Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $19.28 $7.28 61%
CD-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.26 $1.26 21%
    DD (4/8/1)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-5 $11.25 $2.25 25%
CD-7   DD (6/5/1)-(4/1/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $16.97 $4.97 41%
CD-9   WIN (5/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $8.80 $0.80 10%
CD-10   TRI (6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-4-3 $37.74 $7.74 26%
    SFT (6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10)-(6/4/8/3/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-4-3-10 $39.88 $27.88 232%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OWN THE FIELD   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 15% 5.50 2.73 W
3  GUCCI BOY   (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 18% 4.50 2.40 P
10  BOURBON FEVER   (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 6% 17.10 3.64 S
1  LOTS OF MISCHIEF   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00 16.99  
11  GILDED CRAKEN   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 17% 4.80 8.51  
8  MO MOVES   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 29.02  
2  MR. COMMANDER   (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 28.91  
7  SECESSION   (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 30.96  
4  TRIPLE OPTION   (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 21% 3.80 6.73  
9  BLUFF CITY   (catalano wayn)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 20.44  
SCR  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF   (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
 
CD-2   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLUE KENTUCKY   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 1.80 28% 2.60 3.00 W
4  BOURBON SPIRIT   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60 0.69 P
5  SOARING BIRD   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 12.38  
1  SOLIDIFY   (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.00 16% 5.20 4.53  
6  HEMP HEAVEN   (wittek karyn)COURT K 121 12.00 20.32  
3  CLASSY SOCKS   (vance d)LANERIE J 121 10.00 12.89  
 
CD-3   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE COOL DUDE   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 15.00 17.80  
3  CAMP DADDY   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 49% 1.10 0.70 P
4  STONEVICIOUS   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 7% 14.30 3.93 S
7  ASPEN CLUB   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00 15.62  
8  ROMAN GIANT   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 5.33  
6  RUN RUN RAPIDASH   (kordenbroc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 19.00 24.07  
5  ALMANZO   (castillo richa)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60 8.00  
SCR  SCHMOOZIN   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
 
CD-4   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHRYSO ALOGO   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 20% 4.00 1.20 W
6  FLOTATION STATION   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 50% 1.00 3.62 P
1  RIVETAGE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 2.55  
3  RUNNIN MUNNIN   (stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 12.26  
4  THIS TIME BLUE   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.46  
11  MIDCAT   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 20.20  
2  QUENCIO   (gutierre)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 35.98  
8  QUERREQUE   (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 ★ 27.99  
SCR  BIRCHTON   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  BURGUNDY ROYALE   (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
SCR  HIGH ENOUGH   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  INFORMED PATRIOT   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 16% 5.30 1.69 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of YAWKEY WAY by GRAND SLAM)
2  TOP GUN ROCKET   (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 2.72  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  LAT LONG   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.97  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AMEN SISTA by STREET CRY)
7  GOULD'S GOLD   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 20.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GOOSE MARTINI by BERNARDINI)
9  MASMAK   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 5.03  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  MUAZARAH   (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 57% 0.80 3.75  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MUNASARA by BERNARDINI)
1  GOLDEN BUCK   (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 24.39  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GHOST GALAXY by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  BLUE LINE   (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WARHEADED   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CATCH THE MAGIC by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
CD-6   09/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ICE ORCHID   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.63 W
4  SKRATCH KAT   (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 4.07  
6  CHOP CHOP   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 50% 1.00 2.04 S
3  MUSIC STREET   (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 20.54  
2  JAG WARRIOR   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 9.99  
1  SELINA KYLE (PER)   (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 2.64  
 
CD-7   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTTO THE CONQUEROR   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.69 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of DREAM IT IS by SHACKLEFORD)
5  DRAGOON GUARD   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 4.10 3.02 P
  (by ARROGATE out of FILIMBI by MIZZEN MAST)
8  BOURBON'S FAULT   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 3.91  
  (by BLAME out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  NUEVO EMPIRE   (medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 57.62  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CLEVERLY by TAPIT)
10  J BIRD TIME   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.71  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RUNAWAY RENEE by MUNNINGS)
4  TIME SONG   (pletcher todd)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80 6.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NEW SONG by EASTOVER COURT)
7  TITLE CONTENDER   (cox brad)SANTANA JR 119 5.00 10.28  
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  SWEET AS SIN   (asmussen )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 12.09  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of GIANT MOVER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  STORMIN LOVE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 24.65  
  (by IRONICUS out of LOVEALERT by THE FACTOR)
SCR  MILITARY CRUISER   (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VASILISA by SKIPSHOT)
 
CD-8   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GILCREASE   (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 3.15  
9  EASY ACTION   (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 61% 0.60 0.86 P
7  TRACK MATE   (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 5.00 9% 10.10 2.70 S
6  TIM TAL   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 34.72  
5  BOHEMIAN BO   (vance thomas)TORRES A 113 12.00 6% 15.60 9.63  
2  KING ME   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 22.03  
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW   (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
SCR  MULLIKIN   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  STUD LOVIN   (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   09/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  B D VALESKI   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 12% 7.20 3.40 W
8  SUMMER IN MALIBU   (combs bentle)TORRES A 116 20.00 30.93  
2  ARABIAN PRINCE   (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 5.94  
5  HIDEKI   (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 41% 1.40 3.62  
1  ALL I WANT IS YOU   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 3.50 22% 3.60 5.85  
6  KIGALI   (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 4.66  
7  OVERBORE   (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 9.81  
3  CUSTOM BOBBY'S   (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 5.34  
4  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS   (o'connor robert)LANERIE J 115 20.00 46.34  
 
CD-10   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  METHODOLOGY   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.16 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
4  HAPPY CHARGER   (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 5.00 19% 4.40 4.35 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of HAPPY WEEK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  LEAFLET   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 5% 18.10 26.38 S
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  MUSICAL MISCHIEF   (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 115 8.00 5% 19.00 8.66  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  MISINTENTION   (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 8.51  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CROWNED by BERNARDINI)
1  PERCEPTIVE   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 20.49  
  (by HONOR CODE out of HONE IN by SMART STRIKE)
7  NOCTURNE COURT   (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 31.15  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HEART D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  SISTER MAHA   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 11% 8.00 3.88  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SPIRIT OF THE DAWN by MALIBU MOON)
9  WILD ACCLAIM   (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 73.54  
  (by FLATTER out of PRODICIOUS FACTS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MUCHO MACHO CHICK   (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 44.57  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.