Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-3   EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-1 $2.80 $0.80 40%
BTP-4   EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $17.50 $11.50 192%
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-4 $15.70 $12.70 423%
BTP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(10/8/3)-(5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-8/10-5 $11.40 $2.40 27%
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $9.90 $3.90 65%
    PK3 (10/8/3)-(5/2)-(1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7/8/10-5-4 $18.90 $9.90 110%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
1:381         1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REZASROLEX 9 5 11 1 11 1nk 1¼ (morey e)FELIX E 119 2.50 49% 1.00 2.00 W
  (by BUCCHERO out of SISTER CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
GAPPER 8 6 31 2 21 2nk 2¼ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.50 8% 12.30 7.10 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
REVENGE TOUR 1 2 21 42 4 31 3¾ (short travis)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 11.10  
  (by TOURIST out of MIZ LIZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  ONORE 10 9 7 7 6 6 4 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 4.00 5.40  
  (by TONALIST out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
CHEESESTEAK 6 11 10 1010 5 53 5 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 6.40  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRETTY PHILLY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ZHU DADDY 3 3 95 53 31 4 6 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 10.00 11.40  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ARGENTA by MINESHAFT)
VALERIE BLUE 7 10 5 8 8 7 75 (engler jeff)OUZTS W 116 15.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAPTANA by TAPIT)
AGENT KOSTA 4 1 4 3 7 9 8 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 10.00 14.90  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CREATIVE ELEMENT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
ENGLISH BOBBY 2 4 8 64 9 8 913¼ (claire alexis)MCKEE J 119 5.00 20% 4.00 3.90  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SOMETHING FIERCE by VALIANT NATURE)
1A  ROYALLY FLUSHED 11 8 6 9 118 1012¾ 1024¾ (short tr)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 8.00 11.10  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ROYALE HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SWAYBACK JACK 5 7 11 1111 108 1118¾ 1136½ (nocero ca)CORREA L 119 20.00 70.80  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PERFECT SEVEN by SMART STRIKE)
 
BTP-2   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:16 1:284   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRING RANGE 2 4 21 21 2nk 1nk 1¼ (esquivel jesu)PANAIJO JORGE 120 5.00 11.50  
MISTER CHARMING 3 3 4 5 32 32 2¼ (spagnola ida)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.70 P
MIDNIGHT J J 5 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 3½ (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 2.00 40% 1.50 1.00 S
MONKEY ZONE 4 2 53 42 54 4 41 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 115 3.00 3.10 DQ↓5
MONEY PIT 1 5 3 32 4 53 5 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.00 3.90  
 
BTP-3   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKY BOY 5 2 23 1   13 1¼ (spagnola ida)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 3.50 33% 2.00 0.80 W
THIS ILL DEFEND 1 5 5 4   33 2¼ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.30 P
UNCAPTURED PULSE 2 1 36 3   23 3½ (roque elis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 4.00 8.60  
GIANT TRICK 3 4 4 5   47 49 (rhoden carlto)LEBRON VICTOR 124 8.00 9.20  
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD 4 3 13 2   510 517¾ (alessi james)MURGIA A 124 4.50 19.50  
SCR  CHROMIUM               (rodak geral)JIMENEZ J 124 5.00    
 
