Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $19.28 $7.28 61%
CD-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.26 $1.26 21%
    DD (4/8/1)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-5 $11.25 $2.25 25%
CD-7   DD (6/5/1)-(4/1/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $16.97 $4.97 41%
CD-9   WIN (5/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $8.80 $0.80 10%
CD-10   TRI (6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-4-3 $37.74 $7.74 26%
    SFT (6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-4-3-10 $39.88 $27.88 232%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OWN THE FIELD 5 5 52¼ 31½   1½ 13¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 15% 5.50 2.73 W
3  GUCCI BOY 3 4 2½ 1½   2½ 23¾ (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 18% 4.50 2.40 P
10  BOURBON FEVER 9 6 42 52   43 34¾ (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 6% 17.10 3.64 S
1  LOTS OF MISCHIEF 1 10 84¾ 75½   54½ 47¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 16.99  
11  GILDED CRAKEN 10 7 73¾ 64   66½ 510¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 17% 4.80 8.51  
8  MO MOVES 7 2 106¾ 108½   88½ 611 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 29.02  
2  MR. COMMANDER 2 9 1½ 2½   32½ 712¼ (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 28.91  
7  SECESSION 6 8 95¼ 97   77½ 814¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 30.96  
4  TRIPLE OPTION 4 3 3½ 42   910½ 920½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 21% 3.80 6.73  
9  BLUFF CITY 8 1 63¼ 86   1012 1021 (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 20.44  
SCR  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF               (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
 
CD-2   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLUE KENTUCKY 2 4 42½ 42   32½ 1½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 1.80 28% 2.60 3.00 W
4  BOURBON SPIRIT 4 5 2½ 1½   12 2½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60 0.69 P
5  SOARING BIRD 5 3 32 2½   22 31 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 12.38  
1  SOLIDIFY 1 6 64½ 64½   44½ 41½ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.00 16% 5.20 4.53  
6  HEMP HEAVEN 6 2 52½ 53½   68 59¾ (wittek karyn)COURT K 121 12.00 20.32  
3  CLASSY SOCKS 3 1 1½ 31½   57 615¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 121 10.00 12.89  
 
CD-3   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE COOL DUDE 1 3 11 1½   14 13¼ (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 15.00 17.80  
3  CAMP DADDY 2 6 53½ 54   44½ 23¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 49% 1.10 0.70 P
4  STONEVICIOUS 3 4 32½ 43   24 33¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 7% 14.30 3.93 S
7  ASPEN CLUB 6 1 21 2½   34½ 49¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 15.62  
8  ROMAN GIANT 7 5 64 64   67½ 510 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 5.33  
6  RUN RUN RAPIDASH 5 2 42½ 32½   56½ 611 (kordenbroc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 19.00 24.07  
5  ALMANZO 4 7 75 76   79 711½ (castillo richa)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60 8.00  
SCR  SCHMOOZIN               (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
 
CD-4   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHRYSO ALOGO 7 2 2½ 21½   21 11¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 20% 4.00 1.20 W
6  FLOTATION STATION 5 1 1½ 11½   11 21¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 3.62 P
1  RIVETAGE 1 4 33 31½   32 31¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 2.55  
3  RUNNIN MUNNIN 3 6 64½ 41¾   43½ 44¾ (stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 12.26  
4  THIS TIME BLUE 4 7 43½ 55¼   510½ 513¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.46  
11  MIDCAT 8 3 78½ 710¼   713½ 616 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 20.20  
2  QUENCIO 2 5 54½ 69¼   613 716¾ (gutierre)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 35.98  
8  QUERREQUE 6 8 826½ 855¼   8100 8100 (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 ★ 27.99  
SCR  BIRCHTON               (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  BURGUNDY ROYALE               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
SCR  HIGH ENOUGH               (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  INFORMED PATRIOT 6 2 2½ 2nk   12½ 1½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 16% 5.30 1.69 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of YAWKEY WAY by GRAND SLAM)
2  TOP GUN ROCKET 2 4 42½ 43   22½ 2½ (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 2.72  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  LAT LONG 4 5 53½ 55   43½ 31¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.97  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AMEN SISTA by STREET CRY)
7  GOULD'S GOLD 5 6 67 68½   67½ 45¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 20.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GOOSE MARTINI by BERNARDINI)
9  MASMAK 7 3 31½ 3½   33 56½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 5.03  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  MUAZARAH 3 1 1½ 1nk   53½ 69½ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 57% 0.80 3.75  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
1  GOLDEN BUCK 1 7 77 79½   715½ 739 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 24.39  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GHOST GALAXY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BLUE LINE               (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WARHEADED               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CATCH THE MAGIC by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
CD-6   09/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ICE ORCHID 5 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 12½ 13¾ (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.63 W
4  SKRATCH KAT 4 6 67 67½ 63½ 53¾ 23¾ (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 4.07  
6  CHOP CHOP 6 4 42 42 31 32½ 33¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 50% 1.00 2.04 S
3  MUSIC STREET 3 5 52½ 54½ 41½ 42¾ 44 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 20.54  
2  JAG WARRIOR 2 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 22½ 54½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 9.99  
1  SELINA KYLE (PER) 1 2 31½ 31½ 51½ 63¾ 66¼ (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.64  
 
