Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/3/11/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (3/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (4/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (4/1/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (9/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (5/1/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (6/4/8/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTS OF MISCHIEF Jul14 Jun01 Sep01     (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00    
2  MR. COMMANDER Aug21 Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 May21 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00    
3  GUCCI BOY Jul30 Jul09 Jun15 Apr08 Feb24 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  TRIPLE OPTION Nov09 Sep29 Sep13 Aug21 Jul31 (cook b)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF Aug26 Aug01 Jul07 Jun11 Apr29 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
6  OWN THE FIELD Jul22 Jun10 May13 Nov23 Aug31 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
7  SECESSION         (drury thomas )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
8  MO MOVES Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 May18 Mar23 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
9  BLUFF CITY Aug10 Sep15 Aug12 Jul16 Jun23 (catalano wayne )CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00    
10  BOURBON FEVER Jul14 Jun25 Jun01     (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 6% 17.10    
11  GILDED CRAKEN Aug28 Jul30 May14 Apr22   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
CD-2   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLIDIFY Sep07 Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 May13 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.00 16% 5.20    
2  BLUE KENTUCKY Jun10 May13 Apr20 Feb17 Jan18 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  CLASSY SOCKS Jun25 Jun04 Mar23 Mar05 Feb25 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
4  BOURBON SPIRIT Aug26 Aug06 Jul13 Oct12 Aug27 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  SOARING BIRD Sep07 Jul21 Jun23 Jun10 May13 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
6  HEMP HEAVEN Aug02 Feb09 Dec31 Nov27 Jun29 (wittek karyn)COURT K 121 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE COOL DUDE Aug17 Jul14 Dec30 Nov25 Oct19 (blair jordan)MICHEL MICKAELLE 121 15.00    
SCR  SCHMOOZIN Aug19 May19 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
3  CAMP DADDY Aug19 Jul31 Jun25 May27 May21 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 2.00 49% 1.10    
4  STONEVICIOUS Aug06 May19 May11 Apr08 Mar18 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 7% 14.30    
5  ALMANZO Apr09 Jan14 Oct14 Sep13 Jul03 (castillo richard)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00 18% 4.60    
6  RUN RUN RAPIDASH Jul27 Jun15 May04 Mar10 Feb10 (kordenbrock )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASPEN CLUB Jun17 May26 Apr15 Mar23 Feb11 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 10.00    
8  ROMAN GIANT Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00    
 
CD-4   09/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($150K) Purse ($63K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVETAGE Sep02         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
2  QUENCIO         (gutierrez )SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
3  RUNNIN MUNNIN         (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
4  THIS TIME BLUE         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIGH ENOUGH         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
6  FLOTATION STATION Aug20 Jul23       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  BIRCHTON         (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
8  QUERREQUE         (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 ★    
9  CHRYSO ALOGO Aug27         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  BURGUNDY ROYALE Aug27 Jul21       (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
11  MIDCAT         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
 
CD-5   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN BUCK         (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TOP GUN ROCKET         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00    
SCR  BLUE LINE         (asmussen st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
4  MUAZARAH Aug27         (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 57% 0.80    
5  LAT LONG         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
SCR  WARHEADED         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
7  GOULD'S GOLD         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
8  INFORMED PATRIOT Aug12         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
9  MASMAK         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
 
CD-6   09/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SELINA KYLE (PER) Aug16 Apr30       (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  JAG WARRIOR Aug06 Jun11 May05 Feb19 Jan28 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00    
3  MUSIC STREET Aug11 May27 May05 Nov20 Oct23 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
4  SKRATCH KAT Jul23 Jul16 Jun03 Nov25 Oct21 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
5  ICE ORCHID Aug13 Jul07 Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
6  CHOP CHOP Mar11 Feb18 Jan21 Nov04 Oct07 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
 
CD-7   09/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OTTO THE CONQUEROR Aug13         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MILITARY CRUISER         (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
3  NUEVO EMPIRE         (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
4  TIME SONG Aug27         (pletcher a)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 35% 1.80    
5  DRAGOON GUARD         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  SWEET AS SIN         (asmussen st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
7  TITLE CONTENDER         (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 5.00    
8  BOURBON'S FAULT         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
9  STORMIN LOVE Aug27         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
10  J BIRD TIME         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STUD LOVIN Aug22 Jul30 May28 May06 Sep08 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
2  KING ME Jul22 Jun18 Sep30     (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SCR  MULLIKIN Jul30 Jul02 May27 Apr08 Feb18 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  FAVORITE OUTLAW Aug05 Jun23 Apr29 Apr01 Mar05 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00    
5  BOHEMIAN BO Jun25 May28 May06 Apr08 Mar12 (vance d)TORRES A 113 12.00 6% 15.60    
6  TIM TAL May03 Apr13 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00    
7  TRACK MATE Aug19 Sep15 Aug27 Aug06   (lukas wayne)LANERIE J 120 5.00 9% 10.10    
8  GILCREASE Jun03 May13 Apr08 Feb25 Aug07 (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
9  EASY ACTION Jul29 Apr14 Mar23 Feb18 Jan28 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
CD-9   09/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL I WANT IS YOU Aug18 Jul21 Apr23     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  ARABIAN PRINCE Sep13 Jul23 Jun23 May19 Apr26 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
3  CUSTOM BOBBY'S Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 Nov24 Sep03 (calhoun william)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS Aug26 Aug01 May03 Apr12   (o'connor r)LANERIE J 115 20.00    
5  HIDEKI Jul16 Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (walsh d)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  KIGALI Aug30 Jul16 Jun24 May04 Mar25 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
7  OVERBORE Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 Apr28 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
8  SUMMER IN MALIBU Aug26 Aug03 Apr15 Apr01 Mar05 (combs bentley)TORRES A 116 20.00    
9  B D VALESKI Aug11 Jun23 May19 Apr21 Mar30 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
 
CD-10   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERCEPTIVE Jun02         (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
2  MISINTENTION Sep23 Sep04 Jul31     (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
3  LEAFLET Aug08         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 8.00 5% 18.10    
4  HAPPY CHARGER Aug01         (pessin l)LANERIE J 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
5  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Sep03         (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
6  METHODOLOGY Aug04 Jun24 Jun03     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  NOCTURNE COURT         (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
8  SISTER MAHA Aug17 Jul20       (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
9  WILD ACCLAIM Aug18 Jan18 Dec21     (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
10  MUSICAL MISCHIEF Aug01 May05       (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.