 6% 14.70 12.39  
2  ISA LEI 2 4 3½ 32½   34½ 510 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 20.00 6% 14.70 5.74  
8  CRY IF I WANT TO 7 2 75 69½   610½ 611 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 52% 0.90 3.11  
11  HIGH SISU 10 6 87 812   717½ 723¼ (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 6% 14.70 23.64  
12  MISSY BEE 11 7 107¾ 914   820 826¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14.83  
4  GRACE AND FREEDOM 4 11 119¼ 1016   1023 929½ (jones la)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 6% 14.70 23.42  
1  SWEET GUITAR 1 3 2½ 710   922½ 1038¼ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 6.40  
10  DESPERATE TIMES 9 10 97¼ 1118   1127 1145 (bright derric)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 56.18  
SCR  SAVE THE MOMENT               (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  SKINDY DIPPER               (martin da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  WALK ON BY               (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 3.00    
 
CD-5   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:123 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TIGER MOON 4 8 76 73¼ 41½ 12 1¼ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 124 3.00 1.85  
7  NEPAL UP 7 7 88 85¼ 73¼ 22 2¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 19.95  
6  NORDIC LIGHT 6 6 55 63 63¼ 46 36½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 5.47  
2  MOMENT 2 2 11½ 1½ 1nk 34 49¾ (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 15% 5.80 11.42  
8  GREY STREAK 8 4 21½ 2½ 31 67 512 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 5.00 6% 14.80 6.18  
1  ON A SPREE 1 3 65 53 84¾ 56 615¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.87  
3  RANDELLO 3 1 33 31½ 53 89 717 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 12.71  
5  MINE OWN STAR 5 5 43½ 42 2nk 77½ 817¾ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
SCR  SANTA CRUISER               (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
 
CD-6   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  TWIRLING GOOD TIME 10 7 21 1½   13½ 14 (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 3.27  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CELEBRATEGOODTIMES by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  BLUE SQUALL 4 10 96¾ 97½   34½ 24 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 ★ 6.20 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of SKY O' BLUE by HENNY HUGHES)
12  SILVER ROSE 11 9 42½ 31   23½ 36¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 15% 5.70 3.65 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PURE SILVER by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
9  YES TO CHAMPAGNE 8 6 85¼ 76½   78¼ 410½ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 29.15  
  (by MITOLE out of GLENCOE CHURCH by CAPOTE)
7  HOW SOON IS NOW 6 11 107¼ 87   58 512½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 16.25  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of RUBY TRUST by SMART STRIKE)
13  RENFREW 12 4 53 44   68 614¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00 26.12  
  (by KANTHAROS out of AMAZING PEYTON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  WILLOWY 7 5 75¼ 55½   89¾ 714¼ (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 44.89  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SHE'S ON PARADE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF 5 8 1210¾ 1214   912¾ 817¼ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 5% 19.00 8.52  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  MIA MARCELA 9 1 11 2½   45 917¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 61% 0.60 3.14  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  IDALOU 2 12 1110¼ 1111   1013¼ 1018¾ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 20.88  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ESTELLINE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE 3 2 32½ 65½   1117¼ 1129 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 12.00 31.71  
  (by FAST ANNA out of MIDNIGHT ANGELUS by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  DAWN'S CREED 1 3 65 108½   1218¼ 1229½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 15.00 17.93  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of KITTY FOILLE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
SCR  ELLA ELIZABETH               (moquett )SANTANA JR 119 4.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PERFECT PAULA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  TANYA SHOWERS               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of MISS MARY PAT by SERVICE STRIPE)
 
CD-7   09/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:13 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONEY SUPPLY 3 1 11 11 1nk 12½ 12¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 54% 0.90 0.21 W
2  ST. ELMO 1 2 31 32 32½ 34½ 22¼ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 113 6.00 3.67  
3  WATASHA 2 3 21 21 2nk 22½ 35 (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 4.65  
SCR  GLEN AIRY               (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  LUPO'S LEGACY               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE               (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 1.60 14% 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:222 :45 :57     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TILTED TOWERS 5 4 13 12½   12 1nk (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 8.00 0.48  
7  EXCESS MAGIC 4 1 34½ 34   22 2nk (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 30% 2.30 2.58 P
2  GOODASIWONSWAS 1 3 23 22½   32½ 31 (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 121 15.00 8.77  
5  OF THE MOMENT 3 5 56 47   48½ 49¼ (williamso)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 17.38  
3  XY SPEED 2 2 46 510   523½ 548½ (lerman michael)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 29% 2.50 8.72  
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)LANERIE J 118 3.50    
SCR  EVAN SING               (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50    
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
SCR  SKY AND SAND               (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 3.00    
SCR  BROKEN RIB               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 2.50    
 
CD-9   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:213 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KRICKLE 10 3 41½ 31   1½ 1nk (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50 29% 2.40 9.57 W
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
3  WHEN I LOOK AT YOU 3 6 75¼ 52½   31½ 2nk (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 6.25  
  (by COLLECTED out of SET YOU FREE by ARCH)
11  SHEZTHEFACTOR 11 2 21 1½   2½ 3¼ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 38.01  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
1  TEMPTING LADY 1 9 31 41½   42 4¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 32% 2.10 2.09  
  (by ENTICED out of FANTASTIC GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  CHEYENNE MOON 6 8 107¾ 86½   76 54¾ (brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 35.58  
  (by TONALIST out of TETHERBALL by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  STANDOUTSENSATION 2 7 63¼ 76   65½ 65¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 6% 15.00 14.51  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
7  DANCING PRINCESS 7 12 1213¾ 1211   87 75¾ (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 112 5.00 7.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
12  KENTUCKYTERMINATOR 12 1 97¼ 109   98 88¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 49.09  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KATY'S REVENGE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  QUEEN LEXI 4 11 87¼ 1110   108 98½ (short thomas)EMIGH A 119 10.00 21.30  
  (by KLIMT out of QUEEN PRISCILLA by FLATTER)
9  SARAH'S DREAM 9 4 53 65   118¼ 109¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 4.86  
  (by HARD SPUN out of RELENTLESS MISS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  RED SUN DRESS 8 10 118¾ 97   128¼ 1110¼ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 5.83  
  (by COLLECTED out of SUMMER CLOTHES by SUMMER FRONT)
5  HONORABLE MISCHIEF 5 5 11 2½   54 1210½ (rosin cot)TORRES A 119 15.00 12% 7.20 28.51  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BADGE OF HONOR by HONOR GRADES)
SCR  BRIGHT LADY DAY               (jackson chris)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of LADY RELAUNCH by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
SCR  SILVERY MOON               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RANGE MARKER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  TROUBLE WITH SUGAR               (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of MISS SPINKS by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.