BTP-4   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:26 :51 1:163 1:30   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOULSTONE 3 3 21 21 1 1nk 1½ (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 29% 2.50 1.50 W
ABIGAIL G 1 1 11 11 2 2nk 2½ (rodak geraldi)LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00 15% 5.90 8.40 P
ANN KOR 4 6 6 54 5 32 3 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 2.50 27% 2.70 1.00 S
THREE POINT KUZ 6 4 5 33 4 5 4 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 6.00 12.90  
LITTLE MIAMI 5 5 42 43 3 43 5 (langemeie)CORREA L 119 10.00 9.50  
EASY IS GOOD 2 2 32 6 6 6 620¾ (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 17.80  
SCR  LA DAME DE FER               (james gerald)PANAIJO JORGE 119 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
1:433         1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENAISSANCE (IRE) 7 5 13 12 1 13 14 (knippenbe)CORREA L 121 3.50 6% 15.80 1.10 W
SHE'S A KEEPER 6 4 23 22 2 23 24 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 121 8.00 8.60  
AZAMANA EMPIRE 8 6 4 48 3 36 3 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 6.00 2.80 S
ENDLESS 5 3 6 6 611½ 48 4 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 10.00 31.80  
I LIKEM 3 2 35 38 4 59 5 (shetron phyllis)BUSH V 121 15.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
ADDISON 4 7 811 7 510½ 610½ 6 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 5.00 2.80  
FORGLO 1 8 710 59 713½ 711½ 713¼ (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 23.10  
GIN N SIN 2 1 5 810¾ 815 813½ 814 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 116 12.00 25.20  
SCR  CARLIE Q BLUE               (reed r)MCKEE J 121 2.00    
SCR  PRANCIPANTS               (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 123 4.50 68% 0.50    
SCR  WHISKEY SIS               (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
 
BTP-6   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
1:134         1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 4 3 1nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 2.00 60% 0.70 1.30 W
FAITHFUL KING 1 5 5 4   32 2½ (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 3.00 1.90  
MCGRAW 5 1 31 3.2   2nk 3 (bush s)MURGIA A 121 5.00 4.80  
AGENT COOPER 3 4 4 5   44 412¾ (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 3.60  
RAF 2 2 2nk 1nk   512 513 (jarvis kathy)ACHARD ALEX 121 8.00 6% 16.10 12.20  
SCR  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED               (howard d)REYES R 121 10.00    
 
BTP-7   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:144 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP NUGGET 4 2 11 2½ 2½ 11 1 (figueroa cesa)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 9% 10.50 2.40 W
GENERAL GINNY 5 3 5 53 5 4 2 (dillion jimmy)PANAIJO JORGE 121 5.00 5% 19.00 3.60 P
TRAUMARAMA 2 5 6 64 43 3 3 (patrick gary)MCKEE J 121 3.50 2.00  
AND I KNOW 1 1 21 1½ 1½ 21 4 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 4.50 67% 0.50 3.70  
MORNING LINE NEWS 6 4 32 3 32 54 5 (hernandez javi)REYES R 121 10.00 11.60  
SENTIMENTALJOURNEY 3 6 43 4 6 67 612¾ (west etha)CORREA L 121 8.00 9.50  
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY               (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 121 12.00    
 
BTP-8   09/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
1:41         1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MYTHOMANIA 9 6 2nk 2 1nk 12 1½ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 115 5.00 2.70  
WARRIOR'S PLACE 3 1 4¼ 4 4 22 2½ (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 6.70  
RED CHEEKS 4 5 72 57 5 5 3 (lobo)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 6.00 15.50  
LIAMS LAD 1 2 3.2 7 6 7 44 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 8.10  
HABITUS (GB) 5 4 85 813¼ 811 6 5 (shifflett cheryl)HESS SARA 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
12  SOUTHERN BREEZE 10 7 1nk 1 2nk 33 6 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70  
PAINTSVILLE 8 10 5½ 3 3½ 4 7 (melancon paul)PEREZ E 124 6.00 5% 17.60 5.10  
LOLAS BEAU 2 9 107 916¼ 919 817½ 815½ (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00 61.30  
NEAP TIDE 6 3 62 67 7 921½ 925½ (watkins m)MCKEE J 120 6.00 12.20  
CANTSTOPTHEFUN 7 8 97 1016¼ 1024 1025½ 1029¼ (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 124 20.00 ######  
SCR  CANBOULAY               (lynch a)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  NEVER SORRY               (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
SCR  ORESTES               (hamilton sa)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50    
SCR  WAYNE'S LEGEND               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.