CD-7   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTTO THE CONQUEROR 1 1 1nk 1nk   12½ 1¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.69 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of DREAM IT IS by SHACKLEFORD)
5  DRAGOON GUARD 4 5 2nk 2nk   22½ 2¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 4.10 3.02 P
  (by ARROGATE out of FILIMBI by MIZZEN MAST)
8  BOURBON'S FAULT 7 2 52¾ 32   35½ 32¾ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.91  
  (by BLAME out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  NUEVO EMPIRE 2 9 87¼ 96½   47 43¾ (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 57.62  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CLEVERLY by TAPIT)
10  J BIRD TIME 9 7 98¼ 86¼   810 58¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.71  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
4  TIME SONG 3 4 41¾ 42¼   78½ 68¼ (pletcher todd)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80 6.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NEW SONG by EASTOVER COURT)
7  TITLE CONTENDER 6 8 74¼ 63¼   68½ 78¾ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 10.28  
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SWEET AS SIN 5 6 31½ 53¼   57½ 811¼ (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 12.09  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  STORMIN LOVE 8 3 63¾ 74¾   910½ 911¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 24.65  
  (by IRONICUS out of LOVEALERT by THE FACTOR)
SCR  MILITARY CRUISER               (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VASILISA by SKIPSHOT)
 
CD-8   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GILCREASE 5 1 1½ 2½   2nk 1¼ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 3.15  
9  EASY ACTION 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 2¼ (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 61% 0.60 0.86 P
7  TRACK MATE 4 4 52 32   32½ 35¼ (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 5.00 9% 10.10 2.70 S
6  TIM TAL 3 3 31 53   43½ 47¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 34.72  
5  BOHEMIAN BO 2 6 41½ 42½   54 513¾ (vance thomas)TORRES A 113 12.00 6% 15.60 9.63  
2  KING ME 1 5 63½ 67   610 624½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 22.03  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW               (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
SCR  MULLIKIN               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  STUD LOVIN               (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   09/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  B D VALESKI 9 2 53¼ 62¾   2nk 1¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 12% 7.20 3.40 W
8  SUMMER IN MALIBU 8 7 73¾ 74¼   72¾ 2¾ (combs bentle)TORRES A 116 20.00 30.93  
2  ARABIAN PRINCE 2 6 96¾ 96½   83¼ 31½ (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 5.94  
5  HIDEKI 5 3 63¼ 52¾   61¾ 41¾ (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 41% 1.40 3.62  
1  ALL I WANT IS YOU 1 8 31½ 41¾   3.2 52¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 3.50 22% 3.60 5.85  
6  KIGALI 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 62¼ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 4.66  
7  OVERBORE 7 9 84¾ 84½   93¾ 74¼ (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 9.81  
3  CUSTOM BOBBY'S 3 5 41¾ 31½   51¾ 85¾ (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.34  
4  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 4 4 1nk 2nk   41¼ 98¼ (o'connor robert)LANERIE J 115 20.00 46.34  
 
CD-10   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:12 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  METHODOLOGY 6 6 2½ 31½ 2½ 1nk 1nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.16 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
4  HAPPY CHARGER 4 4 64¼ 65 43 3.2 2nk (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 5.00 19% 4.40 4.35 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  LEAFLET 3 3 97¼ 87 65 42¾ 33¼ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 5% 18.10 26.38 S
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  MUSICAL MISCHIEF 10 8 1½ 2½ 1½ 2nk 43¾ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.66  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  MISINTENTION 2 2 85¾ 75½ 53½ 52¾ 55 (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 8.51  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
1  PERCEPTIVE 1 1 108¼ 108¾ 106½ 64¼ 66¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 20.49  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
7  NOCTURNE COURT 7 10 75¼ 97¼ 75½ 75¼ 77¾ (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 31.15  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HEART D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  SISTER MAHA 8 7 4¾ 1½ 32 86¾ 819¼ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 11% 8.00 3.88  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPIRIT OF THE DAWN by MALIBU MOON)
9  WILD ACCLAIM 9 9 3½ 43 96 1011¼ 922¾ (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 73.54  
  (by FLATTER out of PRODICIOUS FACTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MUCHO MACHO CHICK 5 5 51¼ 53 86 910¼ 1023¾ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 44.57  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.